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University of Cyprus ERC Boosts 2024 Economic Growth Forecast to 3.5%

The University of Cyprus Economic Research Centre (ERC) has updated its 2024 economic growth forecast for Cyprus, projecting a rise to 3.5% due to favorable economic conditions observed in early and mid-2024. The projection for 2025 remains steady at 3.3%. Key growth drivers include a stable labor market, controlled inflation, and lower interest rates, while ongoing positive trends in tourism, consumer spending, and vehicle registrations further boost economic activity. The ERC also mentions potential risks, including external economic conditions, fiscal policies, and geopolitical events that could impact growth stability.

ERC reports robust domestic indicators for the third quarter of 2024, including higher tourist arrivals, increased property transactions, and a reduction in unemployment. Nonetheless, it highlights that sustained reforms and investment are crucial to supporting projected growth and addressing potential challenges, such as climate risks and external inflation pressures.

It also underlines that “fiscal risks owing to pending infrastructure projects and incomplete reforms could lead to lower-than-projected growth. On the other hand, a stronger reform drive, new investments, and targeted measures to address cost-of-living pressures may result in better-than-forecast growth rates.”

Cyprus Construction Trends: Permit Count Slips While Value and Scale Surge in 2025

The Cyprus Statistical Service (Cystat) has reported a notable shift in the construction landscape for 2025. The latest figures reveal a modest 1.9% decline in building permits issued in March compared to the same month last year, signaling a nuanced trend in the nation’s developmental activities.

Permit Count Decline in March

In March 2025, authorities authorised 572 building permits—down from 583 in March 2024. The permits, which total a value of €361.5 million and cover 296,900 square metres of construction, underscore a cautious pace in permit approval despite ongoing projects. Notably, these permits are set to facilitate the construction of 1,480 dwelling units, reflecting an underlying demand in the housing sector.

Q1 2025: Growth in Value, Construction Area, and Dwelling Units

While the number of permits in the first quarter (January to March) decreased by 15.8% from 1,876 to 1,580, more significant, economically relevant metrics saw robust growth. Total permit value surged by 21.7%, and the authorised construction area expanded by 15.6%. Additionally, the number of prospective dwelling units increased by 16.7% compared to the corresponding period last year. This divergence suggests that although fewer permits were issued, the scale and ambition of the approved projects have intensified.

New Regulatory Framework and the Ippodamos System

Since 1 July 2024, a pivotal transition has taken place in permit administration. The responsibility for issuing permits has moved from municipalities and district administration offices to the newly established local government organisations (EOAs). The integrated information system, Ippodamos, now oversees the licensing process, streamlining data collection on both residential and non-residential projects across urban and rural areas.

Comprehensive Data Collection for Enhanced Oversight

The Ippodamos system categorises construction projects using the EU Classification of Types of Construction (CC). This platform gathers extensive data on the number of permits authorised, project area and value, and the expected number of dwelling units. It covers a broad spectrum of construction activities—from new builds and civil engineering projects to plot divisions and road construction—while excluding renewals and building divisions. The thoroughness of this new regulatory structure promises greater operational transparency and more informed decision-making for policymakers and industry stakeholders.

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