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Morningstar DBRS Elevates Greece’s Credit Rating to ‘BBB’ with Stable Outlook

by News Editor

DBRS Morningstar has raised Greece’s credit rating to ‘BBB’ from ‘BBB low,’ citing improved banking stability and the country’s ongoing efforts to reduce its general government debt. This upgrade marks another milestone for Greece, which saw its investment grade status reinstated by DBRS in 2023, with a shift in the outlook from positive to stable.

The credit agency highlighted that Greece’s banking sector, once burdened by legacy risks, has shown considerable recovery, contributing to the country’s positive fiscal performance. Debt reduction has been a key driver of this progress. Since 2020, Greece’s debt, the highest in the eurozone, has been slashed by more than 40 percentage points, now standing at 154% of GDP in 2024, with projections for further declines.

Looking ahead, Greece is expecting a 2.3% growth in economic output for 2025—more than double the eurozone’s forecasted average. The country is also set to achieve a primary budget surplus of 2.4% of GDP, driven by strong tourism revenues and increased investments. As a result, Greece’s debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to fall below 140% by 2027, marking a significant improvement.

This credit rating upgrade is part of a broader trend of positive assessments from other major rating agencies, including S&P Global and Fitch, following a period of 13 years in the junk category. However, Moody’s remains cautious, still rating Greece just below investment grade.

Greek banks, once reeling from the debt crisis and nationalization in 2009, are now on a steady recovery path, posting profits for the first time in years. The European Central Bank gave the green light for dividend payments to resume in 2024, marking a key milestone in the country’s financial recovery.

Cyprus Tax-To-GDP Ratio Rises To 36.3% In 2025

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

Cyprus’ tax-to-GDP ratio edged up to 36.3% in 2025, from 36% in 2024, remaining below the European Union and euro area averages, according to Eurostat.

Across the EU, the ratio rose to 40.7% from 40.2%, while the euro area average increased to 41.3% from 40.7%.

EU Tax Revenues Reach €7.68 Trillion

The tax-to-GDP ratio measures revenue from taxes and net social contributions as a share of gross domestic product. It provides an indication of public revenue relative to the size of an economy, although national tax systems and social contribution rules vary.

EU governments collected €7.68 trillion in taxes and social contributions in 2025, an increase of €401 billion compared with the previous year.

France Records Highest Ratio

France had the EU’s highest tax-to-GDP ratio at 46%, followed by Belgium at 44.7%, Denmark at 44.3% and Austria at 43.9%.

At the other end of the scale, Ireland recorded the lowest ratio at 22.7%. Romania followed at 29.3%, Malta at 30.3% and Bulgaria at 30.6%.

Ratios Increase In 19 Member States

The tax-to-GDP ratio rose in 19 EU countries in 2025. Germany recorded the largest increase, climbing from 40.3% to 41.4%. Malta’s ratio rose from 29.3% to 30.3%, while Spain’s increased from 37.2% to 38.1%.

Eight member states recorded declines. Sweden saw the largest fall, from 41.8% to 41.2%, followed by Latvia, where the ratio dropped from 34.9% to 34.2%.

Cyprus’ 0.3-percentage-point increase was more modest than some of the changes elsewhere in the bloc. Its ratio nevertheless rose alongside the EU and euro area averages, reflecting a broader increase in tax and social contribution revenue relative to economic output.

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