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Bank of Cyprus Receives Notable Ratings Upgrade By Fitch

In a remarkable financial development, Fitch Ratings has elevated the ratings of the Bank of Cyprus Public Company Limited (BoC) from ‘BB+’ to ‘BBB-‘, indicating a strong positive outlook. This upgrade underscores the bank’s enhanced asset quality and robust capitalization.

The rating improvement is largely attributed to the bank’s strategic reduction in problematic legacy assets, such as non-performing exposures (NPEs) and net foreclosed properties. This has enabled a healthier capital structure with reduced encumbrance by unresolved problem assets.

Fitch notes that despite lowering interest rates, BoC’s profitability remains solid thanks to its competence as the largest domestic bank in Cyprus. With consistent deleveraging, it is poised for ongoing financial stability.

Prospective Economic Growth For Cypriot Banks

The favorable outlook anticipates better business and financial prospects amidst Cyprus’s economic growth, with decreasing unemployment and lower private sector debt. BoC’s plans to expand into wealth management and insurance activities stand to gain from these economic trends.

Expectations are that the ratio of BoC’s problem assets will drop below 5% within two years, thanks to diminishing NPE portfolios and active disposals of foreclosed assets. Last year, the bank’s operating profit/risk-weighted assets (RWA) ratio was a robust 5.4%, indicating a sustainable path forward.

Financial Strength And Stability

By the end of 2024, BoC boasted a common equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 19.2%, with a notable buffer over regulatory demands. The bank’s CET1 encumbrance by problem assets fell significantly owing to further disposals.

Supported by a strong Cypriot deposit base, BoC maintains excellent liquidity. Looking ahead, while a downgrade is improbable, Fitch warns that any economic downturn in Cyprus could impact ratings. However, further elevation of the operating environment for Cypriot banks could enhance BoC’s business profile.

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Fuel Prices Face Upward Pressure Amid Regional Instability

Rising Wholesale Costs Set The Stage

Fuel prices are expected to rise in Cyprus over the next 10 days, according to Savvas Prokopiou, Chairman of the Petrol Station Owners’ Association. He said wholesale prices paid by station operators have increased by 10–12% since last Friday, which is likely to translate into higher retail prices.

Comparative Analysis: Then And Now

Prokopiou noted that current price increases are not expected to match the sharp spikes seen at the start of the Russia–Ukraine conflict in 2022. While oil prices have risen, market movements remain more moderate than during the earlier shock, reducing the risk of extreme short-term volatility.

Ensuring Supply Amid Uncertainty

Dinos Lefkaritis, Executive Managing Director of fuel provider Petrolina, provided reassurances regarding the fuel supply in Cyprus. With reserves estimated to last around 15 days, Lefkaritis stated that the current stock levels are deemed satisfactory despite ongoing market volatility.

Diverse Sourcing And Supply Security

Lefkaritis said fuel cargoes were still being loaded from Israel until Sunday, with further decisions depending on updates from the Haifa refinery. Petrolina has also secured alternative supply routes through Greece, Malta, and Italy to reduce the risk of shortages. The diversified sourcing strategy is intended to maintain supply continuity even as regional conditions remain unstable.

Market Uncertainty and Forward Outlook

Industry representatives say future price movements remain difficult to predict, as fuel markets continue to react to regional tensions and global supply dynamics. The direction and scale of further increases will depend on developments in energy markets over the coming weeks.

 

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