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Morningstar DBRS Elevates Greece’s Credit Rating to ‘BBB’ with Stable Outlook

DBRS Morningstar has raised Greece’s credit rating to ‘BBB’ from ‘BBB low,’ citing improved banking stability and the country’s ongoing efforts to reduce its general government debt. This upgrade marks another milestone for Greece, which saw its investment grade status reinstated by DBRS in 2023, with a shift in the outlook from positive to stable.

The credit agency highlighted that Greece’s banking sector, once burdened by legacy risks, has shown considerable recovery, contributing to the country’s positive fiscal performance. Debt reduction has been a key driver of this progress. Since 2020, Greece’s debt, the highest in the eurozone, has been slashed by more than 40 percentage points, now standing at 154% of GDP in 2024, with projections for further declines.

Looking ahead, Greece is expecting a 2.3% growth in economic output for 2025—more than double the eurozone’s forecasted average. The country is also set to achieve a primary budget surplus of 2.4% of GDP, driven by strong tourism revenues and increased investments. As a result, Greece’s debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to fall below 140% by 2027, marking a significant improvement.

This credit rating upgrade is part of a broader trend of positive assessments from other major rating agencies, including S&P Global and Fitch, following a period of 13 years in the junk category. However, Moody’s remains cautious, still rating Greece just below investment grade.

Greek banks, once reeling from the debt crisis and nationalization in 2009, are now on a steady recovery path, posting profits for the first time in years. The European Central Bank gave the green light for dividend payments to resume in 2024, marking a key milestone in the country’s financial recovery.

Fortifying Europe’s Energy Security Amid Global Geopolitical Turbulence

Energy security sits at the forefront of Cyprus’s presidency of the Council of the EU, with Energy Minister Michalis Damianou underscoring a resolute commitment to constructing a robust system capable of weathering external disruptions while ensuring affordability for consumers and industry alike.

Embracing A Complex Geopolitical Landscape

During an informal assembly of EU energy ministers in Nicosia, Minister Damianou highlighted Europe’s navigation through a labyrinth of geopolitical risks. With persistent instability in global energy markets and continuing conflict in the Middle East, his remarks underscored the urgency of reinforcing the energy union to combat both immediate and long-standing vulnerabilities.

Strategic Initiatives And Coordinated Actions

Under the banner of an autonomous yet globally engaged union, the minister stressed that bolstering energy security must be harmonized with maintaining cost-effective energy supplies. The discussion extended to pivotal initiatives such as AccelerateEU, advancements in electricity storage, and the evolving role of natural gas beyond 2030. These initiatives exemplify the need for both targeted short-term measures and overarching strategic reforms aimed at a resilient energy infrastructure.

Balancing Immediate Relief With Long-Term Reforms

Minister Damianou cautioned against allowing current energy challenges and transport route disruptions to compromise Europe’s economic competitiveness. He emphasized the necessity for synchronized policy actions among member states, where short-term consumer relief measures are seamlessly integrated with comprehensive long-term structural reforms.

The Road Ahead: Renewables And Sectoral Integration

Voices from across the bloc, including European Commissioner for Energy Dan Jorgensen and Greek Environment and Energy Minister Stavros Papastavrou, echoed a unified call for accelerated transitions toward renewable energy and enhanced market integration. They pointed to robust interconnections and strategic infrastructure as essential ingredients for a stable and future-proof energy sector.

As European leaders strategize on implementing transformative initiatives, the consensus remains clear: the path to an enduring and resilient energy union hinges on proactive collaboration and decisive reform, setting the stage for a secure and competitive future.

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