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Should UK Tech Look East Or West?

The UK faces a strategic crossroads in its tech industry: should it align more closely with the US or Europe? While the British government touts its desire to act as a bridge between these two global powers, critics argue that such a position is more symbolic than financially impactful. The real opportunity for the UK lies in becoming a destination in its own right—a node, not just a connection.

The UK’s Tech Potential

Over the past two decades, the UK has emerged as a top global destination for tech innovation. With a strong research and development base, world-class talent, and a mature venture capital ecosystem, Britain has become home to over 750 VC-backed companies that generate $25 million or more in revenue. This vibrant tech scene contributes to the overall dynamism of the UK economy, making the country an attractive location for tech investment.

In October, the UK’s Council for Science and Technology outlined five key recommendations to further enhance the country’s appeal as a hub for innovation: mobilizing pension fund assets for growth capital, improving connections between private and public markets, developing specialist skills, enhancing public sector support for innovation, and building greater awareness of the UK’s strengths as an investment destination.

Government Support And Its Limitations

Despite the government’s efforts—such as the AI Opportunities Action Plan and ongoing discussions about restructuring the pension fund sector—support for tech innovation remains secondary to concerns about wealth inequality. The concentration of tech success in prosperous cities like London doesn’t align directly with government priorities to improve living standards in less affluent regions. This discrepancy helps explain recent tax changes that have frustrated the tech sector.

The Dilemma: US Or Europe?

A key question has emerged for the UK: should it focus on becoming more like the US or Europe in terms of tech? Some believe this dilemma has become more urgent due to the unpredictable nature of US politics, especially under the Trump administration. The UK is deeply dependent on US tech firms and VCs for both technology and capital, which has influenced its foreign policy and tech regulations. At the same time, post-Brexit, its connections with Europe have weakened, although European tech entrepreneurs still view the UK as an appealing place to start a business, albeit less attractive than before.

A Path Forward: Looking Inward

Rather than choosing between East or west, the UK should focus on simplifying regulations for startups, incentivizing entrepreneurship, and increasing growth capital. The country remains a talent magnet, and its VC sector is still dominant in Europe. By creating an environment that fosters innovation and attracts international founders, the UK can continue to grow its tech sector, benefiting from the influx of global tech talent, including potential “refugees” from uncertain political climates like the US.

Ultimately, a thriving economy built on tech innovation will benefit everyone. The UK should position itself as a leader in fostering that innovation, drawing from both US and European strengths while charting its course.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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