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PwC Report Highlights AI’s Growing Impact On The Labour Market

The Two-Track Future Of Work

In a comprehensive study of over one billion job listings across six continents, PwC has revealed how artificial intelligence is fundamentally reshaping the global labor market. Their 2026 AI Jobs Barometer illuminates a dual trajectory where AI not only augments decision-making and creativity but also creates distinct professional and democratised career paths.

Professionalised And Democratised Roles

PwC’s findings suggest the emergence of a “two-track” labour market. In professionalised roles, including radiology and recruitment, AI helps automate routine tasks, placing greater emphasis on human judgement and expertise. Democratised roles, such as IT service management and medical secretarial work, are shaped by AI’s ability to simplify tasks for people without specialised knowledge.

Robust Growth And Enhanced Compensation

According to the report, professionalised roles are experiencing twice the job growth and salary increases that are 42% faster than those recorded in democratised roles. Companies with greater exposure to AI are also seeing stronger headcount growth. Employment at these firms increased by 53%, compared with 36% among their less-exposed peers, while wage growth reached 24% versus 17%.

Productivity Gains And Superstar Performers

PwC also examined the relationship between AI and productivity. The top 20% of companies with the highest levels of AI integration recorded a 163% increase in labour productivity since 2018. Across AI-exposed sectors, productivity growth reached 34% compared with previous years.

Rising Demand For AI-Specific Expertise

Demand for jobs requiring AI-related skills, including prompt engineering and machine learning, is growing almost eight times faster than the overall market. Since 2019, the number of AI-specific roles has increased by 69%, compared with 8.6% growth across the broader job market. Wage premiums for professionals with AI skills also increased, reaching 62%, up from 57% a year earlier.

Implications For Entry-Level Roles

AI-exposed occupations are increasingly requiring skills typically associated with more senior positions, including leadership, creativity, and interpersonal communication. As a result, openings for these “seniorised” positions increased by 35%, while entry-level roles in other sectors declined by 10%. According to PwC, these trends show how AI is influencing job requirements and productivity across industries.

ECB Wage Tracker Signals Stable Wage Pressures And Moderate Growth Through 2026

The European Central Bank has published an updated wage tracker showing that negotiated wage pressures remain stable. Based on agreements signed through the end of May 2026, negotiated wage growth is expected to reach around 2.6% by December.

Quarterly And Yearly Dynamics

The headline indicator, which smooths one-off payments to reflect quarterly and monthly developments, points to wage growth of 3.2% in 2025 and 2.3% in 2026. For 2026, average growth is estimated at 1.8% in the first quarter and 2.1% in the second quarter before accelerating to 2.6% in the final two quarters of the year.

Mechanical Effects And Forecast Nuances

According to the ECB, annual growth figures are still influenced by one-off payments made in 2024 but not repeated in 2025. Their impact is expected to gradually fade during 2026. Excluding the smoothing effect, the tracker points to negotiated wage growth of 3.0% in 2025 and 2.6% in 2026. Removing one-off payments altogether results in a decline from 3.8% in 2025 to 2.6% in 2026, indicating slower growth in base wages.

Employee Coverage And Forward-Looking Projections

Coverage data currently available for 2026 shows that employees included in the tracker accounted for 46.4% in the first quarter. That share falls to 44.8% in the second quarter, 41.1% in the third quarter, and 40.4% in the final quarter of the year. The current release extends to December 2026. Additional collective agreements included in the July 2026 update are expected to expand the horizon to the first quarter of 2027.

Caveats And Broader Context

The ECB said the tracker is subject to revision and should not be viewed as a formal forecast. Instead, it reflects information available from active collective bargaining agreements. For a broader picture of wage developments across the euro area, the central bank referred to the June 2026 Eurosystem Staff Macroeconomic Projections, which forecast compensation growth per employee of 3.2% in 2026.

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