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The Energy Equation: How Power Constraints Could Redefine AI Investments

Venture capital investment in AI startups exceeded $500 billion over the past five years. Analysis by Sightline Climate indicates growing interest in energy infrastructure as power demand from AI systems increases.

Data Center Dilemmas

Research shows nearly 50% of announced data center projects may face delays due to limited access to power. Of 190 gigawatts of planned capacity, only 5 gigawatts are currently under construction. Approximately 6 gigawatts of new capacity came online in the past year, while around 36% of projects recorded delays in 2025. Constraints may affect companies expanding AI infrastructure and cloud operations.

Investors Eyeing Power Supply Innovations

The gap between power supply and demand is attracting investment. Companies, including Google and Meta, have increased spending on renewable energy projects such as solar, wind, and nuclear. Google has also backed Form Energy’s long-duration battery technology. Startups including Amperesand, DG Matrix, and Heron Power are developing power conversion systems, while Camus, GridBeyond, and Texture focus on software to manage electricity flows.

Adapting To An Evolving Grid

Pressure on power grids is increasing due to limited generation capacity and equipment shortages, including gas turbines. Technology companies, including Amazon, Google, and Oracle, are exploring on-site and hybrid energy solutions. Google signed an agreement to power a data center in Minnesota using wind, solar, and a 30 gigawatt-hour battery system from Form Energy. The approach aims to improve reliability and reduce dependence on existing grid infrastructure.

Modernizing Transformer Technology

Power management remains a constraint for data centers. Traditional transformers based on long-established designs are less suited to higher power density requirements. Server racks are expected to reach 1 megawatt, increasing demand for more compact and efficient systems. Investors are focusing on solid-state transformers that use semiconductor technology to improve efficiency and reduce space requirements. Higher upfront costs remain a barrier, but long-term operational benefits are expected for large-scale facilities.

Meta’s $18 Billion Settlement Limits State Claims Over Children’s Data

Meta’s $18 billion settlement with attorneys general from 29 U.S. states includes a provision limiting future state claims over the company’s use of children’s data for age-assurance systems.

Under the agreement, Meta must develop, train and begin testing a system to identify users under 13 within a year of the settlement taking effect. The company already uses AI-based age-detection tools, although the agreement does not require the new system to use AI.

States Agree To Limits On Future Claims

The Children’s Online Privacy Protection Act (COPPA) generally restricts the collection and retention of personal data from children under 13. Under the settlement, the 29 state attorneys general agreed not to bring past, present or future claims under COPPA or similar state laws over the specified use of children’s data.

Meta will not be permitted to use information from users under 13 for advertising, marketing or algorithmic optimisation.

Federal Enforcement Remains Unclear

COPPA is primarily enforced by the Federal Trade Commission, which is not a party to the agreement. That leaves open the possibility of separate federal action over how Meta collects or uses children’s data.

Another issue is whether Meta can keep age-assurance data isolated from its other systems. An independent auditor will monitor compliance, but the settlement does not fully specify what data Meta can retain for training, how long it can be stored or whether derived insights can be used elsewhere.

Legal Risks Remain

Joshua Wurtzel, a partner at Schlam Stone & Dolan, said states could still pursue claims if Meta uses the data outside the settlement’s limits. Such cases could depend on how those limits are interpreted.

Peter Jackson, a data and intellectual property attorney at Greenberg Glusker, said the provision could “disincentivize future enforcement actions.”

The agreement gives Meta greater legal certainty around using children’s data for age assurance, but questions remain over federal enforcement, data retention and secondary use.

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