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Maritime Travel In The EU: Cyprus Passenger Traffic Falls Amid Uneven Recovery

Overview Of Maritime Passenger Trends

Recent Eurostat data indicate that Cyprus handled just 9,000 maritime passengers in 2024, one of the lowest figures in the European Union. This contrasts sharply with pre‐pandemic levels, when Cyprus saw more robust traffic, reaching 53,000 passengers in 2019. The fluctuations—with a notable dip to 5,000 during the height of the COVID crisis in 2020—illustrate the sector’s gradual, although uneven, recovery.

EU Recovery And Comparative Analysis

Across the EU, maritime travel is rebounding with 412.3 million passengers recorded in 2024, marking a 4.8 percent increase of 18.8 million passengers compared to 2023. However, when benchmarked against 2019, passenger numbers remain 1.4 percent lower, emphasizing persistent challenges in the recovery process. Further detail, as explained in Eurostat’s comprehensive article on maritime passenger statistics, underscores the importance of monitoring these trends.

Country And Port Performance

A closer analysis reveals that ten EU countries, each with over ten million passengers, cumulatively accounted for 95.4 percent of all seaborne transport. Italian ports led the region by processing 93.5 million passengers, thereby commanding 22.7 percent of the EU’s total, followed by Greek ports at 81.1 million passengers (19.7 percent) and Denmark with 41.3 million passengers (10 percent).

Between 2019 and 2024, several nations recorded gains in passenger numbers—Greece saw an increase of 7.1 million (9.7 percent), Italy added 7 million (8 percent), and Malta experienced a substantial surge of 14.9 percent with 2 million additional passengers. Conversely, countries such as Sweden (an 18.7 percent drop), Finland (a 25.1 percent decline), and Germany (a 9.8 percent decrease) registered significant downturns.

Key Port Hubs And Future Outlook

The analysis of individual ports shows that the ten busiest EU passenger hubs handled 22.1 percent of the bloc’s total traffic, with seven of these ports located in the Mediterranean region. Notably, Messina emerged as the busiest EU passenger port in 2024 with 11.4 million passengers, followed closely by Reggio di Calabria (11.2 million) and Napoli (11 million), the latter posting the largest year-on-year increase of 18.5 percent (or 1.7 million more passengers). In contrast, Helsinki reported the steepest decline, with a 19.7 percent drop amounting to 2.3 million fewer passengers.

This diverse performance across regions underscores both the resilience and the vulnerability of EU maritime transport. As the sector continues to navigate post-pandemic disruptions, stakeholders will need to balance efforts to stimulate growth against the backdrop of evolving travel demands and economic pressures.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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