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Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

Cyprus Rents Rise 30–40% As Housing Demand Outpaces Supply

Escalating Rent Increases And Market Pressures

Cyprus now faces one of the EU’s most severe housing pressures, with recent reports indicating rent hikes of 30-40% over the past five years. According to Stefanos Stefanou, General Secretary of AKEL, these unprecedented increases have left many Cypriots grappling with soaring living costs. At a recent event at the European Union House in Nicosia, organised in collaboration with the European Parliament Office in Cyprus, MEP Giorgos Georgiou emphasised the urgent need for a comprehensive housing strategy.

Housing Demand Outstripping Supply

Data from the European Commission indicate that Cyprus will require approximately 43,000 new housing units over the next decade to meet demand. At the same time, nearly 270,000 residents are classified in the lowest income bracket. According to the national statistical service, more than 140,000 people live at or below the poverty threshold with annual income under €15,500, while an additional 213,000 in the lower middle-income group face similar financial pressure.

Policy Gaps And Market-Driven Vulnerabilities

Lack of a coordinated state housing policy continues to affect market conditions. Stefanou said existing measures remain fragmented and do not address structural issues in housing access. He also warned that without targeted support programmes, risks linked to rising housing costs could increase. The financial ombudsman has indicated that, if current trends persist, foreclosures on primary residences could rise from 2026.

Government Initiatives And Strategic Proposals

The Ministry of Interior has introduced a housing strategy aimed at increasing residential supply, with a focus on affordable housing. Measures include urban planning incentives and the “Build to Rent” scheme, implemented in cooperation with the private sector. Plans target the construction of more than 2,500 housing units over the next two years, including around 400 designated as affordable homes.

Addressing The Role Of Foreign Investment

Local officials, including Andreas Vyras, pointed to the impact of foreign investment on the property market. In Limassol, rental prices have increased significantly in recent years, while a large share of city-centre properties has shifted toward short-term rental use. Reports indicate that a substantial portion of housing supply is now oriented toward foreign buyers and investors.

Toward A Comprehensive Housing Policy

Policy proposals discussed include the creation of a central housing authority and the development of state-backed financing mechanisms for housing programmes. Additional measures focus on regulatory frameworks aimed at protecting primary residences and improving access to housing for lower-income households.

Future Outlook And Critical Interventions

Georgiou said current approaches, which focus on market incentives and construction activity, may not be sufficient to address affordability challenges. Discussions include potential regulation of short-term rentals and targeted legislative measures to stabilize housing conditions across cities, including Nicosia and Limassol.

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