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Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

Tax Authorities To Step Up Checks On Coastal Businesses In Cyprus

Expanded Regulatory Oversight

Cyprus’ Tax Department plans to carry out onsite inspections of businesses in coastal areas during July and August as part of efforts to strengthen tax compliance. The inspections form part of the government’s broader tax reform programme aimed at reducing tax evasion and improving tax collection.

Targeting High-Impact Sectors

Authorities will focus primarily on businesses that experience increased customer activity during the summer tourism season. Inspections will examine compliance with receipt issuance requirements and review outstanding tax liabilities. Businesses found in breach of the regulations may face enforcement measures, including the temporary suspension of operations until compliance requirements are met.

Strict New Legal Framework

Legislation that entered into force on January 1, 2026, allows authorities to temporarily close businesses, legal entities and individuals with tax debts exceeding €20,000, as well as businesses that fail to issue receipts. Initial enforcement measures are expected to follow practices similar to those used in Greece as Cyprus expands its tax compliance efforts.

Operational Tactics And Enforcement

According to local reports, tax officials will conduct checks by comparing receipts issued by businesses with those held by customers. Inspectors will verify transaction details using digital tools and review whether receipts have been issued correctly. Businesses that fail to comply will receive three warnings and a total compliance period of 25 days before closure measures can be applied.

Focus On Large Debtors

Initial enforcement efforts will target approximately 500 businesses with tax debts exceeding €1 million. The list includes companies operating in sectors such as betting, retail, yacht sales and vehicle dealerships. Although the legislation applies to businesses with debts above €20,000, authorities have indicated that larger debtors will be prioritised during the first phase of implementation.

Future Implications And Extended Enforcement

Additional enforcement measures are expected to be introduced in 2027. Planned provisions may allow authorities to close businesses that fail to submit tax, VAT and other statutory returns. Once compliance requirements have been satisfied and verified by the Tax Commissioner, affected businesses will be permitted to resume operations.

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