Increased Demand for Data-Driven Insights
The statistical authority responded to mounting local demand for detailed data by expanding its data collection efforts and updating the nominal and real GDP series. Fahad al Dossari, President of GASTAT, highlighted the hunger for comprehensive statistics among stakeholders.
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Non-Oil and Government Activities Drive Growth
With the weighting of the non-oil sector increased to align with international standards, non-oil activities surged by 4.2% in the first quarter, while government activities grew by 3.2%. Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, noted the contribution of government activity, spurred by a supported oil price, although cautioning about a potential pullback in government spending in the subsequent quarters.
Challenges and Outlook
Despite the promising start, oil-related activities fell by 1.4%, underlining the challenges of diversifying away from oil. As part of Vision 2030, Saudi Arabia requires substantial investment to bolster the private sector and expand its non-oil economy. A Reuters poll suggests that Brent crude will average $68.99 a barrel in 2025, a decrease from earlier forecasts, placing pressure on Saudi fiscal plans, which rely on higher oil prices to balance the budget.
