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Why Cyprus Savers Saw Smaller Gains From ECB Rate Hikes

Banks in Cyprus were among the slowest in the euro area to raise deposit rates after the European Central Bank increased interest rates, according to a new ECB working paper examining deposit pricing between 2007 and 2024.

The findings place Cyprus alongside several southern European economies where savers benefited less from higher interest rates than customers in northern Europe, highlighting significant differences in how ECB monetary policy reached households across the currency union.

Deposit Rates Did Not Rise Equally Across Europe

The researchers found that banks in southern euro area countries generally passed on a smaller share of ECB rate increases to depositors than their counterparts in the north.

While monetary policy is set centrally by the ECB, its effects on savers varied widely between countries. The paper concludes that those differences were driven less by banks themselves than by the behaviour of depositors.

Why Banks Could Keep Deposit Rates Lower

According to the study, the biggest shift came after the ECB began raising interest rates in 2022.

Customers most sensitive to higher returns increasingly moved their savings into term deposits, money market funds and other interest-bearing products. Those who kept their money in overnight accounts were generally less likely to switch providers or actively seek higher rates, giving banks greater flexibility in setting deposit prices.

The researchers argue that this change in depositor behaviour played a larger role than differences in banking competition.

The Legacy Of Negative Interest Rates

Years of negative ECB interest rates also shaped how households and businesses managed their savings.

With few attractive alternatives available between 2014 and 2022, most depositors kept money in overnight accounts. Once rates started rising, wealthier households and businesses, which typically respond more quickly to changes in returns, shifted into higher-yield savings products.

Businesses proved more responsive to interest rate changes than households. Among consumers, savers in higher-income northern European countries were also more likely to move funds in search of better returns than those in lower-income southern economies, including Cyprus.

Banks Retained Strong Pricing Power

The study suggests banks maintained substantial pricing power throughout the rate-hiking cycle, allowing them to keep much of the benefit from higher interest rates rather than passing it on to depositors.

Researchers estimate that if all savers had been equally willing to move their money in search of better returns, overnight deposit rates would have been significantly higher, particularly during the ECB’s 2022–2024 tightening cycle.

That finding reinforces the paper’s central conclusion: depositor behaviour, rather than limited banking competition, was the main reason deposit rates rose more slowly than policy rates.

What It Means For Cyprus

For Cyprus, the findings illustrate why deposit rates remained relatively subdued despite one of the fastest monetary tightening cycles in the ECB’s history.

More broadly, the study suggests that the effectiveness of monetary policy depends not only on central bank decisions but also on how willing households and businesses are to actively manage their savings. Improving financial literacy and increasing awareness of alternative savings products, the authors argue, could strengthen competition for deposits and improve the transmission of future interest-rate changes.

Shein Targets $25 Billion Valuation In Hong Kong IPO As Growth Slows

Shein is reportedly targeting a valuation of around $25 billion in its planned Hong Kong IPO, a sharp decline from the nearly $100 billion valuation the online fashion retailer achieved in a 2022 fundraising round.

Two people familiar with the plans said the company was likely to target about $25 billion, while another source put the expected range at $25 billion to $28 billion based on the proposed price band.

IPO Valuation Falls Sharply

Shein plans to sell up to 8% of its shares in the offering, according to a person familiar with the plans. At a $25 billion valuation, that would translate into an IPO of as much as $2 billion.

The latest target is also below the $30 billion to $40 billion valuation the company was seeking earlier this month as it began meeting with potential investors.

Founded in China in 2012 and now headquartered in Singapore, Shein sells low-cost clothing to consumers in about 160 countries. The company is expected to launch its long-awaited Hong Kong IPO later this week.

Trade Restrictions Weigh On Growth

Shein’s valuation has come under pressure as major markets tighten rules affecting low-cost e-commerce shipments. The European Union, for example, has moved to impose additional fees on cheap parcels from platforms such as Shein and Temu. EU Tightens Rules On Low-Cost E-Commerce Parcels

In the U.S., the removal of an import duty exemption for small packages has also affected the company. Shein reported a $99 million quarterly loss in the first quarter of 2026 as sales growth slowed, while a one-time accounting charge further weighed on its results. Shein Reports First-Quarter Loss Ahead Of IPO

Investors Question Shein’s Growth Prospects

The steep reduction in valuation reflects growing concerns over slower growth, higher trade costs, regulatory pressure and stronger competition across global e-commerce.

Some investors who reviewed Shein’s recent financial statements or attended IPO presentations told Reuters they were skeptical that the company could return to the growth rates that supported its $98.2 billion valuation in 2022. Shein’s Slowing Growth Tests Investor Appetite

A lower IPO valuation could also affect Shein’s existing investors. Under the terms of its IPO filing, the company may have to issue additional shares to certain pre-IPO investors if its valuation falls below agreed thresholds.

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