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UK Business Confidence Plummets Amid Post-Budget Fallout

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

January 7, 2025

British businesses faced a rocky December as economic growth nearly stalled, and job cuts surged at the fastest rate in nearly four years, a reflection of shaken confidence following the government’s October budget.

The latest S&P Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the UK edged down to 50.4 in December, barely clinging above the crucial 50-point threshold that separates growth from contraction. This was the lowest reading since October 2023 and just a hair below November’s 50.5, reinforcing concerns about the country’s economic trajectory.

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Budget Blues Weigh Heavy

The slowdown follows Finance Minister Rachel Reeves’ budget announcement on October 30, which introduced hefty tax hikes for businesses to finance increased public spending. The impact has been profound, with a slump in corporate morale reverberating through the economy. According to recent data, Britain’s economy stagnated in the three months leading up to September. The Bank of England’s forecast of flatlining growth in the final quarter of 2024 appears to align with these PMI figures.

Tim Moore, Economics Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, highlighted the persistent gloom:
“December saw no improvement in business optimism following the budget, with growth expectations for the year ahead stuck at November’s 23-month low.”

Job Cuts Hit Hard

Companies slashed jobs at a rate not seen since January 2021, during the height of COVID-19 lockdowns. Rising costs, including a looming increase in employer social insurance contributions set for April, were the main driver of these cuts, according to S&P Global. Nearly one in four firms reported a reduction in payroll, marking the sharpest decline in over 15 years outside of pandemic conditions.

Costs Climb, Optimism Fades

The PMI’s measure of future output hit its lowest point since December 2022, mirroring the uncertainty sparked by former Prime Minister Liz Truss’ “mini-budget.” Meanwhile, input costs for businesses rose at their fastest pace since April, squeezing margins further.

Sectors across the board felt the strain. December’s services PMI, a significant contributor to the composite index, was revised down to 51.1 from an earlier estimate of 51.4. Manufacturing fared even worse, with its PMI dropping to an 11-month low of 47.0, down from an initial 47.3.

Looking Ahead

While business groups have criticised the budget’s immediate impact, some economists believe increased government spending could provide a short-term boost to the economy in 2025. For now, however, companies are grappling with an increasingly challenging environment, where rising costs and regulatory pressures continue to erode confidence.

This ongoing turbulence leaves many questioning how long UK businesses can tread water in such stormy conditions.

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Only 1% Of Cyprus Farms Use Precision Farming Technologies

Cyprus remains one of the European Union’s least digitised agricultural economies, with just 1% of farms using precision farming technologies in 2023, according to Eurostat.

The findings come as the EU continues to encourage the adoption of digital tools aimed at improving agricultural productivity, efficiency and sustainability.

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Internet Access Expands, But Digital Uptake Lags

Internet access has improved across the bloc, although adoption remains uneven. Eurostat found that 43% of EU farms had internet access in 2023, with northern and central European countries leading the way.

Denmark, Germany, Slovakia, Latvia, the Czech Republic and Austria all reported internet access rates above 90%.

Greater connectivity, however, has not translated into widespread digital adoption. Farm management information systems, which help farmers manage day-to-day operations, were used by only about 11% of EU farms. France was a notable exception, with around 60% of farms using the technology.

Precision Farming Concentrated In Larger Operations

Robotics adoption also remained relatively limited, with only about 7% of EU farms using robotic technologies. Overall, around 18% of farms with utilised agricultural area employed at least one precision farming technology or practice in 2023.

These included robotics for plant protection, band spraying, variable-rate application, precision crop monitoring and soil analysis. Despite representing fewer than one in five farms, these holdings accounted for around 44% of the EU’s utilised agricultural area.

The figures suggest that precision farming remains concentrated among larger agricultural businesses, where investment in digital technologies is typically easier to support.

Cyprus Lags Behind EU Leaders

Luxembourg, Finland and Estonia recorded the highest shares of utilised agricultural area managed by farms using precision farming technologies, each exceeding 75%.

At the other end of the ranking, Cyprus recorded just 1%, while Greece and Romania reported between 10% and 15%. The results indicate that Cyprus remains at an early stage of digital adoption in agriculture, even as precision farming becomes more widespread across parts of the European Union.