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Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

Apple Supplier Leak Fuels China’s Supply Chain Push

A cybersecurity incident involving Apple supplier Tata Electronics has become part of China’s broader effort to defend its manufacturing ecosystem, as Beijing seeks to counter growing attempts by global companies to diversify production beyond the country.

Although Tata Electronics said the incident did not disrupt operations, reports suggest the leaked data may have included information related to Apple’s upcoming iPhone 18 Pro. Apple has not commented on the reported breach.

Supply Chains In Focus

The incident comes as Apple continues expanding production in India to reduce its reliance on China. Chinese state media has repeatedly argued that replicating the country’s manufacturing ecosystem elsewhere will be difficult, pointing to its scale and technical expertise.

More Than A Data Leak

Despite speculation online, technicians in Shenzhen’s Huaqiangbei electronics market told CNBC that leaked design documents alone are not enough to recreate an iPhone. While accessories can be copied, critical components such as chips and Apple’s software remain out of reach.

The episode underscores the growing challenges facing global technology companies as they balance supply chain diversification with cybersecurity, manufacturing expertise and geopolitical risk.

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