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Visa Surpasses Profit Expectations Amid Strong Consumer Spending

Visa (V.N) reported fourth-quarter profits that exceeded Wall Street expectations, with shares rising 2% in after-hours trading. U.S. consumer spending has remained robust, bolstered by travel and dining, prompting analysts to foresee a soft landing for the economy.

In the quarter, Visa’s payment volume increased by 8% on a constant-dollar basis, and cross-border volume surged by 13%. CFO Chris Suh noted that consumer spending across segments has been stable, with expectations of continued resilience into 2025. However, growth in the Asia-Pacific region has fallen short, particularly in China, due to weak business sentiment and a property crisis. Visa forecasts adjusted net revenue growth for 2025 in the high single digits to low double digits, slightly below Wall Street’s 10.8% estimate.

In addition to its earnings, Visa faces a lawsuit from the U.S. Justice Department, alleging monopolistic practices in the debit card market, which the company calls meritless. This follows a previous legal setback in June when a judge rejected a $30 billion antitrust settlement involving Visa and Mastercard (MA.N). CEO Ryan McInerney expressed confidence in Visa’s competitive position.

Visa also plans to lay off about 1,400 employees and contractors by year-end. The company reported fourth-quarter net revenue of $9.62 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $9.49 billion. On an adjusted basis, Visa earned $2.71 per share, beating the expected $2.58. Visa’s shares have gained 8.3% in 2024, trailing behind the S&P 500 index’s 22% rise.

Bitcoin Surges 23% In A Week As Investor Optimism Returns

Bitcoin was on track for a weekly gain of around 23% on Friday as a series of positive macroeconomic and policy developments boosted investor sentiment.

The cryptocurrency was trading about 6% higher at roughly $77,000, up from around $62,800 at the start of the week. Crypto-related stocks also rallied, with Coinbase and Circle gaining more than 9%, while Strategy rose 7%.

Macro Factors Fuel Rally

Bitcoin’s latest surge began Wednesday after Treasury yields fell sharply following a major intervention by the U.S. Treasury in the bond market. Lower yields eased pressure on risk assets and helped trigger a broader move into cryptocurrencies.

The rally was further amplified by a major short squeeze. Around $2.7 billion in crypto short positions were liquidated, according to CoinGlass.

Max Stuedlein, head of Partnerships at Sygnum APAC, said the move reflected an alignment of macroeconomic and policy catalysts, including the Treasury’s decision to increase buybacks of longer-dated government debt.

Clarity Act Boosts Sentiment

Investor confidence improved further on Thursday as the White House and crypto industry leaders made a final push to advance the Clarity Act in the coming weeks.

The legislation is widely viewed as a potential catalyst for the crypto market, although its chances of passing remain relatively limited.

Despite the rally, bitcoin remains well below its 2026 high of $94,820 reached in January and its all-time high of $126,198, set last October.

Analysts See More Volatility Ahead

Lucy Gazmararian, founder and managing partner at Token Bay Capital, said the crypto market may be approaching the end of its bear cycle.

She expects bitcoin could experience one more decline of around 20% before the market turns, pointing to historical cycles and the recent liquidation of heavily leveraged short positions.

Gazmararian also described bitcoin as a long-term hedge against monetary debasement, while warning that its short-term price remains highly volatile and driven by market cycles.

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