The University of Cyprus Economic Research Centre (ERC) has updated its 2024 economic growth forecast for Cyprus, projecting a rise to 3.5% due to favorable economic conditions observed in early and mid-2024. The projection for 2025 remains steady at 3.3%. Key growth drivers include a stable labor market, controlled inflation, and lower interest rates, while ongoing positive trends in tourism, consumer spending, and vehicle registrations further boost economic activity. The ERC also mentions potential risks, including external economic conditions, fiscal policies, and geopolitical events that could impact growth stability.
ERC reports robust domestic indicators for the third quarter of 2024, including higher tourist arrivals, increased property transactions, and a reduction in unemployment. Nonetheless, it highlights that sustained reforms and investment are crucial to supporting projected growth and addressing potential challenges, such as climate risks and external inflation pressures.
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It also underlines that “fiscal risks owing to pending infrastructure projects and incomplete reforms could lead to lower-than-projected growth. On the other hand, a stronger reform drive, new investments, and targeted measures to address cost-of-living pressures may result in better-than-forecast growth rates.”
