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Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

Foreign-Controlled Firms In Cyprus Punch Above Their Weight With More Than 40,000 Jobs

Foreign-controlled enterprises may represent only a modest slice of Cyprus’ business landscape, but their economic footprint is anything but small. In 2024, these firms accounted for 10% of employment in the country and generated €4.76 billion in value added, according to Eurostat.

A Small Group With Outsized Economic Impact

Eurostat’s data show that 681 foreign-controlled enterprises were operating in Cyprus across industry, construction and market services last year, employing 40,187 people. Together, they produced €4.76 billion in value added, underscoring the importance of internationally owned businesses to the Cypriot economy.

That contribution is notable precisely because of the limited number of companies involved. In structural terms, foreign-controlled firms remain a small part of the market. In economic terms, they are major employers and significant value creators.

How Cyprus Compares Across The European Union

Across the European Union, 364,308 foreign-controlled enterprises employed 25.64 million people in 2024 and generated €2.68 trillion in value added. Although they made up just 1% of all market producer enterprises, they accounted for 16% of employment and 24% of total value added.

Most of these firms were controlled by institutional units from other EU countries, which made up 59% of the total. The remaining 41% were controlled from outside the bloc.

Cyprus sits near the middle of the pack on employment share. Foreign-controlled enterprises accounted for 10% of jobs in the country, the same as Italy and above Greece, where the figure stood at 8%.

Where Foreign Ownership Matters Most

Luxembourg recorded the highest share of foreign-controlled enterprises among EU member states, with such companies making up 28% of all enterprises. Estonia followed at 12%. In every other member state, the share was 5% or less, ranging from 0.3% in Poland and Italy to 5% in Croatia.

The contribution of foreign-controlled businesses to national output also varied sharply across the bloc. Ireland led with foreign-controlled enterprises responsible for 72% of value added, followed by Luxembourg at 62% and Slovakia at 50%.

At the lower end, foreign-controlled enterprises accounted for 15% of value added in France and 18% in both Italy and Germany.

Cyprus Versus Greece

Cyprus’ 681 foreign-controlled enterprises generated €4.76 billion in value added, according to Eurostat’s table covering industry, construction and market services. By comparison, Greece had 4,548 foreign-controlled enterprises employing 281,558 people and generating €22.31 billion in value added.

The contrast illustrates a broader pattern across Europe: foreign-controlled firms often represent a small share of the total business population, yet their role in jobs, investment and economic output is disproportionate to their numbers.

The Broader Policy Lesson

For policymakers, the data reinforce a familiar but important point. Economies that attract and retain foreign-controlled firms gain more than corporate presence alone; they secure employment, capital deployment and productivity gains that can ripple through the wider business ecosystem.

In Cyprus, that dynamic is especially clear. Fewer than 700 foreign-controlled enterprises employ more than 40,000 people and contribute billions to the economy, showing how global capital can shape a small open economy far beyond its numerical footprint.

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