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Wall Street’s Outlook For The S&P 500 In 2025: Strong Growth Expected

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

December 4, 2024

Wall Street analysts are projecting continued strong returns for the S&P 500 in 2025, with most major banks forecasting a third consecutive year of impressive performance for the index, which tracks the 500 largest public U.S. companies. Investors are buoyed by the ongoing bull market, which is expected to continue into the next year.

Key Predictions

Bank of America: The bank expects the S&P 500 to reach 6,666 by the end of 2025, marking a 10% increase from its current level of 6,050. Analysts, led by Savita Subramanian, attribute this growth to favorable macroeconomic factors, including lower interest rates, increased labor productivity, and a corporate environment of rising profits. Subramanian adds that “the average stock is more attractive than the entire index.”
BMO Capital Markets: This Canadian institution predicts the S&P 500 will hit 6,700 points by year-end, implying an 11% growth. Chief strategist Brian Belsky notes that earnings growth is currently undervalued, and rate cuts by the Federal Reserve should support further gains.
Deutsche Bank: Setting the highest target on Wall Street, Deutsche Bank forecasts a 16% rise, predicting the S&P 500 will end 2025 at 7,000 points. Strategists, including Binky Chadha, suggest that increased capital spending outside of big tech, a global economic recovery, and rising M&A activity will contribute to this strong performance.
Evercore ISI: Focusing on technology, Evercore predicts 6,600 points by mid-2025. Strategists led by Julian Emanuel believe the bull market is “still in its infancy,” signaling the potential for ongoing growth.
Goldman Sachs: With a target of 6,500 points (+9%), Goldman Sachs anticipates continued U.S. economic expansion and an 11% increase in earnings per share, driving market growth.
Morgan Stanley: Morgan Stanley also sets a target of 6,500 points but provides a broader range of potential outcomes, from a bullish scenario of 7,400 points (+26%) to a bearish scenario of 4,600 points (-28%).
UBS: Forecasting 6,600 points by the end of 2025, UBS expects a 10% gain, bolstered by the return of Donald Trump to the presidency, which has accelerated positive market sentiment.
Yardeni Research: This independent firm is even more optimistic, predicting the S&P 500 will reach 7,000 points by the end of 2025, reflecting a 19% increase. Yardeni’s forecast is rooted in the potential economic benefits of a “Trump 2.0” administration.

Big Number

Yardeni Research also predicts that the S&P 500 could climb as high as 10,000 by 2029, anticipating a strong annualized return of 16%.

Key Story

The S&P 500 is on track for a 27% year-to-date gain, surpassing its 23% rise in 2023. This would mark the first time the index has gained at least 20% in two consecutive years since the internet boom between 1995 and 1998. With a 58% rise since the end of 2022, the S&P is poised for its best two-year performance since the late 1990s.

Much of the recent growth has been driven by major tech companies like Amazon, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla, which have each seen over 150% growth since the end of 2022, defying the pressures of a high-interest rate environment.

Toyota’s Global Production Declines For 10th Consecutive Month, Yet Sales Show Growth

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

December 26, 2024

Despite a consistent drop in global production, Toyota Motor reported an uptick in worldwide sales for the second month in a row, driven by strong demand in the United States and China.

In November 2024, Toyota’s global output fell to 869,230 vehicles, a 6.2% decrease compared to the same month the previous year. This decline was steeper than the 0.8% drop observed in October.

The company’s production in the U.S. dropped by 11.8%, showing slow recovery. However, the production of models like the Grand Highlander and Lexus TX SUV resumed after a four-month hiatus in late October.

In China, Toyota’s production decreased by 1.6%, a smaller drop compared to the previous month’s 9% decline. The company benefited from higher local sales of models such as the Granvia and Sienna minivans, as well as the electric sedan bZ3, developed jointly with BYD.

As Chinese automakers like BYD gain ground, Toyota has decided to establish an independent plant in Shanghai and plans to start manufacturing electric vehicles for its Lexus luxury brand by 2027, according to a report from Nikkei.

Production in Japan, which accounts for about a third of Toyota’s global output, was down 9.3% in November. This was partly due to a two-day production halt at the company’s Fujimatsu and Yoshiwara plants.

Despite the production challenges, Toyota saw a 1.7% increase in global sales, reaching 920,569 vehicles in November, setting a new record for the month. However, for the period from January to November 2024, global production fell by 5.2% year-over-year, totalling around 8.75 million vehicles. During the same period, global sales declined by 1.2%.

These figures include Toyota’s Lexus brand but exclude sales from its group companies, Hino and Daihatsu.