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What’s Next for Europe’s Retail Sector In 2025?

0.1%—that’s the real increase in food sales when adjusted for inflation in Europe. Despite marking the first sector-wide growth since the COVID-19 crisis in 2020, the retail industry still faces mounting challenges. With profitability under pressure and growth set to remain minimal in 2025, retailers must navigate a complex economic landscape.

Key Facts

  • Grocery sales grew by 2.4% in 2024, according to a report by McKinsey & Company and EuroCommerce, which represents 28 national trade associations and over 5 million companies.
  • This 2.4% growth barely outpaced food price inflation (2.3%), leaving a real gain of just 0.1%.
  • Consumers, squeezed by ongoing economic pressures, remain cautious in their spending, though retail executives express optimism for 2025.
  • The report indicates little change in consumer behavior from 2024, suggesting spending patterns are stabilizing.
  • While some markets show early signs of recovery, long-term forecasts remain bleak: the European retail sector is expected to grow just 0.2% annually through 2030, while retailers battle rising inflation and labor shortages.

Retailers Brace For A Tough Road Ahead

Despite the modest rebound, the retail sector’s path forward remains fraught with challenges. As costs continue to rise and growth remains sluggish, retailers will need to find new ways to drive efficiency and sustain profitability in an increasingly competitive landscape.

Bending Spoons Buys Miro As SaaS Valuations Continue To Reset

Bending Spoons is buying Miro for $1.36 billion in cash, implying an equity value of $1.79 billion. That is about 90% below the workplace collaboration company’s $17.5 billion valuation in late 2021.

From Digital Whiteboard To AI Workspace

Founded in 2011 as RealtimeBoard, Miro began as a digital whiteboarding tool for remote teams. Demand surged during the pandemic, helping the company expand from about five million users to roughly 30 million between 2020 and 2022.

Miro later added more than 250 integrations and partnerships with Atlassian, Cisco, Microsoft and Zoom. Today, it describes itself as an “AI innovation workspace,” offering AI assistants, prototyping tools and integrations with GitHub, Jira and Slack.

Growth Slowed After The Pandemic

Miro now has more than four million paying customers and 100 million total users, with about $600 million in annual recurring revenue. Businesses and enterprises generate roughly 90% of revenue, while the company has about $435 million in net cash and is profitable.

Its valuation decline reflects a broader reset in SaaS markets. As pandemic-driven demand faded, companies cut software spending and consolidated overlapping tools, increasing pressure on stand-alone collaboration platforms competing with broader ecosystems from companies such as Microsoft, Canva and Figma.

Bending Spoons Targets Mature Software

Miro has also reduced its workforce since reaching about 1,200 employees in 2022, cutting 119 positions in February 2023 and another 275 in October 2024, according to its CEO.

The acquisition fits Bending Spoons’ broader strategy of buying established software companies whose valuations have fallen but whose recurring revenue and user bases remain substantial. It previously agreed to acquire Airtable for $1.28 billion after the company had been valued above $11 billion in 2021.

For Bending Spoons, the strategy is a bet on durable revenue and profitability rather than the rapid-growth expectations that drove software valuations during the pandemic.

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