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S&P’s Credit Rating Upgrade Highlights Strengthened Position Of Bank Of Cyprus

In a significant development for Cyprus’ financial sector, Standard & Poor’s (S&P) has upgraded the long-term credit rating of the Bank of Cyprus to BB+, just one notch below investment grade, with a positive outlook. This upgrade reflects the bank’s enhanced capital position and robust profit-generation capacity, coupled with a reduction in economic risks within Cyprus.

Strengthened Capitalisation and Profitability

S&P’s upgrade follows a similar improvement in Cyprus’ sovereign credit rating, signifying broader economic stability. The agency cited the bank’s strengthened capitalisation and its ability to maintain solid profitability, even in a challenging economic environment. Despite the anticipated decline in favourable conditions due to high interest rates, S&P expects the Bank of Cyprus to sustain a resilient net interest margin of 350-400 basis points in 2024 and 2025.

Cost Control and Sustainable Profitability

S&P also highlighted the importance of strict cost control measures in maintaining sustainable profitability. The bank’s cost-to-income ratio is projected to move towards 44-46% by the end of 2026, a significant improvement from the high of 66% observed between 2018 and 2022. This reflects the bank’s strategic focus on efficiency and cost management.

Risk Normalisation and Asset Quality

The agency noted an ongoing normalisation of risk costs, including provisions for recovered real estate assets, which are expected to drop below 80 basis points. This decline is set to further fortify profitability as interest rates stabilise. S&P anticipates the bank will maintain a return on tangible equity above 16% for 2024, and around 12-13% from 2025 to 2026.

Broad Sectoral Recovery

The upgrade also reflects a broader recovery within the Cypriot banking sector. Following years of significant non-performing loan (NPL) sales, securitisations, write-offs, and recoveries, the sector has largely absorbed the impact of the 2012 financial crisis. Although the NPL ratio remains higher compared to other European banks, it continues to decline, reaching 7.3% at the end of March 2024, with a coverage ratio of 53.3%.

Future Prospects

Looking ahead, S&P expects Cypriot banks to gradually expand their operations as legacy issues from problematic loans diminish. The sector is projected to see an average lending growth of 2.5% from 2024 to 2027, marking a shift from the deleveraging trend observed in recent years.

Apple Loses €13 Billion Tax Battle Against EU: A Landmark Decision for Big Tech

In a landmark ruling, the European Court of Justice has upheld the European Union’s demand for Apple to pay €13 billion in back taxes to Ireland, marking a significant defeat for the tech giant. This decision sets a major precedent for the regulation of Big Tech companies, as it reaffirms the EU’s commitment to curbing tax avoidance by multinational corporations operating within its borders.

The case, which dates back to 2016, centres around allegations that Apple received illegal state aid from Ireland through preferential tax arrangements. The European Commission argued that these agreements allowed Apple to avoid paying its fair share of taxes on profits generated in Europe, effectively granting the company an unfair competitive advantage. The Commission initially ordered Apple to repay €13 billion, a decision the company contested in court.

Apple’s defence has always hinged on the argument that it followed the tax laws as they were written and that the profits in question were largely attributable to its operations outside of Europe. Despite this, the EU maintained that Apple’s arrangement with Ireland constituted illegal state aid, as it allowed the company to channel significant revenue through the country while paying a fraction of the taxes it would have owed in other jurisdictions.

This ruling is seen as a watershed moment in the ongoing debate around tax fairness and the role of multinational corporations in the global economy. For the European Union, the outcome reaffirms its position as a global leader in the push for corporate tax transparency and accountability. By holding Apple accountable for its tax practices, the EU is sending a clear message to other tech giants, signalling that no company, regardless of its size or influence, is above the law.

The implications of this decision are likely to reverberate throughout the tech industry, with other major corporations potentially facing increased scrutiny over their tax arrangements. In recent years, there has been growing public and governmental pressure to ensure that Big Tech companies contribute their fair share to the economies in which they operate. This ruling could catalyze further regulatory action, both within the EU and globally.

For Apple, the financial impact of the ruling is significant, but perhaps more important is the reputational damage it may suffer. As one of the world’s most valuable companies, Apple has long been in the spotlight for its tax practices, and this decision is likely to reignite debates over corporate responsibility and the ethics of tax avoidance.

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