Saudi Arabia’s Economic Resilience Surpasses Forecasts Amid Robust Private Growth

Impressive First-Quarter Results

In a noteworthy performance, Saudi Arabia’s economy expanded by 3.4 percent in the first quarter of 2025, surpassing earlier flash estimates of 2.7 percent issued by the Saudi General Authority for Statistics. This stronger-than-expected growth reflects a combination of a less severe contraction in the oil sector and robust performance in the non-oil segment, underscoring the momentum built through economic reforms.

Follow THE FUTURE on LinkedIn, Facebook, Instagram, X and Telegram

Sectoral Insights and Shifting Dynamics

Notably, oil-related GDP contracted by a marginal 0.5 percent, a significant improvement from the previously forecasted decline of 1.4 percent. Meanwhile, non-oil growth surged by 4.9 percent, outpacing initial estimates of 4.2 percent. Analysts, including Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, attribute these gains to sustained private sector dynamism and an adaptive response to lower oil prices through increased production.

Balancing Fiscal Pressures and Growth Initiatives

Despite these favorable figures, the kingdom faces fiscal challenges. With a widening budget deficit, driven in part by falling oil revenues, the International Monetary Fund has warned that maintaining a balance would require oil prices exceeding $90 per barrel, even as current prices hover around $60. In response, Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan has signaled a forthcoming review of spending priorities to mitigate fiscal strain. Nonetheless, persistent project investments, fueled by large-scale events and ongoing development under Vision 2030, are expected to sustain economic momentum.

Vision 2030 and Future Prospects

Central to the kingdom’s long-term strategy is Vision 2030, a transformative initiative aimed at reducing oil dependency and boosting the private sector. With upcoming international events such as the 2029 Asian Winter Games and the 2034 World Cup, substantial investments in infrastructure and construction are set to bolster growth despite current fiscal challenges. Senior economist Daniel Richards of Emirates NBD remains optimistic, highlighting that the breadth of ongoing project spending will support growth in the near term.

Conclusion

The resilient performance of Saudi Arabia’s economy in the first quarter of 2025, coupled with strategic reforms under Vision 2030, demonstrates its ability to adapt and thrive amid global fluctuations. As the kingdom navigates fiscal pressures and leverages private sector strength, its economic trajectory continues to offer compelling insights for global market observers.

The Future Forbes Realty Global Properties

Navigating Persistent Pressures: Labour Shortages, Bureaucracy, And Payment Delays In Limassol

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

December 19, 2025

Labour Shortages Challenge Expansion

Recent data from the Limassol Chamber Of Commerce And Industry underscores the enduring pressure within Limassol’s business community. Rather than indicating a sudden economic downturn, the survey reveals a gradual intensification of challenges that have long been a concern for local enterprises.

Skilled Labour In Short Supply

At the forefront is a chronic shortage of skilled labour, which accounts for 22.5% of the responses. Companies across a diverse range of sectors—from engineering and technical services to professional driving and specialized sales—are grappling with vacancies that remain open for extended periods. The persistent demand for critical skills forces many firms to overextend their existing workforce or postpone strategic projects. While recruiting talent from abroad is increasingly seen as a necessity, the process is often hampered by procedural delays, strict regulatory constraints, and rising employment costs.

Follow THE FUTURE on LinkedIn, Facebook, Instagram, X and Telegram

Administrative Complexities And Public Sector Frustration

In addition to labour challenges, businesses express deep frustration with public-sector inefficiencies. Slow administrative procedures, fragmented communication, and a lack of clear guidance have rendered government support only marginally effective. With more than half of respondents regarding public services as minimally helpful, the inefficiencies highlight a system that frequently delays critical decisions and complicates routine business processes.

Deteriorating Payment Discipline

The survey also highlights a significant decline in payment discipline, with difficulties in collecting debts now ranking third among business concerns at 11.8%. Late payments are intensifying cash-flow pressures, extending through supply chains and further straining liquidity. Added to this is a sluggish justice system, where prolonged court delays have left companies financially exposed, often shouldering the burden of non-compliant customers while legal remedies lag behind.

Cost Pressures And Cautious Investment

Rising labour costs, intense domestic competition, and the pressure of lower-cost international markets — particularly in Asia — are driving firms to reconsider their investment priorities. Although nearly 60% of businesses intend to hire in the near term, investment plans in infrastructure, technology, and renewable energy are markedly selective. Overall sentiment remains cautious, with two-thirds of respondents expecting sales to stay level, both domestically and in overseas markets.

Calls For Policy Reforms And Digital Transformation

In an environment strained by excessive bureaucracy and inconsistent policy, businesses advocate for decisive governmental action. Respondents have pointed to the need for reduced business taxation, streamlined administrative processes, and more responsive public services. Furthermore, investment in digital transformation, artificial intelligence tools, and enhanced collaboration with academic and research institutions are seen as critical to boosting competitiveness and fostering innovation.

Conclusion: A Need For Strategic Reforms

The autumn 2025 barometer paints a picture of a resilient business community operating under increasing strain. With entrenched labour shortages, administrative inefficiencies, and deteriorating payment discipline, there is a clear call for targeted reforms. Addressing these structural challenges will be essential for ensuring that Limassol’s businesses not only sustain their current operations but also position themselves for future growth in an increasingly competitive global landscape.

Breaking news