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Luxury Market Regains Momentum As US Demand Outperforms Forecasts

The global personal luxury goods market is showing early signs of recovery in the second quarter, even as geopolitical tensions continue to weigh on consumer confidence. According to Bain & Company, stronger-than-expected demand in the United States has helped offset weakness in other major markets.

In its latest annual outlook, Bain said its base-case scenario now forecasts personal luxury sales to grow by between 2% and 4% this year. That compares with a previous projection of 3% to 5%, published in November before the outbreak of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran reshaped the macroeconomic outlook.

Valued at €358 billion ($406 billion) in 2025, the global personal luxury goods market has contracted over the past two years. At current exchange rates, sales declined by 2% in 2025, although they increased by 1% at constant exchange rates, highlighting the impact of currency movements on the sector’s overall performance.

Experiences Continue To Outperform Products

Spending on experiences continues to outpace purchases of luxury goods, according to the report, which Bain prepared in partnership with Italian luxury association Altagamma. The findings suggest consumers are becoming more selective, directing discretionary spending toward travel, hospitality and other experience-led services rather than exclusively toward handbags, watches and apparel.

“We see growing uncertainty and turmoil at the macroeconomic and socio-political levels, but the market is there,” Bain partner Francesca Levato told Reuters.

The U.S. Leads While Europe Remains Under Pressure

Stronger-than-expected growth in the United States, supported by domestic brands and younger consumers, is helping offset weaker demand in Europe and the Middle East. China is also showing gradual signs of recovery, with ready-to-wear outperforming leather goods as consumer preferences continue to evolve.

“America is growing more than expected, and China is recovering faster than expected,” Levato said.

Europe, meanwhile, continues to face weaker tourist flows, although Bain reported signs of stabilisation in May.

Luxury Brands Face A Smaller Customer Base

According to Levato, the luxury industry has lost around 70 million consumers since 2022 as brands increased prices and focused more heavily on their highest-spending customers. While that strategy may have supported margins, it also reduced the industry’s consumer base.

“The industry should refuel the growth of the consumer base rather than focus only on the top 1 per cent,” she said.

AI And Resale Continue To Influence Buying Decisions

The report also points to the growing role of artificial intelligence in luxury shopping. Around half of luxury consumers already use AI during the purchasing process, primarily to discover brands and compare products.

Resale is also becoming increasingly influential. Half of luxury shoppers now consult second-hand marketplaces before purchasing new items, reflecting the expanding role of pre-owned goods in consumers’ buying decisions.

Anne Carson Wins 2026 Nobel Prize In Literature

Canadian poet, essayist and translator Anne Carson has won the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature. The Swedish Academy honoured her “bold and inventive oeuvre” for creating new forms of contemporary literature through a playful dialogue with the classical tradition.

A Distinctive Voice In Contemporary Literature

At 76, Carson is regarded as one of the most original writers of her generation. Her work moves between poetry and prose, combining ancient mythology, modern life and classical scholarship in ways that challenge conventional literary categories.

The Academy highlighted the tension between “the philologist’s obsession with words and the poet’s desire for new meaning” in Carson’s work. She has described etymology as a starting point for her writing, bringing together academic research and creative experimentation.

Works That Redefined Literary Form

Carson’s best-known books reflect that hybrid approach. Her 1986 debut, Eros the Bittersweet, explored desire through ancient Greek literature, while Autobiography of Red: A Novel in Verse (1998) reimagined a Greek myth as a queer coming-of-age story, blending poetry, fiction and criticism.

She continued to challenge traditional forms with The Beauty of the Husband: A Fictional Essay in 29 Tangos (2001) and Norma Jeane Baker of Troy (2019), which drew parallels between Marilyn Monroe and Helen of Troy. Her most recent book, Wrong Norma, was published in 2024.

Carson Becomes 19th Woman To Win Literature Nobel

Carson is the 19th woman to receive the Nobel Prize in Literature. Recent female laureates include Han Kang in 2024, Annie Ernaux in 2022 and Louise Glück in 2020.

The literature prize has been awarded 119 times since its creation, with 123 laureates overall, including four prizes shared by multiple winners.

Part Of A Busy Nobel Week

Carson’s award is the fourth Nobel announced this week, following the prizes in medicine, physics and chemistry. The Nobel Peace Prize will be announced on Friday, followed by the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel on Monday.

Each 2026 Nobel Prize carries 12 million Swedish kronor, or about €1.07 million, along with an 18-carat gold medal and diploma. The formal award ceremonies will take place on December 10, the anniversary of Alfred Nobel’s death in 1896.

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