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Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices To Surge To $3,700 By Late 2025

In a bold forecast, Goldman Sachs has increased its gold price prediction to $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025. This adjustment comes amid unexpected demand from central banks and a strengthening perception of recession risks, drawing investors towards gold ETFs.

Key Points

  • Initial forecasts pegged the price at $3,300, but central banks’ monthly gold acquisitions, averaging 80 tons — much higher than the 17-ton average before 2022 — have warranted a forecast revision.
  • Gold prices have already seen a significant increase of over 23% in 2025, surpassing the $3,200 mark for the first time.
  • Should central banks continue acquiring at an accelerated pace, or if a recession prompts a capital influx into ETFs, gold could rise to $3,880 within this year.

What To Watch

Economists estimate a 45% chance of a U.S. recession within 12 months, potentially redirecting capital to gold ETFs. Should central banks ramp up purchases to 100 tons monthly, or recession-driven demand persist, gold might reach $3,880 by year-end. Alternatively, if economies show resilience and political uncertainty lessens, gold prices could stabilize around $3,550.

U.S. Stocks Rally On Ceasefire Announcement And Tech Recovery

Geopolitical Shift Fuels Market Optimism

U.S. equity markets rose on Wednesday following the announcement of a two-week ceasefire with Iran. Donald Trump, former U.S. President, said the agreement would take effect immediately. Technology stocks led the gains as investors responded to reduced geopolitical risk.

Tech Titans Lead The Upswing

Meta shares increased after the company introduced its Muse Spark AI model. Gains were also recorded by Amazon, Alphabet, and Nvidia. These companies contributed to broader advances in major equity indices.

Chipmakers Capitalize On The New Optimism

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) rose 6% following the announcement. Semiconductor equipment firms ASML and Applied Materials gained about 9%. Micron, Western Digital, Lam Research, and Intel also recorded gains, supporting momentum across the semiconductor sector.

Market Context And Recent Volatility

Recent gains follow earlier declines in technology stocks at the start of the year. Software companies had faced pressure linked to concerns over artificial intelligence and business model disruption. Microsoft shares fell 23% in the first quarter, underperforming both major technology peers and the Nasdaq index. The current rebound reflects changes in investor positioning following recent developments.

Outlook

The ceasefire reduced short-term geopolitical risk, though uncertainties remain around logistics and energy infrastructure in the region. Investors continue to monitor developments in both geopolitical conditions and the technology sector performance.

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