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Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

Delayed Cyprus Fuel Terminal Adds €1.67 Million To 2026 Budget Allocation

A delay in completing Cyprus’ strategic petroleum-products terminal has shifted €1.67 million in expected payments into the 2026 budget, prompting a revised budget allocation for the state’s fuel-storage organization, CODAP. The project was completed on June 30, 2026, later than the December 2025 handover originally anticipated.

The change in timing has altered the project’s payment schedule, but it will not increase CODAP’s overall 2026 budget of €111.3 million. After contractual deductions for the delay, payments to the contractor are expected to total €48.2 million, compared with the original contract value of €51 million.

Why The Budget Is Being Revised

When CODAP prepared its 2026 budget in June 2025, it expected construction to finish by the end of that year. The organization therefore forecast that the main payments to the contractor would be made during 2025 and included lower construction funding in its 2026 budget.

But delays by the contractor pushed completion to June 30, 2026. As a result, payments that had been expected earlier must now be covered through a budget amendment. The revised allocation will be discussed by Parliament’s Finance Committee on Friday.

Of the €1.67 million adjustment, €1.27 million relates to the first half of the contractor’s retention payment, which is payable upon handover under the contract. The remaining half is due 24 months after delivery.

A further €250,000 is set aside for work that has not yet been certified. The contractor is expected to complete these non-critical items during 2026. Another €150,000 covers payments to the project’s engineering consultants, whose fees are linked to construction progress and completion.

Contractual Deductions Reduce The Final Cost

CODAP withheld €1.27 million from the contractor in 2025 because of the late delivery. The deduction represents the maximum penalty stipulated in the contract: 2.5% of the contract value, applied in response to the delay against the agreed construction period of 24 months.

After accounting for that deduction and the scheduled retention payment, the total amount expected to be paid to the contractor is €48.2 million—below the original €51 million contract price.

A Critical Part Of Cyprus’ Fuel Reserves

The terminal is located at the Vasilikos Energy Centre and has seven petroleum-product storage tanks. It holds most of Cyprus’ fuel reserves, which are intended to help protect the country against supply disruptions.

Countries are required to maintain fuel stocks equivalent to 90 days of consumption. Those reserves must remain available for release to the market if supply problems arise, making the terminal a key part of Cyprus’ energy-security infrastructure.

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