Breaking news

Labour Market Insights: Cyprus Sees Elevated Job Vacancy Rate at 3% in Q3 2025

Cyprus Maintains One Of The Highest Job Vacancy Rates In The European Union

According to recent data released by Eurostat, Cyprus recorded a 3.0 percent job vacancy rate in the third quarter of 2025, positioning it among the top five EU member states with the highest demand for labour. This figure notably exceeds both the euro area and wider EU averages, despite an overall cooling in labour demand across the continent.

Comparative European Performance

The report highlights that while the job vacancy rate in the euro area declined to 2.1 percent in Q3 2025 from 2.3 percent in Q2 2025, and further down from 2.5 percent in the corresponding quarter of 2024, the EU as a whole saw a drop to 2.0 percent from 2.1 percent the previous quarter. This trend is particularly evident across key sectors such as industry, construction, and services.

Sector And Regional Variations

Industry and construction vacancies accounted for 2.0 percent of all posts in the euro area, while service sectors fared slightly better at 2.3 percent. Across the EU, similar patterns emerged, with industries reporting a vacancy rate of 1.8 percent against 2.1 percent in the service sector. The Netherlands led with a 4.1 percent vacancy rate, followed closely by Belgium at 3.8 percent and Malta at 3.4 percent. Austria and Cyprus followed with rates of 3.2 percent and 3.0 percent, respectively.

Labour Demand Trends In Europe

The data further reveals that only three EU member states registered an increase in vacancy rates compared to the third quarter of 2024. Malta, Lithuania, and Ireland experienced marginal rises, while twenty member states saw declines, reflecting a broad deceleration in labour demand. Notably, Germany and Austria experienced the largest reductions at 0.6 percentage points, with Cyprus and Latvia each decreasing by 0.5 percentage points.

Key Sectors And Economic Impacts

Within both the euro area and the EU, administrative and support service activities—including temporary employment agencies—recorded the highest vacancy rates at 3.3 percent and 3.1 percent, respectively. Construction and professional, scientific, and technical activities followed closely, with significant implications for economic productivity in these sectors. Other areas such as accommodation, food services, and information and communication also faced persistent pressures, underpinning ongoing labour shortages in critical parts of the economy.

Implications For Cyprus

For Cyprus, these insights underscore a persistent strain in key sectors despite a general downturn in vacancy rates across Europe. The nation’s figures highlight critical labour shortages that may impact growth unless addressed through targeted policy and recruitment strategies. As labour dynamics continue to evolve, close monitoring and adaptive strategies will be imperative for navigating the increasingly competitive European market.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

Uol
eCredo
Aretilaw firm
The Future Forbes Realty Global Properties

Become a Speaker

Become a Speaker

Become a Partner

Subscribe for our weekly newsletter