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Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

Cyprus Tourism Revenue Shows Robust Early Growth Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty

Strong Start To The Year

Cyprus recorded €85.3 million in tourism revenue in February 2026, up 7% from €79.7 million a year earlier, according to the Cyprus Statistical Service. Revenue for January–February reached €159.9 million, marking a 7.4% increase from €148.9 million in the same period of 2025.

Evolving Spending Patterns

Average expenditure per tourist declined by 2.3% to €581.85 in February 2026, compared with €595.71 a year earlier. Total revenue increased despite lower per-visitor spending, indicating higher visitor volumes or changes in spending patterns.

Diverse Visitor Base

Data from passenger surveys show the United Kingdom remained the largest market, accounting for 19.3% of visitors. Average daily spending among UK tourists reached €72.72. Polish visitors represented 18.4% of arrivals, with average daily spending of €75.02. Israeli tourists accounted for 12.6% of the market and recorded higher daily spending at €157.15.

Geopolitical Developments And Their Impact

February data were compiled before the escalation of tensions in the Middle East on February 28, 2026. Subsequent indicators point to a decline in demand. According to Cyprus Mail, tourist arrivals in March 2026 fell by 30.7% year-on-year, following a 12.2% increase in 2025, when arrivals reached 4.53 million and revenue totaled €3.69 billion.

Challenges Ahead For The Sector

Rising travel costs and security concerns are affecting demand across key markets. Higher fuel prices have increased airline costs, contributing to higher ticket prices. Hotel occupancy rates declined from around 75% last year to an estimated 40–50%. Summer bookings are reported to be down by about 25%. Trade unions have warned about potential effects on employment and business activity in the tourism sector.

Conclusion

Tourism accounts for approximately 14% of Cyprus’s GDP. February data indicate continued growth early in the year, while recent figures point to weaker demand in the following months. Updated data in the coming period will provide a clearer view of changes in travel demand and visitor spending.

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