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Oil Prices Start The Week Lower Amid Uncertainty Over Trump’s Policies

Oil prices have opened the week on a downward note, as the market shifts focus to the incoming US President, Donald Trump. One of his first anticipated actions in office is the potential easing of sanctions imposed on Russia by his predecessor, Joe Biden.

Key Market Developments

  • Brent crude futures dropped by 0.28%, trading at $80.56 per barrel.
  • US light crude remained relatively steady, losing just 2 cents in the previous session, now sitting at $77.88 per barrel.
  • Despite the drop, both benchmarks posted a 1% increase last Friday, marking a fourth consecutive week of gains. This followed sanctions targeting Russian oil giants Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegaz, actions that disrupted the Russian oil industry, potentially cutting supplies by 700,000 barrels per day.

These sanctions have sent Moscow’s major customers, notably China and India, on the hunt for alternative oil sources, driving up delivery prices significantly.

The Focus Shifts To Trump’s Inauguration

The market’s attention is now squarely on Trump’s inauguration, with speculation about what immediate decisions he may make. Analysts expect Trump to announce moves designed to stimulate the economy, such as lifting the moratorium on licenses for US liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports, a step aimed at bolstering US energy exports and market influence.

Market Outlook: Uncertainty Looms

While recent sanctions on Russia have put pressure on global oil supplies, particularly impacting the flow of nearly 1 million barrels per day, analysts from ANZ suggest that the recent price hikes may be temporary. Trump’s pledges to swiftly end the Russia-Ukraine conflict could lead to the easing of some sanctions, potentially stabilizing the oil market and softening prices shortly. The direction Trump takes on this issue will be crucial in determining the future of both global energy supplies and oil prices.

Cyprus Government Fortifies Economic Resilience Amid Global Uncertainty

Government Commitment to Stability and Growth

Cyprus continues to build a strong and resilient economic foundation to support business planning and investment, as emphasized by Deputy Minister to the President Irene Piki. Representing President Nikos Christodoulides at the 12th Keve Business Leader Awards, Piki underscored that in today’s volatile global landscape, a consistent and reliable economy remains the cornerstone for long‐term strategic planning and confidence-building among businesses.

Strengthening Competitive Edge and Attracting Investment

Piki lauded the role of the Cyprus Chamber of Commerce and Industry (Keve) for its dedication to promoting Cyprus as an attractive investment destination and for supporting the expansion of local businesses. Reflecting on President Christodoulides’s recent address at Keve’s annual general assembly, she outlined the government’s vision for a more competitive Cyprus, which includes expanding market access, improving financing channels, and implementing a streamlined, business-friendly regulatory framework—all pivotal as Cyprus prepares for its EU Council presidency.

Economic Indicators Reflecting Confidence

Despite global uncertainties, Piki highlighted that the Cypriot economy continues to demonstrate resilience: gross domestic product grew by 3.4% in 2024, and forecasts indicate nearly 4% growth in 2025. With inflation remaining among the lowest in the European Union and unemployment dropping below 5%, these indicators affirm steady economic progress. Furthermore, positive ratings from international credit agencies, which have placed Cyprus in the A category with upbeat outlooks, underscore the success of prudent economic policies.

Fiscal Discipline and Strategic Investments

The government’s upcoming 2026 budget, which reinforces fiscal stability with a surplus balance and targets a decline in public debt to 50.9% of GDP, opens the door for strategic policy interventions. Piki noted that investments in energy, digital infrastructure, technology, and green growth are key priorities. Enhanced by the nearing completion of Recovery and Resilience Plan projects, Cyprus is now setting the stage for the next seven-year EU funding framework, ensuring a robust platform for sustained growth with active collaboration from the business community.

Regulatory Reforms and Market Liberalization

Central to the government’s agenda is the imminent tax reform, expected to be finalized on December 22 and implemented on January 1, 2026. This reform is designed to bolster business liquidity and attract new investments. The establishment of the National Enterprise Development Organisation further complements these efforts by offering financing tools and advisory services for small and medium-sized enterprises. Complementing these initiatives, the Cyprus Equity Fund is actively investing in innovative companies, while the Ministry of Energy grant schemes are projected to mobilize €360 million by 2027 to boost competitiveness.

Accelerating Digital Transformation and Energy Reforms

In its pursuit of a modernized business environment, the government is set to introduce a Business Service Centre in central Nicosia in 2025, consolidating licensing procedures to significantly reduce bureaucratic delays. In tandem, the impending launch of a competitive electricity market in October 2025 will empower companies to select their energy suppliers, fostering market competition and fair pricing.

Nurturing Human Capital

Recognizing the importance of talent in driving economic progress, the government is intensifying efforts to attract skilled professionals back to Cyprus. The Minds in Cyprus initiative, a collaboration with Keve and Invest Cyprus, seeks to reverse the talent drain by engaging Cypriots abroad through a series of events scheduled in the United States, United Kingdom, and Greece during 2026.

Commitment to Sustainable Growth

Concluding her address, Deputy Minister Piki congratulated the award recipients for their innovation and resilience, asserting that their achievements are a testament to the dynamism of the Cypriot business community. The government remains steadfast in its commitment to implementing reforms that support a stable, competitive, and sustainable economic future for Cyprus.

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