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Tesla’s Bold Vision: Projecting 20-30% Growth in 2025

Tesla surprised investors with an optimistic forecast, projecting a 20-30% growth in vehicle sales for 2024, which drove a 12% surge in the company’s shares in after-hours trading. CEO Elon Musk’s announcement relieved investors, who had been concerned about Tesla’s robotaxi rollout after a lackluster debut earlier this month. The company’s confidence in its core electric vehicle business, supported by lower production costs, soothed fears about market challenges.

In the third quarter of 2024, Tesla’s vehicle production costs fell to a record low of $35,100, which helped expand profit margins to 17.05%, exceeding analysts’ expectations. This cost efficiency and growth in autopilot software adoption helped the company boost earnings despite recent price cuts in the competitive electric vehicle market.

Tesla’s third-quarter adjusted profit stood at 72 cents per share, beating Wall Street’s average estimate of 58 cents. The company delivered 1.29 million vehicles in the first nine months of 2024 and needs to deliver just over half a million more by year-end to surpass its previous record.

Musk’s projection of driverless cars offering paid rides by next year, and Tesla’s efforts to enhance production efficiency, have positioned the company well for continued growth despite challenges in the EV market. Tesla remains committed to expanding its lineup with more affordable models expected by 2025, focusing on AI and production investments.

Although the market remains cautious about sustaining these high margins in the final quarter of the year, Tesla’s third-quarter performance and optimistic outlook have sparked renewed investor confidence.

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Key Points:

  • Sales Growth: Tesla forecasts a 20%-30% increase in vehicle sales for 2025.
  • Share Price: Shares surged 12% following Musk’s announcement.
  • Production Costs: Vehicle production costs dropped to $35,100, raising profit margins to 17.05%.
  • Earnings: Adjusted profit reached 72 cents per share, exceeding estimates.
  • Deliveries: Tesla delivered 1.29 million vehicles in 2024’s first three quarters, needing 514,925 more for a record.
  • Future Plans: Plans for driverless cars and affordable models are set for 2025.

Cloudflare Sets New Default To Separate Search Crawlers From AI Bots

Cloudflare has drawn a sharper line between traditional search and artificial intelligence.

Beginning September 15, 2026, the company will change its default settings to block so-called mixed-use crawlers from pages that run ads, unless a site owner chooses otherwise. The policy applies to new Cloudflare customers, new sites created by existing customers, and all current free customers.

A Clearer Divide In Web Access

The shift could materially reshape how AI companies collect web data for model training and agentic products. Cloudflare’s central argument is straightforward: most publishers want their content to remain visible in search and accessible through certain AI services, but they do not want that same material repurposed without compensation.

In Cloudflare’s view, the problem is not crawling itself. It is the blending of three different functions: search, agentic use, and training into a single bot that makes it difficult for website owners to set meaningful boundaries.

The Google Question

Cloudflare pointedly referenced the “world’s largest search engine,” an unmistakable nod to Google, arguing that it has access to roughly twice as much information as rival AI companies because it makes it harder for customers to stay discoverable without also being used for AI.

Google has disputed that framing. The company offers Google Extended, a crawler setting that lets publishers opt out of having content used for training and AI products such as Gemini apps and Vertex AI, without affecting visibility in Google Search. At the same time, Googlebot still crawls for Search and for AI-powered features such as AI Overviews and AI Mode.

Publishers Want Reach, Not Exploitation

Matthew Prince, Cloudflare’s co-founder and chief executive, said the company is moving quickly because the internet is now dominated by machine traffic.

“Now that the majority of traffic on the Internet is non-human, we must go further and act faster so that a sustainable ecosystem can emerge,” Prince said, referring to the recent milestone in which bots surpassed human traffic online sooner than expected.

Prince added that Cloudflare’s tools and partnerships are designed to give publishers more visibility and commercial leverage, while also rewarding AI companies that are transparent about how they use content.

From Pay Per Crawl To Pay Per Use

Cloudflare has increasingly positioned itself as a gatekeeper for publishers looking to assert control in the AI era. The company already offers tools to block AI bots, along with a marketplace called Pay Per Crawl, which lets websites charge AI systems for scraping.

That framework is now expanding into Pay Per Use, which Cloudflare says will allow publishers to charge AI companies when content creates value, not merely when it is fetched. In practical terms, that shifts the economics from extraction to monetization.

Cloudflare says the move may also reduce waste. Its data suggests more than half of crawl traffic from AI bots is spent revisiting pages that have not changed, consuming bandwidth and compute without adding fresh value for either side.

Early Partners Signal The Commercial Model

To launch the new system, Cloudflare is working with Ceramic.ai and You.com. Under the opt-in model, publishers can be paid when their content appears in Ceramic’s AI search results or when You.com accesses premium material.

Cloudflare says other AI companies can adapt the model to fit their own products. The broader message is clear: the era of unrestricted crawling is giving way to one in which access, attribution, and compensation are increasingly negotiated rather than assumed.

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