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Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

Reevaluating Europe’s Transport Strategy Amid Global Energy Pressures

Transport challenges in Europe are intensifying as global energy market volatility and the crisis in the Middle East push fuel costs higher and increase economic uncertainty. EU Transport Minister Alexis Vafeades warned that the sector is approaching a critical point, calling for a coordinated response at the European Union level.

Coordinated Response In A Time Of Uncertainty

At a recent meeting in Limassol, representatives from EU Member States’ transport administrations convened to address mounting pressures on the sector. Minister Vafeades outlined a timeline that includes a videoconference on April 21 and further discussions at the Informal Council on April 27–28. Discussions will focus on rising fuel costs, risks of supply chain disruptions, and broader implications for connectivity across Europe.

Economic Impacts And Inflationary Concerns

Although the European Union is not facing fuel shortages, instability in global energy markets is already affecting transport operators and businesses. Rising costs for diesel and jet fuel are placing pressure on operational budgets while contributing to broader inflationary trends.

Transforming Transport Policy For A Competitive Future

Cyprus, currently holding the rotating presidency of the Council of the EU, has placed transport policy at the center of its agenda. Minister Vafeades emphasized that transport now extends beyond mobility to include competitiveness, internal market efficiency, social cohesion, and climate objectives. This broader approach is aimed at strengthening resilience and ensuring stability amid external pressures.

Building Connectivity And Resilience

Permanent Secretary Marina Ioannou Hasapi reinforced the need for coordinated European action, noting that geopolitical uncertainty highlights the importance of preparedness and pragmatic policymaking. Ongoing disruptions, including airspace closures and developments affecting the Strait of Hormuz, continue to influence global oil markets. Ensuring stable supply chains and secure energy access remains a priority.

Current discussions at the EU level will determine how quickly member states can respond to rising fuel costs and potential supply disruptions. Outcomes from the upcoming April meetings are expected to shape short-term transport policy coordination across the bloc.

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