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Nvidia’s $5.5B Hit: US Export Ban On AI Chips To China Shakes Global AI Race

Nvidia just took a $5.5 billion punch to the balance sheet—courtesy of the U.S. government’s latest move to tighten the leash on AI chip exports to China. The company’s most advanced processor available in the Chinese market, the H20, has now fallen under indefinite export restrictions, triggering a 6% slide in Nvidia shares in after-hours trading.

The decision, announced Tuesday, marks a major escalation in the U.S.-China tech standoff and underscores Washington’s growing concern over how AI hardware could fuel China’s supercomputing ambitions. The U.S. Commerce Department has now slapped licensing requirements not only on Nvidia’s H20, but also on AMD’s MI308 and similar chips. AMD shares dropped 7% after the news.

A Commerce Department spokesperson said the move reflects President Biden’s directive to safeguard U.S. national and economic security. Nvidia, meanwhile, confirmed the charges would cover unsold H20 inventory, outstanding purchase commitments, and related reserves.

A Workaround, Now Blocked

Nvidia had designed the H20 chip specifically to navigate around previous U.S. export limits—delivering toned-down performance but retaining high-speed interconnectivity. That design made the H20 attractive for AI inference tasks, an increasingly dominant segment of the market where models provide real-time answers rather than undergoing initial training.

Despite not being as powerful as Nvidia’s top-tier chips sold outside China, the H20 gained traction with major Chinese tech players including Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance. Reuters previously reported that demand surged after startups like DeepSeek ramped up development of low-cost AI models.

But that very design—optimized for high-bandwidth memory access and chip-to-chip connectivity—set off alarm bells in Washington. Analysts argue it still carries supercomputing potential, especially if deployed at scale.

“Likely In Violation”

A Washington, D.C.-based think tank, the Institute for Progress, didn’t mince words. In a statement Tuesday, it claimed that Tencent had already installed H20 chips in a facility likely used to train large AI models—potentially breaching U.S. export restrictions already in place. The group added that DeepSeek’s infrastructure, used for its latest V3 model, might also be in violation.

U.S. restrictions on chips used in supercomputing have been in effect since 2022. Now, the H20 is joining that list. Nvidia said it was formally notified on April 9 that the chip would require an export license—and on April 14, that the restriction would be indefinite. Whether the U.S. will issue any such licenses remains unclear.

A Fork In The Road

This latest move throws a wrench into Nvidia’s China strategy, just as demand in the region for generative AI tools is accelerating. It also highlights the growing friction between global innovation and geopolitical control—a tension Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang must now navigate carefully.

The setback comes one day after Nvidia unveiled plans to invest up to $500 billion into U.S.-based AI server infrastructure, working with partners like TSMC to align with American industrial policy.

Now, as Nvidia absorbs the financial blow and recalibrates, one thing is clear: the AI chip race isn’t just about performance anymore. It’s a front line in the broader battle over who controls the future of intelligent computing.

Electric Vehicle Leaders Urge EU To Maintain 2035 Zero Emission Mandate

Industry Voices Emphasize the Importance of Commitment

Over 150 key figures from Europe’s electric car sector, including executives from Volvo Cars and Polestar, have signed a letter urging the European Union to adhere to its ambitious 2035 zero emission goal for cars and vans. These industry leaders warn that any deviation could hamper the progress of Europe’s burgeoning EV market, inadvertently strengthen global competitors, and weaken investor confidence.

Evolving Perspectives Within the Automotive Community

This call comes in the wake of a contrasting appeal issued at the end of August by heads of European automobile manufacturers’ and automotive suppliers’ associations. That letter, endorsed by the CEO of Mercedes-Benz, Ola Kaellenius, argued that a 100 percent emission reduction target may no longer be practical for cars by 2035.

Discussion With EU Leadership on The Horizon

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is scheduled to meet with automotive industry leaders on September 12 to deliberate the future of the sector. Facing stiff challenges such as the rise of Chinese competition and the implications of US tariffs, the stakes for the EU’s policy decisions have never been higher.

Potential Risks of Eroding Ambitious Targets

Industry leaders like Michael Lohscheller, CEO of Polestar, caution that any weakening of the targets could undermine climate objectives and compromise Europe’s competitive edge in the global market. Michiel Langzaal, chief executive of EU charging provider Fastned, further highlighted that investments in charging infrastructure and software development are predicated on the certainty of these targets.

Regulatory Compliance And The Mercedes-Benz Exception

A report from transport research and campaign group T&E indicates that nearly all European carmakers, with the exception of Mercedes-Benz, are positioned to meet CO₂ regulation requirements for the 2025-2027 period. To avoid potential penalties, Mercedes must now explore cooperation with partners such as Volvo Cars and Polestar.

Conclusion

The industry’s unified stance underscores the critical balance between environmental aspirations and maintaining competitive advantage. With high-level discussions imminent, the EU’s forthcoming decisions will be pivotal in shaping not only the future of the continent’s automotive sector but also its global positioning in the race towards sustainable mobility.

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