Saudi Arabia Poised To Raise Oil Prices To Asia, Reaching 14-Month High

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

January 28, 2025

Saudi Arabia is set to significantly increase its official selling prices (OSPs) for crude oil to Asia for March shipments, marking the largest hike since January 2024. This move is driven by tighter supply and rising benchmark prices, largely influenced by OPEC+ production cuts, reduced exports from Iran and Russia, and recent U.S. sanctions on Russian oil.

As the Middle East’s key crude benchmarks continue to surge on the back of limited Russian supply to major Asian markets like China and India, Saudi Arabia’s state-owned oil giant, Aramco, is expected to raise its flagship Arab Light grade prices by up to $2.50 per barrel over Oman and Dubai benchmarks, according to a Reuters survey of Asian refiners. Some refinery sources predict the hike could reach as high as $3 per barrel.

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If the expected increase is confirmed next week, the price of Arab Light could rise to a premium of at least $3.50 per barrel over the Oman/Dubai average, the highest premium since early 2024. This would follow Saudi Arabia’s February price hike, which surpassed expectations due to tightening supply in Asia, exacerbated by ongoing OPEC+ cuts and the decline in Russian and Iranian oil exports.

The surge in Oman and Dubai benchmarks in the past month has been driven by the decrease in Russian and Iranian output, with the U.S. imposing stricter sanctions on Russian oil trade starting January 10. Saudi Arabia typically announces its pricing for the next month by the 5th, setting the pace for other Middle Eastern oil producers’ prices in Asia.

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EU Farm Output Prices Decline For The First Time In Nine Months

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

March 12, 2026

EU Market Adjustments Signal New Price Trends

Agricultural output prices across the European Union declined in the fourth quarter of 2025, marking a shift after several quarters of increases. Data from Eurostat shows that farm gate prices fell by 1.9% compared with the same period in 2024.

Crisis of Declining Prices In Select Markets

Cyprus recorded one of the more notable decreases in agricultural input costs among EU member states, with prices falling by 2.6% compared with Q4 2024. The reduction eased cost pressures for the local agricultural sector following periods of higher prices earlier in 2025. Across the EU, prices for goods and services consumed in agriculture remained relatively stable. Non-investment inputs such as energy, fertilisers and feedingstuffs showed limited overall changes during the quarter.

Country-Specific Divergence In Price Movements

Eurostat data highlights considerable variation across member states. Fifteen EU countries recorded declines in agricultural output prices. Belgium registered the largest decrease at 12.9%, followed by Lithuania (8.2%) and Germany (6.0%). At the same time, twelve countries reported increases in output prices. Ireland recorded the strongest rise at 6.8%, followed by Slovenia (5.6%) and Malta (4.2%).

Stability In Agricultural Inputs Amid Commodity Shifts

Agricultural input prices also showed mixed developments. Eleven member states recorded declines, including Cyprus (2.6%), Belgium (2.1%) and Sweden (2.0%). Other countries experienced moderate increases, including Lithuania (4.2%), Ireland (3.3%) and Romania (2.5%). Among major agricultural commodities, milk prices declined by 4.1% while cereal prices fell by 8.9% across the EU. In contrast, fertilisers and soil improvers increased by 7.9%, reflecting continued volatility in input markets.

Outlook For EU Agriculture

The latest Eurostat data points to uneven price developments across the EU agricultural sector. While input prices remained broadly stable in many markets, movements in output prices varied significantly between member states. These trends highlight the need for farmers and policymakers to adapt to shifting commodity prices and changing cost structures across the European agricultural market.

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