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Minimum Wages Have Outpaced Food Inflation Across Most Of Europe — But Not Everywhere

Food prices have climbed sharply across Europe over the past five years. In most of the 26 countries examined by Euronews Business, however, minimum wages have risen even faster, giving workers greater purchasing power at the supermarket — at least on paper.

Food Inflation Has Remained Persistent Across Europe

According to Eurostat, prices for food and non-alcoholic beverages increased by 34% across the European Union between August 2021 and August 2026. The pace of inflation varied widely. Hungary recorded the steepest rise in the bloc at 57%, followed by Bulgaria at 54% and Romania at 53%. Cyprus saw the mildest increase, at 21%.

Looking beyond the EU, Switzerland posted the smallest increase among the 35 European countries in the comparison, at just 5%. Turkey stood apart entirely: food and non-alcoholic beverage prices surged by 752% over the same period.

Turkey Remains The Outlier

Turkey’s extraordinary rise reflects years of entrenched inflation, compounded by a steep decline in the lira that made imported goods and inputs significantly more expensive. That currency weakness was aggravated by a series of interest-rate cuts beginning in 2021, even as inflation accelerated. Lower rates reduced the currency’s appeal, adding further pressure to the exchange rate. Although Turkey reversed course in 2023 and raised rates sharply, prices continued to climb.

The picture is less dramatic but still significant across the EU. Food prices were already rising before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, and the war intensified the pressure by pushing up energy, fertiliser and transport costs while disrupting agricultural markets. Those higher input costs eventually filtered through to supermarket shelves.

Among Europe’s largest economies, food prices rose by 25% in France, 30% in Italy, 34% in Germany and 35% in Spain between August 2021 and August 2026.

Minimum Wages Have Grown Faster In Many Markets

Monthly gross minimum wages also increased over the same period in many countries with statutory minimum pay floors. In the EU, Hungary recorded the largest increase at 93%. Germany’s minimum wage rose by 46%, Spain’s by 29% and France’s by 20%, all measured in local currency terms.

Turkey again posted the most dramatic change among the countries compared, with minimum wages rising 823% over five years. Serbia and Montenegro also saw more than a doubling, at 103% and 102% respectively.

Pay Rises Do Not Always Translate Into Greater Purchasing Power

Higher wages, however, do not automatically mean workers can afford more food. The key measure here is not the difference between wage growth and food inflation, but how much food a monthly gross minimum wage could actually buy in August 2021 versus August 2026.

That distinction matters. A simple subtraction can be misleading, especially in high-inflation environments such as Turkey. Comparing purchasing power directly provides a clearer view of how workers’ grocery budgets have changed.

In three of the 26 countries examined, minimum-wage workers lost purchasing power relative to food prices. Malta saw the biggest decline, at 6%, meaning a worker who could buy 100 baskets of food in August 2021 could buy only 94 in August 2026. Spain followed with a 5% drop, while France recorded a 4% fall.

Where Workers Gained The Most

At the other end of the spectrum, Serbia and Montenegro saw the largest gains in food purchasing power, each at 37%. In practical terms, a minimum-wage earner who could afford 100 baskets of food in August 2021 could buy 137 baskets five years later.

Strong improvements were also recorded in Croatia, Albania, Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria and Lithuania, where gains exceeded 20%. Food purchasing power rose by 10% in Ireland, 9% in Germany, 7% in Greece, 6% in Belgium and the Netherlands, and 3% in Portugal.

Turkey’s Wage Growth Still Outpaced Food Prices

In Turkey, minimum wages increased by 823% while food prices rose by 752%. Although the gap between the two is 71 percentage points, the gain in food purchasing power was only 8%. That reflects the fact that wages and prices both rose sharply in lira terms, with wages increasing slightly faster.

The trend was not linear. Turkey’s minimum-wage workers lost ground at points in 2021 and 2022, when food inflation outpaced pay increases. Since January 2024, however, wage growth has stayed ahead of food price growth, leaving workers able to buy more food than they could at the starting point.

The broader lesson is clear: headline wage growth can look impressive, but purchasing power is what ultimately matters. For households living on the minimum wage, the real question is not how fast pay rises, but whether it rises fast enough to keep pace with the cost of food.

LVMH Revenue Rises, But China Weakness Continues To Weigh On Luxury Giant

A Softer Quarter Exposes The Limits Of Luxury’s Recovery

LVMH, the world’s largest luxury group and parent of Louis Vuitton, Dior, Celine and Hennessy, reported revenue of €18.5 billion in the three months to the end of September, underscoring both the scale of its business and the pressure building across parts of the luxury market.

The company’s revenue rose 1.2% year on year in the third quarter, following a 0.1% increase in the second quarter and a 5.9% decline in the first. The trajectory points to stabilization, but not yet to a convincing rebound.

Organic Growth Misses Expectations

Organic sales growth, which strips out currency effects and portfolio changes, slowed to 1% in the third quarter from 3% in the previous quarter. That result fell short of market expectations and reinforced concerns that the luxury cycle remains uneven.

For the first nine months of the year, LVMH generated sales of €57.1 billion, with organic growth of 2%.

In its statement, the company highlighted the breadth of its portfolio, saying that diversification continues to provide resilience in an uncertain geopolitical and economic environment. That remains one of LVMH’s defining strengths: when one category weakens, another can help offset the downturn.

China Remains The Key Pressure Point

LVMH said sales performed well in the United States, Europe and Japan, but conditions in China remained less favorable. That matters because the country has long been one of the most important growth engines for global luxury brands.

The fashion and leather goods division, LVMH’s most closely watched unit, saw organic sales fall 5% as weaker demand in China weighed on performance. Deutsche Bank said the decline was steeper than the roughly 2% drop expected by analysts.

The segment had delivered its first organic sales gain in two years in the previous quarter, making the latest retreat a notable setback.

Brand Equity Faces A Test In China

The quarter also highlighted the reputational risks facing global brands in China. Louis Vuitton drew criticism after suing local tea company Molly Tea over logo copying. Although the company won the case, the dispute sparked social media backlash and boycott calls, adding another layer of pressure to an already fragile environment.

For a company built on scarcity, aspiration and brand discipline, perception is an asset as valuable as inventory. In a market as digitally connected as China, that asset can shift quickly.

Mixed Performance Across The Portfolio

Not every division weakened. LVMH’s selective retailing business, which includes Sephora, posted an 8% organic sales increase. Watches and jewellery, along with wines and spirits, both recorded 6% organic gains.

That broad mix is precisely what has historically given LVMH an advantage over rivals: it can absorb softness in one category without relying on a single growth driver.

Analysts See A Longer Recovery Ahead

Deutsche Bank analysts said the results could lead to further cuts in earnings forecasts for the second half of 2026 and 2027. They added that it is difficult to see what could improve investor sentiment in the near term.

Still, the bank framed the weakness as cyclical rather than structural. In its view, recovery is taking longer because Chinese demand remains subdued, but the problem does not appear to reflect a permanent deterioration in the brand franchise. Analysts said ongoing brand initiatives are beginning to show results, though improvements are likely to remain gradual.

Investor Pressure Continues To Mount

LVMH’s share price has fallen nearly 40% since the start of the year. In September, L’Oréal overtook the group as France’s most valuable listed company, a symbolic shift that captures how sharply sentiment has changed.

Shares in LVMH were down more than 1.6% in Paris around 10 a.m. CEST following the release.

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