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Rising Loan Demand Amid Stable Lending Conditions: Insights from the Cyprus Central Bank Survey

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

September 19, 2025

Increasing Demand Drives Loan Growth

The second quarter of 2025 witnessed a notable increase in net loan demand, spurred by both business and household sectors, according to the latest survey by the Central Bank of Cyprus. This surge is particularly evident in mortgage and consumer loan segments, reflecting a strong appetite across multiple financial channels.

Stable Lending Criteria Amid Competitive Pressures

Despite the rising demand, banks maintained unchanged lending criteria for both businesses and households compared to the previous quarter. The survey details that while the overall terms for new loans—including mortgages, consumer, and other household credit—remained stable, interest rates and bank margins experienced downward pressure. For businesses, lower interest rates on new loans were driven by increased competition and a perception of reduced risk, while similar competitive forces influenced the mortgage segment for households.

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Market Insights and Future Prospects

In the context of ongoing market dynamics, banks anticipate that lending terms for businesses will tighten in the third quarter, even as household lending standards are expected to remain unchanged. This forecast aligns with evolving economic conditions, where sustained loan demand for mortgages and consumer loans is underpinned by favorable interest rates, renewed consumer confidence, and improved housing market outlooks.

Drivers Behind the Demand

The survey highlights that increased business loan demand stems from financing requirements associated with inventory replenishment, working capital, and fixed investments. For households, emerging market trends, including attractive interest rates and a buoyant housing market, are key factors driving the rise in mortgage loan applications. Both segments have witnessed a strong correlation between market sentiment and loan uptake.

Conclusion

As the banking sector navigates a competitive landscape, the findings from the Central Bank of Cyprus underline a robust and stable lending environment in the second quarter of 2025. Businesses and households alike continue to pursue financing opportunities, positioning the market for further expansion as banks adjust their policies in response to shifting economic signals.

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Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

June 26, 2026

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

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Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.