The Ministry of Labor and Social Insurance has announced a series of new measures aimed at addressing the increasing demands of Cyprus’ labor market. These initiatives are designed to attract highly skilled professionals from third countries and broaden employment opportunities for foreign students in select fields, as outlined in the recent Decrees published in the Official Gazette of the Republic.

Attracting Skilled Professionals

One of the key updates is the introduction of a minimum annual salary for foreign professionals, which has been set at €43,632, 1.5 times the average gross annual salary in Cyprus. This salary threshold applies to individuals coming to work in sectors such as Information and Communication Technologies (ICT), pharmaceuticals for research purposes, and maritime industries (excluding skippers and crew).

Expanded Employment Options For Foreign Students

The new regulations also provide an update on the employment rights of foreign students. From December 2024, students from third countries will be able to work in Cyprus, with the new rules replacing the previous March 2024 start date.

Students studying ICT who have completed their first academic semester will be eligible to work in occupations related to their field of study, thereby gaining practical experience while pursuing their education.

In response to critical sector shortages, the regulations also clarify the specific occupations and salaries that Blue Card holders—third-country nationals—will be eligible for in Cyprus. The Blue Card, in line with the European Directive, allows highly skilled professionals to live and work in EU member states.

Strengthening The Labor Market and Economy

These updates are expected to bolster the supply of specialized workers in key sectors, addressing existing gaps and promoting the continued growth of Cyprus’ economy. At the same time, the new measures offer foreign students enhanced opportunities for professional development, facilitating their seamless integration into the country’s workforce.

Cyprus’ Larnaca and Paphos airports have reached an unprecedented milestone, surpassing 12 million passengers on Friday, a figure that had been forecasted earlier in the week.

“This remarkable achievement follows a period of considerable challenges and shifts in tourism and aviation, shaped by the pandemic and various geopolitical issues,” noted Hermes, the operator managing the airports.

The milestone highlights Cyprus’ growing appeal as a destination and reflects the resilience of its tourism sector. Hermes emphasized that from the outset, the company has been executing a well-structured and focused strategy to boost the island’s connectivity. This approach has resulted in an impressive expansion of air links, with new airlines being attracted, an enhanced destination network, and a substantial surge in passenger traffic.

“Cyprus’ air connectivity has not only improved but has solidified itself at a highly competitive and robust level,” Hermes said.

The operator further committed to continuing its efforts to strengthen the island’s connectivity, focusing on increasing tourist arrivals while also ensuring that Cyprus residents have a broad range of travel options.

The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) has revised its GDP growth forecast for 2024, increasing it by 0.2 percentage points to 3.7%. This adjustment reflects stronger domestic demand, with private consumption playing a pivotal role, supported by the continued resilience of the Cypriot economy.

However, forecasts for 2025-2026 have been slightly downgraded due to the impact of rising imports needed to meet elevated domestic demand. While exports, particularly non-tourism services, remain a growth driver, they are not sufficient to fully offset the increase in imports.

Labor Market Nearing Full Employment

The labor market in Cyprus continues to strengthen, with unemployment expected to fall to 5% in 2024, down from 5.8% in 2023. This trend is forecast to continue, with unemployment rates projected to drop to 4.9% in 2025, 4.7% in 2026, and 4.6% in 2027, approaching conditions of full employment.

The improved GDP outlook has led to a downward revision of the 2024 unemployment forecast by 0.1 percentage points. The sustained growth momentum of the economy is seen as the key factor driving this positive trend.

Inflation Stabilizing Towards Target Levels

Inflation, as measured by the Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP), is expected to decline to 2.2% in 2024 from 3.9% in 2023, moving closer to the medium-term target of 2%. This stabilization is attributed to easing external inflationary pressures, including a reduction in energy and raw material prices, as well as the lagged effects of eurozone monetary policy, which continues to temper inflation.

Wage growth is anticipated to remain moderate, helping to limit inflationary pressures. However, the gradual introduction of a green carbon tax from 2025 may result in modest fuel price increases.

The normalization of inflation for industrial goods (excluding energy) is also expected between 2025 and 2027, following the high levels seen in 2022-2023. Core inflation—excluding energy and food—is forecast to decline from 3.8% in 2023 to 2.6% in 2024, 2.0% in 2025, 1.9% in 2026, and 2.0% in 2027. Service price inflation is expected to decelerate during the 2025-2027 period.

The 2024 inflation forecast was revised upward by 0.1 percentage points compared to September 2024 projections, reflecting higher-than-expected service price inflation.

Risks And Prospects

The economic outlook for 2024 is balanced, while projections for 2025-2027 suggest a slight increase in downside risks.

Key downside risks include ongoing geopolitical tensions and weaker-than-expected external demand amid heightened global trade uncertainty. Domestically, the introduction of new taxes on multinational corporate profits could negatively impact economic performance, although the extent of this effect is uncertain. Slower-than-expected easing of financing conditions may also curb domestic demand.

On the upside, stronger-than-anticipated private consumption, driven by lower household savings rates, could boost economic performance.

Inflation risks for 2024 are balanced, while those for 2025-2027 lean slightly upward. Upside risks include potential geopolitical escalations, trade policy uncertainties (such as new US tariffs and EU retaliatory measures), and climate-related impacts like extreme weather events and the implementation of green taxation. Wage growth exceeding expectations and higher corporate profit margins could also contribute to inflationary pressures.

Conversely, inflation could underperform baseline projections if financing conditions ease more slowly than expected or if heightened geopolitical tensions unexpectedly weaken the global economic environment.