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Yuan Hits 17-Year Low As U.S. Tariffs Take Effect

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

April 9, 2025

China’s yuan slumped to its lowest closing level in more than 17 years on Wednesday, rattled by an intensifying trade war between the world’s two largest economies. The offshore yuan briefly touched an all-time low overnight before recovering slightly, while Beijing’s state-owned banks scrambled to stabilize the currency.

The onshore yuan ended domestic trading at 7.3498 per dollar, its weakest finish since December 2007, as Washington’s aggressive new tariffs on Chinese goods officially came into force.

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The latest round of U.S. tariff hikes—including a staggering 104% duty on key Chinese exports—has put further pressure on the yuan. China’s top policymakers are set to convene as early as Wednesday to discuss new measures aimed at propping up the economy and shoring up financial markets, according to sources familiar with the matter.

Beijing Holds The Line

Despite the mounting tariff pressure, China’s central bank appears determined to prevent a sharp devaluation. Authorities have reportedly directed major state-owned banks to curb their dollar purchases, a move seen as an attempt to slow the yuan’s decline.

Analysts at Capital Economics warn that if these tariffs remain in place, Chinese exports to the U.S. could shrink by more than half over the next few years—even assuming the yuan weakens further to 8 per dollar. Such a scenario could shave 1-1.5% off China’s GDP, depending on whether exporters can reroute trade through third countries. Beijing is expected to counterbalance the economic impact with additional fiscal stimulus.

Market Intervention And Volatility

In a bid to steady the currency, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set its daily midpoint fixing at 7.2066 per dollar—the lowest since September 2023, but still significantly stronger than market expectations. This suggests that Chinese policymakers are reluctant to allow unchecked depreciation.

Major state-owned banks were actively selling dollars early Wednesday to slow the yuan’s decline, according to insiders. Despite these interventions, both the onshore and offshore yuan have fallen more than 1% this month, continuing their downward trajectory for the year.

Adding fuel to the fire, former U.S. President Donald Trump accused China of currency manipulation, claiming it was deliberately weakening the yuan to offset tariff costs. While a weaker yuan could make Chinese exports more competitive, a sharp drop also raises the risk of capital flight and financial instability—concerns that Beijing is keen to avoid.

For now, all eyes remain on China’s next move as it navigates a high-stakes economic standoff.

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EU Moderates Emissions While Sustaining Economic Momentum

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

November 15, 2025

The European Union witnessed a modest decline in greenhouse gas emissions in the second quarter of 2025, as reported by Eurostat. Emissions across the EU registered at 772 million tonnes of CO₂-equivalents, marking a 0.4 percent reduction from 775 million tonnes in the same period of 2024. Concurrently, the EU’s gross domestic product rose by 1.3 percent, reinforcing the ongoing decoupling between economic growth and environmental impact.

Sector-By-Sector Performance

Within the broader statistics on emissions by economic activity, the energy sector—specifically electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply—experienced the most significant drop, declining by 2.9 percent. In comparison, the manufacturing sector and transportation and storage both achieved a 0.4 percent reduction. However, household emissions bucked the trend, increasing by 1.0 percent over the same period.

National Highlights And Notable Exceptions

Among EU member states, 12 reported a reduction in emissions, while 14 saw increases, and Estonia’s figures remained static. Notably, Slovenia, the Netherlands, and Finland recorded the most pronounced declines at 8.6 percent, 5.9 percent, and 4.2 percent respectively. Of the 12 countries reducing emissions, three—Finland, Germany, and Luxembourg—also experienced a contraction in GDP growth.

Dual Achievement: Environmental And Economic Goals

In an encouraging development, nine member states, including Cyprus, managed to lower their emissions while maintaining economic expansion. This dual achievement—reducing environmental impact while fostering economic activity—is a trend that has increasingly influenced EU climate policies. Other nations that successfully balanced these outcomes include Austria, Denmark, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Romania, Slovenia, and Sweden.

Conclusion

As the EU continues to navigate its climate commitments, these quarterly insights underscore a gradual yet significant shift toward balancing emissions reductions with robust economic growth. The evolving landscape highlights the critical need for sustainable strategies that not only mitigate environmental risks but also invigorate economic resilience.