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The Nobel Prize in Economics goes to prosperity researchers

Darren Acemoglu, Simon Johnson and James A. Robinson received this year’s Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences for their contributions to proving the importance of public institutions to a country’s prosperity.

KEY FACTS

  • The prestigious prize, officially known as the Sveriges Riksbank Prize for Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, is the last prize awarded this year and is worth SEK 11 million ($1.1 million).
  • This year’s laureates showed that one of the explanations for differences in countries’ prosperity is the social institutions introduced during European colonization. Inclusive institutions were often introduced in countries that were poor at the time of colonization, which over time led to general prosperity for the population. This is an important reason why former colonies that were once rich are now poor and vice versa.
  • Introducing inclusive institutions would create long-term benefits for everyone, but extractive institutions provide short-term gains for those in power. As long as the political system ensures they retain their control, no one will trust their promises of future economic reforms. According to the laureates, this is the reason why there is no improvement.
  • “Reducing the huge income gaps between countries is one of the greatest challenges of our time. The laureates have demonstrated the importance of public institutions in achieving this,” said Jakob Svensson, Chairman of the Economic Sciences Prize Committee.
  • “Societies with poor rule of law and institutions that exploit the population do not generate growth or change for the better,” the prize’s organizers add on their website.

TANGENT

Darren Acemoglu and Simon Johnson work at MIT, while James Robinson is at the University of Chicago.

Acemoglu and Johnson recently collaborated on a book researching technology through the ages that demonstrates how some technological advances are better at creating jobs and spreading wealth than others.

KEY STORY

The Economics Prize is not one of the original science, literature and peace prizes created by the will of dynamite inventor and businessman Alfred Nobel and first awarded in 1901, but is a later additional prize established and funded by the Central Bank of Sweden in 1968.

Past recipients of the award include a number of influential thinkers such as Milton Friedman, and John Nash – played by actor Russell Crowe in the 2001 film A Beautiful Mind, and former US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke.

Last year, Harvard economic historian Claudia Goldin won a prize for her work highlighting the causes of pay and labor market inequality between men and women.

Satya Nadella Warns Enterprises They Are Paying Twice For AI

One concern is increasingly shaping the debate around artificial intelligence: proprietary AI models may be functioning less like neutral tools and more like strategic Trojan horses.

As startups and large enterprises rely on models from companies such as OpenAI and Anthropic, critics argue that model providers gain access to valuable institutional knowledge that could eventually become a competitive advantage against the very companies using their systems.

The Data Paradox At The Heart Of Enterprise AI

Warnings about this dynamic have come from investors and executives, including Jason Calacanis and Palantir CEO Alex Karp. Now Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella has entered the debate with a blog post published on Sunday, arguing that enterprise customers are effectively paying twice for AI.

First, they pay for token usage. Then, more quietly, they pay with the proprietary knowledge required to make the model genuinely useful.

“You essentially pay for intelligence twice, once with money, and again with something even more valuable: the proprietary knowledge you must reveal to make that intelligence useful. The better you want the model to perform, the more of that knowledge you have to feed it!”

Nadella argues that enterprises are teaching AI models how their businesses operate through prompts, workflows and corrections.

“Models learn from ‘exhaust,’ the prompts people write, the tools agents use, and especially the corrections people make when the model is wrong. Every correction is distilled into institutional know-how.”

Fair Use, Distillation, And The Battle Over Model Access

Nadella also challenges the industry’s own logic. If AI companies are allowed to train their models on publicly available content, he argues, enterprises should also be free to learn from those models.

Distillation, the practice of using one model’s outputs to train another, has become one of AI’s most contentious issues. Earlier this year, Anthropic accused Chinese developers of sending millions of prompts to Claude to improve competing models and called for tighter U.S. export controls.

Nadella argues that the industry cannot champion openness when it benefits model developers while restricting imitation when it benefits customers.

“While the great innovation that comes from model providers having fair use rights to train models on public data is needed, I find it ironic that the status quo is to then turn around and impose restrictive terms on distillation.”

Ownership, Control, And The Push Toward Open Systems

Another of Nadella’s concerns is that some AI providers reserve the right to learn from customer prompts and interaction data, creating what he sees as a structural conflict between vendors and enterprise customers.

His proposed solution is for organisations to retain ownership of their data, including prompts and feedback, while building proprietary learning environments in the cloud. He also encourages companies to adopt orchestration layers that make it easier to switch between AI models instead of becoming dependent on a single provider.

That approach is already gaining traction. AI gateways that route requests across multiple models are becoming increasingly popular as businesses seek greater flexibility, stronger governance and tighter cost control.

Although Nadella does not explicitly frame his argument as a case for open source, it aligns closely with a broader enterprise shift toward models that organisations can run and manage themselves.

Why Open Source Is Winning Share In The Enterprise

Large organisations with their own data centres are increasingly deploying open-source models on premises, allowing them to keep sensitive data within their own infrastructure while reducing costs.

Idit Levine, founder and CEO of Solo.io, says many customers are moving in that direction after experimenting with proprietary vendors.

“Can I take an open source model and run it on-prem? It will do almost 90% of what the big one’s doing. It will cost way less. They understand that, and they can control it.”

The trend extends beyond infrastructure providers. Companies including Vercel and OpenRouter have reported growing adoption of open-source models. According to Vercel, open models accounted for 29% of traffic routed through its AI gateway last month.

The Strategic Signal For Enterprise Leaders

Microsoft’s position reflects a broader shift in enterprise AI, where ownership, portability and control are becoming almost as important as model performance.

As Nadella concluded:

“In consuming intelligence, you are creating intelligence. And what you create should belong to you.”

For enterprise leaders, that is increasingly becoming not just a philosophical principle, but a procurement strategy.

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