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The $100 Billion Gamble: Microsoft, OpenAI, And The Race For AGI

Microsoft and OpenAI are chasing a colossal prize: artificial general intelligence (AGI) capable of generating $100 billion in profit. It’s a staggering figure that’s shaping their partnership and defining what success looks like for both companies. But while this business-driven metric sets a clear target, it’s a far cry from the philosophical vision of AGI—an AI that can outperform humans in most economically valuable tasks.

The Reality Check

Here’s the kicker: OpenAI is nowhere near hitting that financial goal. The company is burning through billions, with losses expected to continue until at least 2029. And the financial strain is only one piece of the puzzle.

OpenAI’s dependence on Microsoft, which has poured billions into the startup, has come at a cost. The exclusive deal requires OpenAI to rely heavily on Microsoft’s cloud infrastructure. While this partnership has fueled OpenAI’s rapid growth, it’s also created friction.

Friends Or Frenemies?

Sam Altman has described the partnership with Microsoft as “the best friendship in tech,” but cracks are showing. OpenAI has been renegotiating terms to gain more flexibility, including the ability to buy computing power from Oracle. These changes signal a growing desire to ease the pressure of being tied too closely to a single partner.

At the heart of this partnership is a fascinating clause: if OpenAI achieves AGI, Microsoft loses access to the technology. This safeguard is meant to prevent misuse of AGI, but it also raises the stakes. The closer OpenAI gets to AGI, the more complicated this “friendship” could become.

The Cost Of Ambition

OpenAI’s expenses are jaw-dropping. By the end of 2024, the company will have spent at least $5.4 billion on computing power alone, with annual costs expected to skyrocket to $37.5 billion by 2029. Despite this, the startup is betting big on its future, exploring partnerships with heavyweights like Apple, Nvidia, and MGX to diversify its support system.

What’s Next?

The $100 billion target isn’t just a financial goal—it’s a litmus test for whether OpenAI can achieve the kind of scale and impact that AGI promises. But AGI remains a distant dream, and until then, OpenAI will continue walking a tightrope: innovating at breakneck speed while managing the weight of its partnership with Microsoft.

For now, the tech world is watching closely, because this isn’t just a story about a company—it’s a story about the future of intelligence itself.

Forbes Middle East Unveils 100 Most Powerful Businesswomen Of 2025

Forbes Middle East has unveiled its much-anticipated 2025 ranking of the region’s top businesswomen, spotlighting influential leaders reshaping industries and driving meaningful transformation. The list was based on business size, individual accomplishments, leadership impact, and corporate social responsibility initiatives.

Top Spot For Hana Al Rostamani

For the third consecutive year, Hana Al Rostamani, Group CEO of First Abu Dhabi Bank (UAE’s largest bank by assets), claims the top position. In addition to retaining her position in the Forbes Middle East ranking, she was also featured on Forbes’ 2024 list of the World’s Most Powerful Women, securing the 60th position globally. Under her leadership, the bank achieved an impressive $3.5 billion in net profits and $334.8 billion in assets in the first nine months of 2024.

Rising Stars In The Top 10

Shaikha Khaled Al Bahar of NBK Group and Shaista Asif, cofounder and Group CEO of PureHealth Holding, take the second and third spots respectively, completing the top three.

The top 10 remains largely unchanged from last year, with Tayba Al Hashemi of ADNOC Offshore, Alisha Moopen of Aster DM Healthcare GCC, and Suzanne Al Anani of Dubai Aviation Engineering Projects (DAEP) making their debut in the top 10. In total, 27 new leaders have joined the list this year.

A Diverse And Powerful Group Of Women

This year’s list features 100 women from 32 sectors and 29 nationalities, underlining the diversity of talent driving the region’s progress. The banking and financial services sector leads with 25 entries, followed by healthcare and technology with nine each, and venture capital with five. Remarkably, 40% of the top 10 women are from the banking and financial services sector. Notably, Shaista Asif (PureHealth Holding) and Alisha Moopen (Aster DM Healthcare GCC) are the only non-Arab women in the top 10.

UAE Leads With 46 Leaders

The UAE continues to dominate, with 46 of the women on the list hailing from the country, solidifying its status as a global business hub. Egypt follows with 18 influential women, and Saudi Arabia claims nine entries. Egyptians lead in representation, followed by Emiratis and Lebanese women.

Empowering Women Through Initiatives

Several of the leaders have focused on upskilling and creating opportunities for women. Susana Rodriguez Puerta launched the ‘sAIdaty’ initiative in collaboration with the Dubai Business Women Council, aimed at providing 500 female council members in the UAE with AI skills. Similarly, Lamia Tazi of SOTHEMA collaborated with the Foundation for Research, Development, and Innovation in Science and Engineering to provide scholarships to PhD students from low-income backgrounds.

Click here for the full list.

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