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Economic Earthquake: Billionaire Bill Ackman Warns Of A Looming ‘Economic Nuclear Winter’ In The US

Are the US Markets Facing an ‘Economic Nuclear Winter’?

Billionaire investor Bill Ackman has cast a shadow over the US economic outlook, warning of a potential ‘economic nuclear winter’. This grim prediction arises from the recent sweeping tariffs imposed by the US administration.

Key Insights

  • Ackman criticized the decision to levy massive tariffs on global trade partners, arguing it undermines the US’s reliability as a trading partner. He initially supported the administration’s leadership.
  • The tariffs, effective immediately, impose a 10% base rate on imports across over 180 countries, with China enduring a hefty 54% rate.
  • This week, American stocks plummeted by 9.08%, inciting fears of a global economic slowdown.
  • Institutions like J.P. Morgan have revised recession forecasts, indicating a 60% likelihood by year-end.

Ackman’s Cautionary Advice

Ackman emphasized, “Business is built on trust. As global leaders’ trust wanes, the repercussions for the US will be severe, especially affecting low-income households already under significant economic pressure.”

Next Steps and Future Watch

Looking ahead, Ackman urges for mediation, suggesting a ‘timeout’ on tariffs to renegotiate fairer customs agreements.

For an in-depth look at global market changes, explore our piece on Cyprus On Alert As Global Trade Tensions Rise.

Moreover, discussions around AI’s economic influence might hold keys to future economic landscapes. Read about AI’s Economic Potential: $4.8 Trillion And A Growing Divide.

Cyprus 2025 State Budget: A Detailed Analysis Of Revenue And Expenditure Implementation

Budget Overview

Cyprus recorded an 87% revenue implementation rate and a 92% expenditure implementation rate in the 2025 state budget, according to the latest Treasury report. Total revenue reached €10.20 billion, compared with €10.81 billion in 2024, while total expenditure amounted to €11.99 billion versus €12.42 billion a year earlier.

Revenue Trends And Tax Contributions

The decline in revenue was mainly linked to a €1.07 billion drop in loan withdrawals. This was partly offset by stronger tax collection. Direct taxes increased by €0.37 billion, while indirect taxes rose by €0.17 billion.

VAT revenue grew by 4% to €3.16 billion, reflecting an increase of €0.08 billion. Direct taxes rose by 6% to €3.79 billion, supported by higher personal and corporate income tax receipts.

Expenditure Dynamics And Social Investments

Overall expenditure declined slightly, largely due to a €0.84 billion reduction in loan repayments. At the same time, social benefits increased by 5% to €2.02 billion, mainly driven by an €0.08 billion rise in healthcare-related spending.

Transfers and grants rose 11% to €1.93 billion, reflecting higher contributions to the Social Insurance Fund and increased support for municipalities. Operating expenses fell by 3% to €1.12 billion, while payroll, pensions, and gratuities remained stable at €3.52 billion.

Capital Expenditure And Co-Financed Projects

Capital expenditure reached €469.3 million. Key allocations included road infrastructure (€97.3 million) and construction projects (€77.4 million), alongside investments in water systems, government buildings, and school expansions.

Co-financed projects implemented €336.3 million. Funding covered initiatives such as subsidies for childcare and nutrition programs for children under four, as well as residential energy-efficiency upgrades.

Comparative Analysis And Development Expenditure

The average state budget expenditure implementation rate over the past decade stands at 91%. Development expenditure implementation reached 81% in 2025, exceeding the ten-year average of 69%.

The data indicates continued fiscal discipline combined with increased execution of development projects and targeted social spending.

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