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UAE’s Non-Oil Sector Maintains Growth Momentum In February Amid Rising Orders And Output

The UAE’s non-oil sector continued its steady expansion in February, driven by an increase in new orders and output levels, according to the latest S&P Global UAE Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report.

Sustained Growth In Non-Oil Activity

The seasonally adjusted PMI stood at 55, marking a strong improvement in the non-oil economy and staying above the long-term average of 54.4. While slightly below December’s nine-month high of 55.4, the reading indicates continued resilience in business conditions.

Companies surveyed reported robust growth in input stocks, reflecting higher demand. However, challenges such as staffing constraints, delayed payments, and administrative bottlenecks contributed to an increase in backlogged work, although at a slightly lower rate than January’s eight-month peak.

New Orders And Employment Trends

  • 29% of businesses saw increased activity in February, while only 5% reported a decline.
  • Market demand was supported by stronger advertising initiatives and stable output prices.
  • Despite growth, competition from local and international players slightly slowed the expansion of order books.
  • Inventory levels reached their highest in over a year, as businesses ramped up input purchases.

Employment levels remained largely stable, with only a few firms increasing their workforce. While order volumes grew significantly, staffing constraints limited businesses’ ability to scale operations quickly.

Price Pressures And Market Outlook

David Owen, Senior Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, noted that while competition has kept price hikes in check, rising cost pressures have led to a slight acceleration in selling price inflation.

“Firms continue to feel the pressure of intense competition, which has capped price increases,” Owen said. “Nevertheless, businesses are eager to secure new work, leading to a rapid accumulation of backlogged orders.”

Looking Ahead

While the UAE’s non-oil sector remains on a growth trajectory, businesses face challenges related to operational delays and cost pressures. However, sustained demand and increased input investments signal a positive outlook for the coming months.

The AI Agent Revolution: Can the Industry Handle the Compute Surge?

As AI agents evolve from simple chatbots into complex, autonomous assistants, the tech industry faces a new challenge: Is there enough computing power to support them? With AI agents poised to become integral in various industries, computational demands are rising rapidly.

A recent Barclays report forecasts that the AI industry can support between 1.5 billion and 22 billion AI agents, potentially revolutionizing white-collar work. However, the increase in AI’s capabilities comes at a cost. AI agents, unlike chatbots, generate significantly more tokens—up to 25 times more per query—requiring far greater computing power.

Tokens, the fundamental units of generative AI, represent fragmented parts of language to simplify processing. This increase in token generation is linked to reasoning models, like OpenAI’s o1 and DeepSeek’s R1, which break tasks into smaller, manageable chunks. As AI agents process more complex tasks, the tokens multiply, driving up the demand for AI chips and computational capacity.

Barclays analysts caution that while the current infrastructure can handle a significant volume of agents, the rise of these “super agents” might outpace available resources, requiring additional chips and servers to meet demand. OpenAI’s ChatGPT Pro, for example, generates around 9.4 million tokens annually per subscriber, highlighting just how computationally expensive these reasoning models can be.

In essence, the tech industry is at a critical juncture. While AI agents show immense potential, their expansion could strain the limits of current computing infrastructure. The question is, can the industry keep up with the demand?

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