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Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

Cyprus Introduces Performance-Based Funding For Public Research

Cyprus is introducing a new performance-based funding model for publicly financed research organizations, linking state support to measurable results for the first time.

A New Framework For Research Funding

Approved by the Cabinet on Wednesday, the new mechanism establishes a more structured framework for funding public research organizations. Deputy Minister of Research, Innovation and Digital Policy Nikodimos Damianos said the system is expected to take effect in early 2027.

First Phase Targets Centres Of Excellence

The first phase will cover Centres of Excellence co-financed through the Horizon Europe Teaming for Excellence programme with national and European funding.

According to Damianos, the objective is to preserve and further develop the research infrastructure, expertise and capabilities built in recent years, while supporting their transition into sustainable, long-term institutions under a formal funding framework.

Funding Tied To Performance Indicators

Under the new model, funding will be linked to performance against predefined indicators and targets. Organizations will be assessed across 18 indicators grouped into six areas: the research environment, internationalisation, scientific excellence, research performance, knowledge transfer and socio-economic impact.

Performance will be evaluated annually, while funding allocations will be reviewed every three years. The framework also introduces fiscal safeguards, including funding caps, assessments of each organisation’s actual financial needs and consideration of any other institutional state funding already received.

Positioning Research As A Strategic Public Investment

Damianos said the reform lays the groundwork for a new model of institutional support for research and innovation, aimed at strengthening scientific excellence and competitiveness while ensuring the transparent and efficient use of public funds.

He added that the framework is intended to support long-term benefits for both the Cypriot economy and society.

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