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Low Deposit Yields Persist In Cyprus As Banks Sit On Excess Liquidity

Patient Depositors Face Minimal Returns

For depositors willing to lock their funds for over a year, even marginal interest returns can be realized. In contrast, those opting for deposits of less than one year receive negligible interest, as banks capitalize on near-zero rates for short-term liquidity. This leaves many investors scrambling for alternative fixed-income instruments that offer satisfactory performance.

Alternative Investments And The Rise Of Real Estate

Banks have not introduced many new investment products lately, effectively steering investors toward real estate, which typically offers stronger returns than traditional deposits. Time-deposit schemes launched several years ago under regulatory and political pressure once provided gradually increasing interest rates over 12, 18, and 24 months. In 2024, the average yield for long-term deposits stood slightly above 1.5 percent. Since then, high deposit rates have slipped off the policy agenda, and with liquidity levels remaining abundant, yields have settled back at historically low levels.

Comparative Analysis: Cyprus Versus The Eurozone

The persistently low interest rates on deposits in Cyprus have positioned them among the smallest in the Eurozone, despite sporadic upward movements in time deposit rates. Data from the Central Bank indicates a gradual reversion to the subdued levels observed in 2023. For example, by December 2025, the average market rate for household time deposits up to two years had dropped to 0.75%, matching figures seen in November, compared to 1.19% in December 2024.

Market Dynamics And Future Outlook

In 2024, deposit yields were notably higher as banks were compelled, amid political pressure, to increase rates. By December 2023, the average deposit rate was 0.69% compared to a mere 0.13% in 2022. Furthermore, the rates on household deposits flagged for durations exceeding three months remained effectively stagnant at 0.07% throughout 2023 to 2025.

For corporate deposits, the average market rate currently hovers around 1.11%, down from 1.82% in December 2024 and 1.69% in December 2023. Analyses from the Central Bank also note that rates for new time deposit products continue to decline. For instance, household deposits with maturities between one and two years fell from 1.57% in December 2023 to 0.83% in December 2024 and further down to 0.49% in December 2025.

Transparent Data Limitations

It is important to acknowledge the limitations inherent in the published data by the Central Bank. The bank does not routinely disclose whether the deposits recorded are bound for one year or more versus those of shorter durations, nor does it provide the average size for each category of deposit. This lack of granularity makes it challenging for investors and industry observers to draw precise conclusions regarding the evolving deposit landscape.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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