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Economic Earthquake: Billionaire Bill Ackman Warns Of A Looming ‘Economic Nuclear Winter’ In The US

Are the US Markets Facing an ‘Economic Nuclear Winter’?

Billionaire investor Bill Ackman has cast a shadow over the US economic outlook, warning of a potential ‘economic nuclear winter’. This grim prediction arises from the recent sweeping tariffs imposed by the US administration.

Key Insights

  • Ackman criticized the decision to levy massive tariffs on global trade partners, arguing it undermines the US’s reliability as a trading partner. He initially supported the administration’s leadership.
  • The tariffs, effective immediately, impose a 10% base rate on imports across over 180 countries, with China enduring a hefty 54% rate.
  • This week, American stocks plummeted by 9.08%, inciting fears of a global economic slowdown.
  • Institutions like J.P. Morgan have revised recession forecasts, indicating a 60% likelihood by year-end.

Ackman’s Cautionary Advice

Ackman emphasized, “Business is built on trust. As global leaders’ trust wanes, the repercussions for the US will be severe, especially affecting low-income households already under significant economic pressure.”

Next Steps and Future Watch

Looking ahead, Ackman urges for mediation, suggesting a ‘timeout’ on tariffs to renegotiate fairer customs agreements.

For an in-depth look at global market changes, explore our piece on Cyprus On Alert As Global Trade Tensions Rise.

Moreover, discussions around AI’s economic influence might hold keys to future economic landscapes. Read about AI’s Economic Potential: $4.8 Trillion And A Growing Divide.

Competition Authority Launches Comprehensive Review of ExxonMobil Cyprus Acquisition

Investigation Initiated Over Strategic Acquisition

The Competition Protection Authority has commenced a thorough investigation into the acquisition of ExxonMobil Cyprus Limited’s share capital by Petrolina Holdings Public Ltd through Med Energywise Ltd. This inquiry was formally initiated following a session held on 10 September 2025, after an in-depth review of the pertinent report by the Authority’s Service.

Concerns Over Market Compatibility

Authorities have expressed serious concerns regarding the compatibility of the transaction with established competitive practices. The review indicates that the acquisition may affect several critical petroleum markets, both horizontally and vertically, thereby raising the potential for adverse impacts on market dynamics.

Horizontal Market Dynamics

On the horizontal front, potential effects have been identified in the import market for petroleum products, as well as in both wholesale and retail distribution channels of these products. The consolidation is believed to increase the risk of price rises and coordinated actions, given the direct competitive proximity between Petrolina and ExxonMobil.

Vertical and Adjacent Market Implications

Vertical aspects of the merger are also under close scrutiny. The new entity could restrict competitors’ access to critical infrastructure such as storage facilities, supply channels, and customer bases. These restrictions could further affect the onshore distribution of fuels, the wholesale market for lubricants, and specialized technical services connected with fuel station operations.

Local Market Considerations

Particular attention is being paid to the potential concentration in the retail fuel market. The investigation suggests that a reduced competitive landscape within a four-kilometer radius of the companies’ fuel stations could lead to diminished local competition, adversely impacting consumer prices and options.

Next Steps and Industry Impact

The Competition Protection Authority, which reached a unanimous decision to pursue a full investigation, remains open to submissions from parties that might be affected by this transaction, as mandated by current legislation. A final decision is expected within four months upon receipt of all necessary evidence, potentially setting a significant precedent for future market consolidation cases in the energy sector.

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