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Turkey’s Central Bank Faces Another Billion-Dollar Loss in 2024, Raising Alarm on Economic Stability

Turkey’s central bank has posted a staggering loss of 700.4 billion Turkish lira ($18.4 billion) for 2024, according to the latest balance sheet published in the Official Gazette. This marks a troubling continuation of financial strain, following a similar shortfall of 818.2 billion lira ($25 billion) in 2023. This deepening crisis underscores the mounting pressure on the country’s financial system, already strained by the ongoing economic turbulence, as reported by Dünya.

The losses come as a sharp contrast to the bank’s previous profits—57.5 billion lira in 2021 and 72 billion lira in 2022—highlighting the extent of the current crisis. These back-to-back deficits are largely attributed to the central bank’s controversial foreign exchange-protected deposit scheme. Launched in late 2021 to curb the plummeting value of the Turkish lira, the program aimed to stabilize the currency by compensating depositors for any losses caused by currency fluctuations. The scheme, which ended earlier this year, has placed an enormous strain on the central bank’s reserves.

As a result, the central bank has been unable to transfer any profits to the Treasury for the second consecutive year—a worrying sign for the country’s fiscal health.

In addition to the losses, the central bank’s fiscal report for 2024 shows a notable rise in its total assets, which increased from 6.92 trillion lira in 2023 to 8.59 trillion lira by the close of 2024. This growth, however, offers little reassurance in the face of the mounting financial difficulties.

Turkey’s economic outlook remains grim as inflation continues to ravage the economy. The country has battled double-digit inflation since 2019, with everyday living costs rising steadily. While the official inflation rate fell to 38.1% in March, marking its 10th consecutive month of decline, independent economists from the Inflation Research Group (ENAG) paint a much bleaker picture, estimating a 75.2% rise in consumer prices for the same period.

Compounding the country’s economic woes, a political crisis ignited by the arrest of İstanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu has further unsettled markets. The charges against İmamoğlu, widely seen as politically motivated, have only deepened uncertainty surrounding Turkey’s economic and financial future.

In response to the turbulence, the central bank has taken the drastic step of selling off foreign exchange reserves in an attempt to stabilize the lira’s exchange rate. Media reports suggest that the central bank’s losses could balloon to over $45 billion, exacerbated by the fallout from İmamoğlu’s arrest and the broader political climate.

With the central bank’s general assembly set to convene on April 30 to discuss these dismal results, the focus remains squarely on how Turkey’s financial authorities will navigate this storm of economic and political challenges.

MENA Venture Capital Stable As International Investor Activity Shifts

A Data-Led Analysis Of Investor Behavior In A War-Affected Region

Venture capital activity in the Middle East and North Africa remained relatively stable one month after the escalation of regional conflict. Early data, however, indicate changes in investor behavior rather than immediate shifts in funding totals. Initial signals are visible in investor participation, capital allocation, and deal pipeline activity.

Venture Markets And The Lag In Response

Funding announcements reflect decisions made months earlier, meaning that today’s figures do not capture the full impact of current events. Investors typically adjust strategies gradually, signaling future shifts long before they are immediately visible in total funding numbers.

International Capital As The Key Pressure Indicator

Participation of international investors remains a key indicator across the MENA venture market. Global capital has historically accounted for a significant share of funding in the region. Following global interest rate increases, international participation declined through 2023. This shift was reflected in lower cross-border deal activity, more cautious capital deployment, and longer fundraising timelines.

Implications For The Broader Startup Ecosystem

Changes in international investor activity affect multiple parts of the startup ecosystem. A recovery in participation was recorded in 2024 and continued into 2025, supporting funding activity and cross-border investment. If uncertainty persists, potential effects include slower investment decisions, reduced cross-border engagement, and extended fundraising cycles. International capital also plays a role in supporting larger funding rounds and access to global networks.

Next Steps For Stakeholders

International capital represents one of several factors shaping venture activity in the region. Its movement often precedes changes in late-stage funding, startup formation, and exit activity. Investors, policymakers, and ecosystem participants rely on data and scenario analysis to assess these trends and adjust strategies.

For A Deeper Insight

Further analysis on venture activity, capital flows, and geopolitical impact across the region is available in the full MAGNiTT report.

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