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Earth Nears Critical Warming Threshold As 2024 Sets New Heat Record

The planet is edging closer to a critical climate tipping point, with record-high greenhouse gas emissions driving temperatures to unprecedented levels in 2024. The latest report from the United Nations’ World Meteorological Organization (WMO) paints a stark picture: accelerating glacier melt, rising sea levels, and an alarming proximity to the 1.5-degree Celsius warming limit set by the Paris Agreement.

Key Facts

  • Global temperatures in 2024 were 1.55 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, exceeding the previous record set in 2023 by 0.1 degrees, according to WMO’s annual climate report.
  • The Paris Agreement aims to cap global warming at 1.5 degrees above the 1850-1900 average to prevent catastrophic climate consequences.
  • Current estimates place the long-term warming trend between 1.34 and 1.41 degrees Celsius—dangerously close to the Paris target but not yet surpassing it.

Read Ocean Warming Speeds Up Over Four Times Faster Than In the 1980s, Study Reveals

What Experts Are Saying

“A single year above 1.5 degrees does not mean we have officially exceeded the Paris Agreement threshold,” said John Kennedy, WMO’s scientific coordinator and lead author of the report. However, he cautioned that given uncertainties in climate data, breaching this limit cannot be ruled out.

What To Watch

While human-driven emissions remain the dominant factor in global warming, WMO notes that other elements—such as shifts in the solar cycle, volcanic activity, and reductions in cooling aerosols—may have contributed to 2024’s extreme temperatures.

Despite localized cooling in some regions, extreme weather disasters intensified worldwide. Droughts have deepened food shortages, while floods and wildfires displaced 800,000 people—the highest number recorded since 2008. Meanwhile, ocean heat has hit record highs, accelerating acidification and further destabilizing marine ecosystems.

The data on sea levels is equally concerning. Between 2015 and 2024, global sea levels rose at an average rate of 4.7 millimeters per year—more than double the rate observed between 1993 and 2002. The relentless loss of glaciers and sea ice continues to push ocean levels to new heights, underscoring the urgency of global climate action.

As world leaders grapple with policy decisions and climate commitments, 2024 serves as a stark reminder that the window for meaningful intervention is rapidly closing.

AI’s Economic Benefits Surpass Emissions Concerns According to IMF

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has recently highlighted the potential economic benefits of artificial intelligence (AI), projecting a global output boost of approximately 0.5% per year from 2025 to 2030. This growth is expected to surpass the environmental costs associated with higher carbon emissions from AI-driven data centers.

The report, showcased at the IMF’s spring meeting, emphasizes the need for equitable distribution of these economic gains while managing the adverse effects on our climate. The forecast indicates that AI’s contribution to GDP growth will outweigh the financial impacts of emissions, though it points out the necessity for policymakers and businesses to mitigate societal costs.

Energy Demands and Environmental Footprint

AI is set to escalate global electricity demand, potentially reaching 1,500 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2030, mirroring the energy consumption of countries like India today.

The increasing demand for data processing capacity could result in higher greenhouse gas emissions, but the AI industry aims to offset these with advancements in renewable energy technologies.

AI: A Driver for Energy Efficiency?

Analysts suggest that AI could potentially reduce carbon emissions through improved energy efficiency, fostering advancements in low-carbon technologies across sectors such as power, food, and transport. Grantham Research Institute stresses the significance of strategic action from governments and industries to facilitate this transition.

The role of AI in the global economy continues to evolve, stirring debates not only about its economic potential but also its environmental impact.

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