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Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

Cyprus Permit Delays Can Add €61,000 To The Cost Of A New Home

Housing affordability in Cyprus is being affected not only by property prices, construction costs and interest rates, but also by delays in securing planning and building permits. For developers, years of waiting can add millions of euros to project costs and tens of thousands of euros to the price of an individual home.

Property Prices And Rents Continue To Rise

House prices in Cyprus rose 3.4% year on year in the first quarter of 2026, according to Eurostat, leaving prices about 50% above their 2015 level. Rents have also continued to increase, with the Cyprus Statistical Service reporting annual growth accelerating from 2.5% in January to 4.5% in April.

Strong demand and limited supply are adding pressure to both markets. Delays earlier in the development cycle can further restrict the number of homes reaching the market.

Four-Year Delay Adds €6.3 Million To Project Costs

A recent analysis by Yiannis Misirlis, chairman of the Cyprus Land and Building Developers Association, illustrates the financial impact. The example involves a 125-apartment project with €7 million allocated to land and an estimated €25 million for construction, bringing the initial cost to €32 million.

If permits are secured within six months, the average sale price would be about €307,000 per apartment. A four-year permitting delay, however, would add about €1.7 million in financing costs tied to the land, €800,000 in additional overheads and €3.8 million from construction cost inflation.

Combined, those costs would add about €6.3 million to the project without increasing the developer’s profit. The average apartment price would rise to about €368,000, adding roughly €61,000 to each unit.

Delays Also Affect Rental Supply

Higher development costs can affect renters as well as buyers. When projects are delayed, fewer homes enter the market over a given period, limiting supply while demand continues to grow.

Build-to-rent projects face the same pressures from land costs, financing, overheads and construction inflation. Developers may ultimately pass some of those additional costs through to rents.

Government Moves To Increase Housing Supply

Reducing permitting times would not require weaker planning controls or construction standards. More predictable approval timelines would instead allow developers and investors to plan projects with greater certainty and reduce the costs associated with prolonged delays.

The Ministry of Interior has introduced planning incentives and additional building coefficients that are expected to support the construction of more than 2,500 homes over the next two years. The measures are intended to increase housing supply in a market where demand remains strong.

Permitting Delays Have A Direct Financial Cost

For developers, longer approval periods increase financing and overhead costs while exposing projects to higher construction prices. Those costs can ultimately affect sale prices, rents and the number of homes that reach the market.

Cyprus’ housing affordability challenge therefore extends beyond land and construction costs. The time required to move a project from planning to construction can also determine how much buyers and renters eventually pay.

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