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Market Volatility Hits 5-Year High Amid Trump’s Tariff Turmoil

Global stocks took another hit on Monday as President Donald Trump intensified his stance on tariffs, raising fears of a recession. Investors grappled with the fallout from the policy shift in a chaotic trading session, with volatility reaching levels unseen since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Key Facts

  • US stocks fell further on Monday, continuing last week’s heavy losses that erased trillions in market value.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 350 points (0.9%), the S&P 500 slipped 0.2%, while the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%.
  • At market open, losses were more dramatic: Dow fell 1,320 points (3.4%), S&P 500 dropped 3.9%, and Nasdaq lost 4.2%.
  • A brief rally occurred after unconfirmed reports suggested a temporary tariff suspension, pushing the S&P 500 up 6%, but stocks tumbled again after the White House dismissed the claim.
  • Since Trump’s “Liberation Day” speech on Wednesday, the Dow has fallen 10% (4,300 points), and both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have each dropped 11%.
  • Goldman Sachs warned of a possible recession if tariffs remain, while JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon cautioned that tariffs could drive inflation even higher.

Volatility Hits Pandemic-Era Highs

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)—a key measure of market uncertainty—closed at its highest level since April 2020, when stocks collapsed due to pandemic lockdowns. The VIX surged as S&P 500 swings widened between gains of 3.4% and losses of 4.7%.

Trump Pushes For Fed Rate Cuts

Despite market turmoil, Trump remained steadfast on tariffs. On Truth Social, he urged the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, falsely claiming, “There is no inflation.”

Economists widely agree that tariffs will worsen inflation, which already exceeds the Fed’s 2% target. The Federal Reserve held a closed-door meeting on Monday to discuss the situation.

Trump appeared unfazed by the stock crash, even sharing a post claiming he was intentionally triggering it.

Bear Market Watch

A bear market occurs when a stock index falls 20% or more from a recent high. Before these tariff-driven declines, the last bear market occurred in 2022, when inflation soared to a 40-year high, prompting aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.

Biggest Stock Losers From Tariffs

Tech giants suffered major blows on Monday:

  • Apple fell 4%, adding to last week’s 15% decline.
  • Tesla dropped 3%, also down 15% since Thursday.

S&P 500 On The Edge Of A Bear Market

  • Nasdaq officially entered a bear market on Friday.
  • S&P 500 briefly fell over 20% from its February peak before paring losses to 18%.
  • Dow Jones is down 16% from its December record high, while the Nasdaq is down 23% from its peak.

Looking Ahead

With markets in turmoil and inflation concerns mounting, all eyes remain on the White House and the Federal Reserve as investors brace for more uncertainty in the weeks ahead.

Delayed Cyprus Fuel Terminal Adds €1.67 Million To 2026 Budget Allocation

A delay in completing Cyprus’ strategic petroleum-products terminal has shifted €1.67 million in expected payments into the 2026 budget, prompting a revised budget allocation for the state’s fuel-storage organization, CODAP. The project was completed on June 30, 2026, later than the December 2025 handover originally anticipated.

The change in timing has altered the project’s payment schedule, but it will not increase CODAP’s overall 2026 budget of €111.3 million. After contractual deductions for the delay, payments to the contractor are expected to total €48.2 million, compared with the original contract value of €51 million.

Why The Budget Is Being Revised

When CODAP prepared its 2026 budget in June 2025, it expected construction to finish by the end of that year. The organization therefore forecast that the main payments to the contractor would be made during 2025 and included lower construction funding in its 2026 budget.

But delays by the contractor pushed completion to June 30, 2026. As a result, payments that had been expected earlier must now be covered through a budget amendment. The revised allocation will be discussed by Parliament’s Finance Committee on Friday.

Of the €1.67 million adjustment, €1.27 million relates to the first half of the contractor’s retention payment, which is payable upon handover under the contract. The remaining half is due 24 months after delivery.

A further €250,000 is set aside for work that has not yet been certified. The contractor is expected to complete these non-critical items during 2026. Another €150,000 covers payments to the project’s engineering consultants, whose fees are linked to construction progress and completion.

Contractual Deductions Reduce The Final Cost

CODAP withheld €1.27 million from the contractor in 2025 because of the late delivery. The deduction represents the maximum penalty stipulated in the contract: 2.5% of the contract value, applied in response to the delay against the agreed construction period of 24 months.

After accounting for that deduction and the scheduled retention payment, the total amount expected to be paid to the contractor is €48.2 million—below the original €51 million contract price.

A Critical Part Of Cyprus’ Fuel Reserves

The terminal is located at the Vasilikos Energy Centre and has seven petroleum-product storage tanks. It holds most of Cyprus’ fuel reserves, which are intended to help protect the country against supply disruptions.

Countries are required to maintain fuel stocks equivalent to 90 days of consumption. Those reserves must remain available for release to the market if supply problems arise, making the terminal a key part of Cyprus’ energy-security infrastructure.

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