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Venture Capital Struggles: 2023 Marks Lowest Investor Returns Since 2011

The venture capital (VC) industry is grappling with its worst liquidity crisis in over a decade, as exits such as IPOs remain scarce in the aftermath of the boom years of 2020 and 2021. New data from PitchBook, cited by *The Wall Street Journal*, paints a stark picture of the situation in 2023.  

U.S. venture capital firms invested $60 billion more into startups than they returned to their investors, marking the largest deficit in PitchBook’s 26-year history of tracking this data. Moreover, VCs returned only $26 billion in shares to their investors last year, the lowest total since 2011.  

While exits have slowed to a trickle, the industry has paradoxically seen record-high investment levels in recent years. The past three years collectively recorded the largest annual totals of venture funding in history, despite the limited liquidity events.  

There is hope that the situation could improve in 2024. Companies such as Klarna and ServiceTitan are reportedly preparing IPOs, which may help reopen the exit market and begin to reduce the record deficit. For now, however, the VC industry faces mounting challenges in balancing its high levels of investment with its need to deliver returns to investors.

Bitcoin Surges 23% In A Week As Investor Optimism Returns

Bitcoin was on track for a weekly gain of around 23% on Friday as a series of positive macroeconomic and policy developments boosted investor sentiment.

The cryptocurrency was trading about 6% higher at roughly $77,000, up from around $62,800 at the start of the week. Crypto-related stocks also rallied, with Coinbase and Circle gaining more than 9%, while Strategy rose 7%.

Macro Factors Fuel Rally

Bitcoin’s latest surge began Wednesday after Treasury yields fell sharply following a major intervention by the U.S. Treasury in the bond market. Lower yields eased pressure on risk assets and helped trigger a broader move into cryptocurrencies.

The rally was further amplified by a major short squeeze. Around $2.7 billion in crypto short positions were liquidated, according to CoinGlass.

Max Stuedlein, head of Partnerships at Sygnum APAC, said the move reflected an alignment of macroeconomic and policy catalysts, including the Treasury’s decision to increase buybacks of longer-dated government debt.

Clarity Act Boosts Sentiment

Investor confidence improved further on Thursday as the White House and crypto industry leaders made a final push to advance the Clarity Act in the coming weeks.

The legislation is widely viewed as a potential catalyst for the crypto market, although its chances of passing remain relatively limited.

Despite the rally, bitcoin remains well below its 2026 high of $94,820 reached in January and its all-time high of $126,198, set last October.

Analysts See More Volatility Ahead

Lucy Gazmararian, founder and managing partner at Token Bay Capital, said the crypto market may be approaching the end of its bear cycle.

She expects bitcoin could experience one more decline of around 20% before the market turns, pointing to historical cycles and the recent liquidation of heavily leveraged short positions.

Gazmararian also described bitcoin as a long-term hedge against monetary debasement, while warning that its short-term price remains highly volatile and driven by market cycles.

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