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Nvidia Faces Historic Market Loss As DeepSeek Dents Confidence In AI’s Future

Nvidia experienced the largest single-day market cap drop in history on Monday, as its stock tumbled by 17%, shedding nearly $600 billion in value. This staggering loss is directly linked to a new development in the AI space—DeepSeek, a Chinese AI firm that unveiled its version of ChatGPT, raising concerns over the cost-efficiency and competitive positioning of U.S. AI companies.

Key Details

Nvidia’s shares experienced a severe decline, marking its worst daily percentage drop since March 2020, during the initial shock of the COVID-19 pandemic. On Monday, Nvidia lost a record-breaking $589 billion in market capitalization, more than doubling the previous one-day loss of $279 billion in September 2024. To put it into perspective, this is significantly more than Meta’s $251 billion market cap loss in February 2022.

As a result, Nvidia’s market valuation dropped from $3.5 trillion to $2.9 trillion, slipping behind Apple and Microsoft as the world’s most valuable company. Nvidia’s dramatic fall led a broader retreat in U.S. stocks, with the S&P 500 losing 1.5% and the Nasdaq dropping 3.1%. Other major players in the AI industry, such as chipmakers Arm and Broadcom, alongside Oracle, saw their stocks plummet by at least 10%.

The DeepSeek Effect

The cause of Nvidia’s catastrophic loss lies in DeepSeek’s release of its large-language model, which has cast doubt on the continued dominance of U.S. companies in generative AI. Initially, this might not seem like a negative development for Nvidia, as DeepSeek’s model was also powered by Nvidia’s powerful graphics processing units (GPUs), just like many other AI technologies. However, DeepSeek revealed that it spent just $5.6 million on Nvidia’s technology to develop its model. While experts believe this figure is likely a significant underestimation, it still calls into question the very foundation of Nvidia’s meteoric stock rise.

In recent years, Nvidia’s profits have skyrocketed, with projections indicating net profits could soar from $4.8 billion in 2022 to $66.7 billion in 2024, largely due to the soaring demand for its high-priced GPUs, which can cost up to $25,000 each. U.S. tech giants such as Meta, Tesla, and OpenAI have been among Nvidia’s biggest customers. However, if companies like these can replicate DeepSeek’s cost-efficient approach by using cheaper GPUs, Nvidia could face significant challenges in maintaining its market dominance.

As Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research pointed out, this shift could be an unwelcome development for Nvidia.

Surprising Statistic

Nvidia’s near-$600 billion market cap loss on Monday exceeds the market values of all but 13 American companies, surpassing industry giants like UnitedHealth, Exxon Mobil, and Costco.

CEO’s Losses

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang saw his wealth take a massive hit, losing $21 billion in a single day. His net worth dropped from $124.4 billion to $103.1 billion, according to Forbes estimates. Huang remains the largest individual shareholder in Nvidia, owning a 3% stake in the company.

Nvidia’s colossal market cap loss highlights the growing uncertainties in the AI sector, as DeepSeek’s cost-effective alternative to American AI models threatens to disrupt the industry’s balance. With AI becoming an increasingly competitive and global field, Nvidia’s future may hinge on how it adapts to these emerging challenges.

Cyprus Banks Urged To Focus On Long-Term Resilience As Profits Remain Strong

The Cypriot banking sector remains in a strong position, supported by solid capital buffers and overall financial stability, according to speakers at the annual general meeting of the Association of Cyprus Banks. At the same time, government officials and regulators stressed that maintaining this position will require continued discipline and long-term planning.

A Strong Sector, But Not A Complacent One

Finance Minister Makis Keravnos used the meeting to highlight concerns over draft laws recently passed by parliament, which, according to the Ministry of Finance, the Central Bank and the Legal Service, may contain constitutional, legal and institutional issues. Those concerns, he noted, led to presidential referrals and remittals to the Supreme Court.

Keravnos also said the European Central Bank had been consulted on proposed measures concerning the suspension of foreclosures and the restructuring of loans and guarantees, adding that the ECB had expressed its own concerns.

Profitability Should Reflect Real Economy Lending

While acknowledging that the banking sector remains highly profitable, Keravnos said earnings are expected to reach around €1 billion in 2025, lower than in 2024 as interest-rate conditions gradually normalize.

He said he would prefer bank profitability to rely more on lending to businesses operating in productive sectors and less on the widening of European Central Bank interest-rate spreads.

According to the minister, Cyprus’ return to investment-grade status after 11 years has strengthened the country’s appeal to foreign investors, technology companies and startups. He said this should encourage banks to offer financing that better supports businesses while improving the diversification of their loan portfolios.

The Central Bank’s Warning: Strength Today Is Not A Guarantee Tomorrow

Central Bank Governor Christodoulos Patsalides also warned against complacency, saying the sector’s current strength should not be taken for granted.

“The Cypriot banking sector is strong today. But strength that truly matters is not exhausted by a capital ratio, a profit line or a favorable cycle,” he said.

Patsalides added that lasting resilience depends on institutions remaining strong as conditions change, risks become more complex, and competition evolves. In his view, that requires sufficient capital buffers, adaptable infrastructure and management teams prepared for changing market conditions.

Long-Term Resilience Over Short-Term Gains

Patsalides also stressed that banks should focus on long-term resilience rather than short-term performance. Decisions on dividend policy, capital allocation and the use of resources, he said, should take into account continued investment in technology, operational resilience, human capital and long-term adaptability.

He added that banks able to remain competitive over time will be those that invest early in strengthening their capacity to adapt and respond to future challenges.

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