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Saudi Arabia’s Economic Growth: A Non-Oil Driven Success

In the first quarter, Saudi Arabia’s economy experienced a notable upswing, propelled by strong activity in the non-oil sector. As the kingdom continues its strategic pivot away from hydrocarbons, the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 2.7% year-on-year, according to flash estimates from the government’s statistical authority.

Increased Demand for Data-Driven Insights

The statistical authority responded to mounting local demand for detailed data by expanding its data collection efforts and updating the nominal and real GDP series. Fahad al Dossari, President of GASTAT, highlighted the hunger for comprehensive statistics among stakeholders.

Non-Oil and Government Activities Drive Growth

With the weighting of the non-oil sector increased to align with international standards, non-oil activities surged by 4.2% in the first quarter, while government activities grew by 3.2%. Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, noted the contribution of government activity, spurred by a supported oil price, although cautioning about a potential pullback in government spending in the subsequent quarters.

Challenges and Outlook

Despite the promising start, oil-related activities fell by 1.4%, underlining the challenges of diversifying away from oil. As part of Vision 2030, Saudi Arabia requires substantial investment to bolster the private sector and expand its non-oil economy. A Reuters poll suggests that Brent crude will average $68.99 a barrel in 2025, a decrease from earlier forecasts, placing pressure on Saudi fiscal plans, which rely on higher oil prices to balance the budget.

Shein Targets $25 Billion Valuation In Hong Kong IPO As Growth Slows

Shein is reportedly targeting a valuation of around $25 billion in its planned Hong Kong IPO, a sharp decline from the nearly $100 billion valuation the online fashion retailer achieved in a 2022 fundraising round.

Two people familiar with the plans said the company was likely to target about $25 billion, while another source put the expected range at $25 billion to $28 billion based on the proposed price band.

IPO Valuation Falls Sharply

Shein plans to sell up to 8% of its shares in the offering, according to a person familiar with the plans. At a $25 billion valuation, that would translate into an IPO of as much as $2 billion.

The latest target is also below the $30 billion to $40 billion valuation the company was seeking earlier this month as it began meeting with potential investors.

Founded in China in 2012 and now headquartered in Singapore, Shein sells low-cost clothing to consumers in about 160 countries. The company is expected to launch its long-awaited Hong Kong IPO later this week.

Trade Restrictions Weigh On Growth

Shein’s valuation has come under pressure as major markets tighten rules affecting low-cost e-commerce shipments. The European Union, for example, has moved to impose additional fees on cheap parcels from platforms such as Shein and Temu. EU Tightens Rules On Low-Cost E-Commerce Parcels

In the U.S., the removal of an import duty exemption for small packages has also affected the company. Shein reported a $99 million quarterly loss in the first quarter of 2026 as sales growth slowed, while a one-time accounting charge further weighed on its results. Shein Reports First-Quarter Loss Ahead Of IPO

Investors Question Shein’s Growth Prospects

The steep reduction in valuation reflects growing concerns over slower growth, higher trade costs, regulatory pressure and stronger competition across global e-commerce.

Some investors who reviewed Shein’s recent financial statements or attended IPO presentations told Reuters they were skeptical that the company could return to the growth rates that supported its $98.2 billion valuation in 2022. Shein’s Slowing Growth Tests Investor Appetite

A lower IPO valuation could also affect Shein’s existing investors. Under the terms of its IPO filing, the company may have to issue additional shares to certain pre-IPO investors if its valuation falls below agreed thresholds.

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