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Rising Costs in Cyprus: Food Inflation Soars to 25.7% Amid Persistent Price Hikes

Cyprus is grappling with an unrelenting wave of inflation that continues to squeeze household budgets and challenge businesses. The latest data from the Cyprus Statistical Service reveals a 19.2% overall rise in prices, with food prices showing an even more alarming increase of 25.7%. This spike in food costs underscores the severity of the economic pressures impacting consumers and companies alike.

The root causes of this inflationary surge are multifaceted. Global factors, including the lingering effects of the pandemic, disruptions in supply chains, and the geopolitical crisis in Ukraine, have contributed significantly to the escalating prices. Energy costs, transportation challenges, and rising production expenses have compounded the situation, leaving Cypriot consumers facing the steepest increase in food prices seen in years.

Inflation’s ripple effects are felt most acutely in essential commodities. Basic food items such as bread, dairy products, and vegetables have become notably more expensive, straining the budgets of lower- and middle-income households. Many families have resorted to adjusting their spending habits, cutting back on non-essentials, and seeking lower-priced alternatives in an effort to cope with the price hikes.

From a business perspective, rising costs have created a challenging environment. Retailers and food producers are grappling with the delicate balance of managing increased overheads while trying to avoid passing too much of the burden onto consumers. As prices surge, businesses are faced with a potential decline in consumer spending, leading to lower profit margins and a potential shift in the competitive landscape. For some companies, these conditions could prompt innovation, particularly in finding more efficient methods of production or sourcing materials, but the road ahead remains uncertain.

The Cypriot government has taken some measures to mitigate the impact, including fuel subsidies and tax relief efforts, but these have so far proven insufficient in stemming the tide of rising costs. Calls for more robust interventions, such as targeted subsidies for essential goods or a reduction in VAT rates on food items, have gained traction in public discourse. However, with inflation largely driven by external global forces, the government’s ability to control the situation remains limited.

As inflationary pressures persist, both businesses and consumers will need to navigate an evolving economic landscape. For Cyprus, addressing these challenges may involve a combination of government action, industry innovation, and a recalibration of consumer behaviour. Ultimately, the capacity of both businesses and households to adapt will be key to weathering this period of heightened economic uncertainty.

ECB Raises Deposit Facility Rate For First Time In Nearly Two Years

Economic Shift: ECB Reverses Years Of Declining Rates

The European Central Bank (ECB) confirmed its first interest rate increase in nearly two years, raising the deposit facility rate in response to inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainty. Marking a shift in monetary policy, the move follows a period of rate cuts aimed at supporting economic activity and easing financing conditions.

Reevaluation Of Bank Liquidity Strategies

Although the immediate impact will be felt by only part of the borrowing market, the decision carries broader implications for banks. During the period of lower rates, banks maintained significant amounts of excess liquidity with the ECB as returns on these funds declined alongside deposit rates. With the deposit facility rate increasing by 0.25 percentage points to 2.25% from 2.00%, returns on surplus liquidity are expected to improve.

Higher interest rates, however, could also increase borrowing costs and influence lending conditions across the banking sector.

Transitioning Investment Approaches And Market Dynamics

Banks had already begun diversifying the use of excess liquidity through investments in bonds and by expanding lending activities.

Successive reductions in the deposit facility rate from 3.00% at the end of 2024 through four consecutive cuts in early 2025 reflected a more accommodative policy stance as inflation pressures moderated.

Sectoral Impact And Future Outlook

Data from the ECB’s 2025 monetary policy report show that liquidity in the Cypriot banking system declined from €19.2 billion at the end of 2024 to €18.6 billion by the close of 2025. Despite the reduction, liquidity levels remained elevated. Outstanding loans increased from €27.6 billion to €31.7 billion, while deposits recorded a slight decline. Customer deposits continued to account for the vast majority of funding. By the fourth quarter of 2025, they represented 95% of total liabilities, highlighting their importance as the banking sector’s primary source of financing.

Changes in ECB rates are expected to influence how banks manage liquidity and allocate capital as monetary conditions evolve.

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