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Stability In Consumer Prices Persists Amid Sectoral Shifts

Stable Price Trends Maintain Hold

The latest report from the Consumer Protection Service reveals that consumer prices continue to exhibit stable restraint. According to the monthly Price Observatory, despite varied fluctuations across categories, annual inflation has remained in negative territory for the sixth consecutive month. The analysis, which tracks 250 basic consumer products across 400 retail outlets, confirms that inflation declined from 0.9 percent in July and August to 0.7 percent in September, and finally to 0.3 percent in October 2025.

Sector Dynamics And Price Adjustments

The detailed observatory data highlights distinct trends among product categories. Services, for example, experienced the most substantial year-on-year increase in October at 3 percent, whereas petroleum products and agricultural commodities saw marked declines by 7.5 percent and 2.6 percent respectively. Additionally, electricity prices fell by 2 percent on an annual basis, although a modest month-to-month rise of 1.7 percent was noted. Out of 45 distinct product categories, 33 experienced moderate monthly increases of less than 3 percent, while 11 categories became notably cheaper than in October 2024, with some reductions reaching up to 16 percent.

Notable Product Price Movements

Within the granular breakdown of product prices, certain items stood out. Evaporated and sweetened milk saw a 6.5 percent rise, while frozen molluscs and shellfish edged upward by 6.2 percent. Instant coffee, fresh vegetables and herbs, infant formula, oil, vegetable shortening, and frozen pasta also recorded increases ranging from 2.1 to 3.5 percent. Conversely, fresh meat dropped by 3.4 percent compared with September and other staples, such as frozen fish, rice, tomato paste, sugar, and canned fish, registered annual declines between 1.1 and 7.1 percent.

Supermarket Pricing Insights And Digital Comparisons

The report further outlines a concurrent initiative that compares supermarket prices for items listed on the e-kalathi digital platform. During the period from October 15 to November 19, the number of identical products across seven major supermarket chains increased from 228 to 257. While the rankings of the most expensive and cheapest chains remained unchanged, the overall basket value rose from €147.05 to €153.68. On November 19, the top-tier supermarket’s basket cost €1,090 in comparison to €936.50 at the lowest-priced competitor.

Consumer Guidance And Strategic Considerations

The Consumer Protection Service advises consumers to leverage the e-kalathi platform and its mobile app for more informed purchasing decisions. It is important to note, however, that while the Price Observatory offers comprehensive data and analysis, it does not substitute for personal market research. Consumers are encouraged to consider qualitative differences and conduct thorough checks in line with their preferences and needs. Detailed data can be accessed directly on the Consumer Protection Service’s website.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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