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Potential Closure Of The Strait Of Hormuz: Supply Chain And Economic Challenges Ahead

Supply Chain Disruptions And Rising Costs

The potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz is being treated as a major risk for global supply chains. Philokypros Rousounides, Secretary General of the Cyprus Chamber of Commerce and Industry (Keve), told the Cyprus News Agency that any disruption to traffic through the strait would likely delay shipments, increase transport costs, and raise insurance premiums.

The waterway remains one of the most important routes for global energy and trade flows, making shipping activity highly sensitive to regional tensions.

Oil Market Volatility And Economic Impact

Energy market instability is adding pressure to supply chains. Rousounides said oil prices rose about 10% in a single day, with market expectations pointing to a possible range of $100–$120 per barrel if tensions persist. Higher oil prices would increase transport and operating costs across industries, particularly for businesses dependent on international logistics and time-sensitive deliveries.

Cautious Monitoring And Contingency Planning

Industry representatives say businesses are preparing contingency measures while avoiding panic. According to Rousounides, the chamber is monitoring developments closely and assessing alternative trade routes to reduce exposure to potential disruptions. The organization is also coordinating with international partners to ensure Cypriot companies have access to operational support if conditions worsen.

Implications For Tourism And Regional Stability

Rising tensions in the Middle East are also creating uncertainty for Cyprus’ tourism sector. Some tour operators have expressed concerns about regional stability, with discussions emerging around possible adjustments to summer travel plans. Business groups, including the Employers and Industrialists Federation (Oev), have called for risk-management planning to address potential economic spillover effects.

Coordinated Response And Future Outlook

Authorities and business organizations are increasing coordination as the situation develops. The Employers and Industrialists Federation has established a task force aimed at supporting affected companies, while state agencies are monitoring risks for citizens in the region. The economic impact will depend largely on how long tensions persist and whether disruptions to energy and shipping routes intensify.

Cyprus Expected Working Life Reaches 39.5 Years, Above EU Average

People in Cyprus are expected to spend 39.5 years in the workforce, around two years longer than the European Union average of 37.5 years, according to the latest Eurostat data for 2025.

The figure places Cyprus among the EU countries with the longest expected working lives.

Cyprus Ranks Above EU Average

Only a handful of member states recorded higher figures than Cyprus. The Netherlands topped the ranking at 44 years, followed by Sweden at 43.4 years, Denmark at 42.6 years, and Estonia at 41.5 years.

At the other end of the ranking were Romania with 32.7 years, Italy with 33.0 years, Bulgaria with 34.6 years and Greece with 35.3 years.

Gender Gap Remains Wider Than EU Average

Men in Cyprus are expected to remain in work for 42.1 years, compared with 36.7 years for women. The gap of 5.4 years exceeds the EU average gender gap of 4.1 years.

Across the bloc, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia were the only countries where women were expected to spend longer in employment than men. Finland recorded the smallest positive gender gap at 0.7 years.

Italy posted the widest gap at 8.9 years, followed by Romania at 6.9 years, Greece at 6.7 years and Malta at 6.3 years.

Working Lives Continue To Lengthen

Between 2016 and 2025, expected working life in Cyprus increased by 3.5 years, placing the country among the strongest performers in the EU over the period. Men’s expected working life rose by 3.3 years, while women’s increased by 3.6 years.

Across the EU, every member state recorded an increase. Malta posted the largest gain at 4.9 years, followed by Hungary and Ireland at 4.2 years each, and the Netherlands at 4.1 years.

Malta’s increase was driven largely by women, whose expected working life rose by 7.8 years, the biggest increase recorded across the bloc.

By comparison, Romania, Spain, Italy, Germany and Austria recorded gains of two years or less over the same period.

Women’s Working Lives Increase Faster Across Europe

Women’s expected working life increased faster than men’s in most EU countries. Denmark, Romania, Sweden and Greece were the main exceptions.

In Cyprus, gains for men and women were broadly similar, alongside Bulgaria, Belgium and Slovenia.

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