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Bank of Cyprus Receives Notable Ratings Upgrade By Fitch

In a remarkable financial development, Fitch Ratings has elevated the ratings of the Bank of Cyprus Public Company Limited (BoC) from ‘BB+’ to ‘BBB-‘, indicating a strong positive outlook. This upgrade underscores the bank’s enhanced asset quality and robust capitalization.

The rating improvement is largely attributed to the bank’s strategic reduction in problematic legacy assets, such as non-performing exposures (NPEs) and net foreclosed properties. This has enabled a healthier capital structure with reduced encumbrance by unresolved problem assets.

Fitch notes that despite lowering interest rates, BoC’s profitability remains solid thanks to its competence as the largest domestic bank in Cyprus. With consistent deleveraging, it is poised for ongoing financial stability.

Prospective Economic Growth For Cypriot Banks

The favorable outlook anticipates better business and financial prospects amidst Cyprus’s economic growth, with decreasing unemployment and lower private sector debt. BoC’s plans to expand into wealth management and insurance activities stand to gain from these economic trends.

Expectations are that the ratio of BoC’s problem assets will drop below 5% within two years, thanks to diminishing NPE portfolios and active disposals of foreclosed assets. Last year, the bank’s operating profit/risk-weighted assets (RWA) ratio was a robust 5.4%, indicating a sustainable path forward.

Financial Strength And Stability

By the end of 2024, BoC boasted a common equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 19.2%, with a notable buffer over regulatory demands. The bank’s CET1 encumbrance by problem assets fell significantly owing to further disposals.

Supported by a strong Cypriot deposit base, BoC maintains excellent liquidity. Looking ahead, while a downgrade is improbable, Fitch warns that any economic downturn in Cyprus could impact ratings. However, further elevation of the operating environment for Cypriot banks could enhance BoC’s business profile.

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S&P Affirms Cyprus At A- With Positive Outlook

S&P Global Ratings confirmed Cyprus’s sovereign rating at A- with a positive outlook on March 20, 2026, according to the Ministry of Finance. This decision reflects stable economic performance despite ongoing external pressures, including geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Steady Economic Growth Amid Geopolitical Pressures

S&P expects economic growth to continue at around 3%, slightly lower than in previous years but still above the pace seen in many European economies. Fiscal surpluses are also expected to continue, supporting overall stability.

Robust Debt Management And Fiscal Discipline

Public debt has declined in recent years, supported by strong fiscal performance and higher service exports. Improvements in the banking sector, including lower non-performing loans and stable credit growth, have also contributed to a stronger economic position.

Impact Of The Middle East Conflict

Conflict in the Middle East remains the main external risk. However, the positive outlook indicates that Cyprus is considered capable of managing potential shocks. Future rating changes will depend on public finances, economic performance and foreign investment flows.

Government Policy And Economic Management

According to the Ministry of Finance, the rating reflects continued fiscal discipline and economic management. Recent performance has been supported by the handling of earlier shocks, including the pandemic and the impact of the war in Ukraine.

Industry And Sectoral Insights

S&P noted that key sectors remain stable, despite potential pressure from tourism and energy costs. In particular, the banking sector continues to show strong profitability, capital levels and liquidity.

Energy Security And Future Prospects

Energy remains a key challenge, with costs among the highest in the EU. Plans to develop LNG infrastructure and explore natural gas resources are expected to support supply in the medium term.  Regional energy projects continue to face geopolitical constraints.

Outlook

S&P expects GDP growth to average around 2.8% between 2026 and 2029, while public debt is projected to decline further. Finance Minister Makis Keravnos said the rating confirms the government’s economic policy and supports Cyprus’s position as a stable European economy.

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