Breaking news

Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

Cyprus 2025 State Budget: A Detailed Analysis Of Revenue And Expenditure Implementation

Budget Overview

Cyprus recorded an 87% revenue implementation rate and a 92% expenditure implementation rate in the 2025 state budget, according to the latest Treasury report. Total revenue reached €10.20 billion, compared with €10.81 billion in 2024, while total expenditure amounted to €11.99 billion versus €12.42 billion a year earlier.

Revenue Trends And Tax Contributions

The decline in revenue was mainly linked to a €1.07 billion drop in loan withdrawals. This was partly offset by stronger tax collection. Direct taxes increased by €0.37 billion, while indirect taxes rose by €0.17 billion.

VAT revenue grew by 4% to €3.16 billion, reflecting an increase of €0.08 billion. Direct taxes rose by 6% to €3.79 billion, supported by higher personal and corporate income tax receipts.

Expenditure Dynamics And Social Investments

Overall expenditure declined slightly, largely due to a €0.84 billion reduction in loan repayments. At the same time, social benefits increased by 5% to €2.02 billion, mainly driven by an €0.08 billion rise in healthcare-related spending.

Transfers and grants rose 11% to €1.93 billion, reflecting higher contributions to the Social Insurance Fund and increased support for municipalities. Operating expenses fell by 3% to €1.12 billion, while payroll, pensions, and gratuities remained stable at €3.52 billion.

Capital Expenditure And Co-Financed Projects

Capital expenditure reached €469.3 million. Key allocations included road infrastructure (€97.3 million) and construction projects (€77.4 million), alongside investments in water systems, government buildings, and school expansions.

Co-financed projects implemented €336.3 million. Funding covered initiatives such as subsidies for childcare and nutrition programs for children under four, as well as residential energy-efficiency upgrades.

Comparative Analysis And Development Expenditure

The average state budget expenditure implementation rate over the past decade stands at 91%. Development expenditure implementation reached 81% in 2025, exceeding the ten-year average of 69%.

The data indicates continued fiscal discipline combined with increased execution of development projects and targeted social spending.

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