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Nvidia Faces Historic Market Loss As DeepSeek Dents Confidence In AI’s Future

Nvidia experienced the largest single-day market cap drop in history on Monday, as its stock tumbled by 17%, shedding nearly $600 billion in value. This staggering loss is directly linked to a new development in the AI space—DeepSeek, a Chinese AI firm that unveiled its version of ChatGPT, raising concerns over the cost-efficiency and competitive positioning of U.S. AI companies.

Key Details

Nvidia’s shares experienced a severe decline, marking its worst daily percentage drop since March 2020, during the initial shock of the COVID-19 pandemic. On Monday, Nvidia lost a record-breaking $589 billion in market capitalization, more than doubling the previous one-day loss of $279 billion in September 2024. To put it into perspective, this is significantly more than Meta’s $251 billion market cap loss in February 2022.

As a result, Nvidia’s market valuation dropped from $3.5 trillion to $2.9 trillion, slipping behind Apple and Microsoft as the world’s most valuable company. Nvidia’s dramatic fall led a broader retreat in U.S. stocks, with the S&P 500 losing 1.5% and the Nasdaq dropping 3.1%. Other major players in the AI industry, such as chipmakers Arm and Broadcom, alongside Oracle, saw their stocks plummet by at least 10%.

The DeepSeek Effect

The cause of Nvidia’s catastrophic loss lies in DeepSeek’s release of its large-language model, which has cast doubt on the continued dominance of U.S. companies in generative AI. Initially, this might not seem like a negative development for Nvidia, as DeepSeek’s model was also powered by Nvidia’s powerful graphics processing units (GPUs), just like many other AI technologies. However, DeepSeek revealed that it spent just $5.6 million on Nvidia’s technology to develop its model. While experts believe this figure is likely a significant underestimation, it still calls into question the very foundation of Nvidia’s meteoric stock rise.

In recent years, Nvidia’s profits have skyrocketed, with projections indicating net profits could soar from $4.8 billion in 2022 to $66.7 billion in 2024, largely due to the soaring demand for its high-priced GPUs, which can cost up to $25,000 each. U.S. tech giants such as Meta, Tesla, and OpenAI have been among Nvidia’s biggest customers. However, if companies like these can replicate DeepSeek’s cost-efficient approach by using cheaper GPUs, Nvidia could face significant challenges in maintaining its market dominance.

As Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research pointed out, this shift could be an unwelcome development for Nvidia.

Surprising Statistic

Nvidia’s near-$600 billion market cap loss on Monday exceeds the market values of all but 13 American companies, surpassing industry giants like UnitedHealth, Exxon Mobil, and Costco.

CEO’s Losses

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang saw his wealth take a massive hit, losing $21 billion in a single day. His net worth dropped from $124.4 billion to $103.1 billion, according to Forbes estimates. Huang remains the largest individual shareholder in Nvidia, owning a 3% stake in the company.

Nvidia’s colossal market cap loss highlights the growing uncertainties in the AI sector, as DeepSeek’s cost-effective alternative to American AI models threatens to disrupt the industry’s balance. With AI becoming an increasingly competitive and global field, Nvidia’s future may hinge on how it adapts to these emerging challenges.

EU Agrees On Major Overhaul Of Financial Market Supervision

European Union finance ministers have reached agreement on a sweeping package designed to strengthen oversight of the bloc’s financial markets, in a move aimed at reducing fragmentation and improving the flow of capital across borders.

A Push To Deepen Capital Markets

The Market Integration and Supervision Package, or MISP, would grant the European Securities and Markets Authority direct supervision over major market operators that are currently regulated by national authorities. The reforms are intended to make Europe’s capital markets more integrated, more efficient and better able to channel savings into productive investment.

According to the Irish presidency, the package is meant to help savings and investments move more freely across the European Union, improving access to finance for companies while giving households broader opportunities to earn returns on their savings.

What The Reform Would Change

Under the new framework, ESMA would take direct oversight of key trading venues, clearing houses, securities settlement bodies and crypto-asset service providers. The package would also establish a permanent, independent executive board within the regulator, strengthening its institutional capacity.

Market operators would be able to opt into a new EU-wide operating framework. In parallel, the reforms would seek to make national supervision more consistent and update rules governing trading, transaction completion, investment management and the use of blockchain technology.

Why The Agreement Matters

Supporters of deeper capital markets argue that Europe has long paid a price for regulatory inconsistency. While many rules are harmonised across the bloc, differences in enforcement and supervision have contributed to a patchwork system that can make cross-border investment slower and more costly.

A more integrated framework, proponents say, could lower costs for companies seeking funding and broaden the menu of investment options available to savers and institutional investors alike.

Outstanding Questions Remain

Despite the broad agreement, some important details remain unresolved. Trading venues operated by Deutsche Börse, the company behind the Frankfurt stock exchange, may remain outside ESMA’s direct supervision.

Euronews previously reported that Germany had secured an exemption for Deutsche Börse’s domestically focused trading venues, leaving part of the system under regional supervision. The latest announcement did not clarify whether that arrangement will stand.

A Step Forward For The Savings And Investments Union

Dutch Finance Minister Eelco Heinen welcomed the deal, calling it a major advance for the Capital Markets Union and saying Europe had made more progress in 10 months than in the previous 10 years.

The agreement is an important milestone in the Savings and Investments Union, the EU’s broader effort to channel more of Europeans’ savings into investments that can support growth, innovation and competitiveness across the bloc.

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