Renowned energy expert Michalis Drakoudis has presented a compelling case that Cyprus can achieve full energy independence by leveraging renewable resources. A new study, developed under the banner of the Energy Democracy initiative, demonstrates that the island nation can meet 93.5% of its annual electricity demand solely through renewables.

Data-Driven Analysis And Infrastructure Requirements

The study, based on thousands of hourly production, demand, and storage balance calculations for 2024, highlights that rooftop photovoltaic systems combined with centralized energy storage can deliver the bulk of Cyprus’ electrical needs. An additional 3,000 MW of rooftop solar installations and 9,100 MWh of energy storage are identified as prerequisites to reach near-total coverage, with the remaining 6.5% supplemented by limited conventional reserve or, eventually, seasonal storage via green hydrogen.

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Robust Economic Case And Rapid Payback

The financial implications of this transition are highly attractive. With a total investment requirement of approximately €2.3 billion, current fuel and emission prices suggest a payback period of just 3.4 years. Post payback, the system’s operational costs approach zero, promising a lasting reduction in electricity bills for households and businesses alike, while keeping capital within the Cyprus economy and stimulating job creation.

Utilizing Surplus Energy And Enhancing Energy Democracy

The analysis further indicates that the annual surplus of renewable energy far exceeds any shortfall during periods of low production. This surplus presents significant opportunities beyond electricity supply, including water desalination and the medium-term production of green hydrogen for industrial use and seasonal storage. Meanwhile, existing thermal units would serve as security backups for rare or extreme conditions rather than functioning as the backbone of the system. Notably, the minimal land requirement, just 13 to 14 square kilometers of building rooftops, limits environmental impact and reinforces the transition of citizens from passive energy consumers to proactive energy producers.

Reforming The Electricity Market For Integrated Storage

The study also points out a critical market flaw: the current electricity purchasing model does not facilitate the development of state-run storage systems, which are essential for a small and isolated grid like Cyprus. Drakoudis advocates for a single-buyer model, akin to structures implemented in other small or insular markets, placing a central role in coordinating production, storage, and pricing. This model would streamline operations and further enhance economic efficiency.

A Strategic And Realistic Policy Choice

The central conclusion of the study is unequivocal: achieving energy autonomy for Cyprus is not only technologically feasible but also economically sound. The strategic shift towards renewables promises immediate and long-term benefits for cost of living, economic stability, and social cohesion. As the island positions itself for a future of low-cost, sustainable energy, it sets a benchmark for nations transitioning away from fossil fuels.

The research, with its meticulous analysis and forward-thinking recommendations, calls for decisive policy action to harness the full potential of renewable energy in Cyprus.