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Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

Pentagon Expands List Of Chinese Military-Linked Companies

Overview Of The Expanded Restrictions

The Pentagon has expanded its list of Chinese companies designated as supporting the country’s military, adding firms including Alibaba, Baidu, electric vehicle manufacturer BYD and robotics company Unitree. Part of ongoing U.S. efforts to monitor and restrict technologies that could contribute to China’s military capabilities, the designation broadens the scope of companies facing additional scrutiny.

Strategic Implications For U.S. Business

Known as the 1260H list under the National Defense Authorization Act, the updated designation may increase regulatory scrutiny for U.S. companies conducting business with the listed entities. Broader trade and technology tensions between the United States and China continue to shape policy decisions as Washington reviews the role of advanced technologies in national security.

Historical And Policy Context

Published initially in February, the updated list was later removed from the Federal Register under circumstances reported by Bloomberg News. Several major Chinese technology companies have been added to the designation in recent years, including Tencent, which appeared in the previous update. Continued expansion of oversight measures reflects Washington’s focus on sectors considered strategically important to China’s technological development.

Sector-Specific Developments

A total of 188 companies now appear on the 1260H list, spanning multiple industries. Alongside BYD, newly added firms include electric vehicle and battery-related companies such as Nio, CALB Group and EVE Energy. Autonomous driving and sensor technology companies RoboSense and Hesai were also added in the latest revision.

Industry And Geopolitical Ramifications

Additional scrutiny from U.S. regulators and investors may follow for companies added to the list, although the designation does not automatically trigger sanctions or prohibit commercial activity. At the time of reporting, Alibaba, Baidu, BYD, Nio and RoboSense had not publicly commented on their inclusion. Another chapter in the evolving technology and trade relationship between the United States and China, the update highlights growing attention on sectors linked to advanced manufacturing, artificial intelligence and strategic technologies.

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