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Ukraine Secures Preliminary Agreement For $20 Billion Debt Restructuring

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

July 23, 2024

In a significant development, Ukraine has reached a preliminary agreement with creditors to restructure $20 billion of international bonds. Announced on Monday, this move aims to stabilise the war-torn nation’s economy amid ongoing conflict with Russia.

The agreement comes just a week before the expiration of a two-year debt payment suspension arranged in 2022. Ukraine’s Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko highlighted the importance of this deal for maintaining fiscal stability and funding defence efforts.

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The proposal involves a 37% nominal haircut on Ukraine’s outstanding international bonds, saving Kyiv $11.4 billion over the next three years, aligning with its IMF programme set to conclude in 2027. This agreement is a historic first, occurring during an active full-scale war.

Economic Impact and Strategic Significance

The restructuring plan is critical as Ukraine’s economy has been severely affected by the prolonged conflict with Russia, which began with the invasion in 2022. The war has decimated the country’s economic infrastructure, leading to heavy reliance on international financial and military assistance.

The deal is designed to preserve Ukraine’s budgetary stability and ensure the availability of cash reserves necessary to sustain its defence and other essential expenditures. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Group of Creditors of Ukraine (GCU) have endorsed the agreement, confirming its compliance with the $122 billion support package framework.

Political and Economic Context

The timing of this agreement is particularly pertinent, given the upcoming U.S. presidential elections in November. A potential shift in U.S. policy, especially under a Trump administration, could affect the continuity of support for Ukraine. This has intensified the urgency for securing a stable financial future through debt restructuring.

Future Prospects

This preliminary agreement marks a pivotal step towards economic recovery and stability for Ukraine. It underscores the resilience of the nation’s financial strategies amid unprecedented challenges. The deal also sets a precedent for debt restructuring during wartime, reflecting Ukraine’s determination to navigate its fiscal crises effectively.

UAE’s Foreign Trade Hits Record $820 Billion In 2024, Fueled By Strategic Deals

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

February 5, 2025

In 2024, the UAE’s foreign trade reached a historic $820 billion (AED 3 trillion), marking a significant achievement for the nation. This milestone was driven by a rise in international trade agreements, with Dubai’s ruler, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, highlighting the pivotal role these partnerships played in the country’s economic growth.

Strong Trade Growth

The UAE’s foreign trade saw a robust 14.6% year-on-year growth in 2024, a stark contrast to global trade growth of just 2%. Sheikh Mohammed credited the nation’s ongoing efforts to strengthen economic ties globally, with a particular emphasis on the role of UAE President Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, who has worked tirelessly to cultivate stronger international relationships.

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The Impact Of CEPAs

A key contributor to the UAE’s foreign trade success is the implementation of Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreements (CEPAs). These agreements, spearheaded by Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed, added an impressive $36.8 billion (AED 135 billion) to the UAE’s non-oil trade in 2024, marking a 42% increase from the previous year. These agreements are helping to cement the UAE’s position as a global trade hub.

Achieving Ambitious Goals Early

In 2021, the UAE set an ambitious target of reaching $1.1 trillion (AED 4 trillion) in foreign trade by 2031. By the end of 2024, the country had already achieved 75% of this goal, putting it on track to surpass this target well ahead of schedule. This rapid progress reflects the UAE’s strong economic vision and strategic focus on progress over politics.

Exports Surge

The UAE’s exports also saw a significant jump in 2024, rising 32% between January and October compared to the same period in 2023. This performance highlights the strength of the country’s industrial strategy and its growing global market access.

Outlook for 2025

The UAE’s economic outlook remains strong, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasting 4% growth in 2025, driven by non-oil sectors such as tourism, construction, and financial services.

In conclusion, the UAE’s record-breaking trade figures are a testament to its effective economic strategies and its growing influence in global markets.