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Jumbo Achieves Robust Growth Amid Geopolitical Strains And Fiscal Shifts

Greek retail powerhouse Jumbo has posted impressive sales growth for the first half of 2025, demonstrating resilience amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and anticipated tax adjustments in Romania. The strong performance of its stores in Cyprus and Greece underscores the company’s ability to navigate complex international dynamics while sustaining market expansion.

Robust Performance Driven By Core Markets

Despite a challenging global backdrop, Jumbo maintained an approximate 8% year-on-year sales increase over the period. In Greece, the parent company achieved a 7.5% rise in net sales in June (excluding intercompany transactions), contributing to an overall first-half growth of nearly 9%. Meanwhile, the Cypriot market registered a 4% increase in June, with first-half figures reaching a 7% improvement compared to 2024.

Dividend Policy Enhances Shareholder Value

At the annual general meeting on July 9, shareholders endorsed the management’s proposal for a dividend of €68 million (€0.50 per share) for fiscal year 2024. Following the cancellation of 1,694,198 treasury shares — representing 1.25% of total shares — the gross distribution per share was adjusted to €0.5063. With key dates set, the ex-dividend date was July 21, the record date July 22, and payments scheduled for July 24. This dividend payout, in conjunction with an earlier extraordinary distribution of €63.5 million on March 31, culminated in a total shareholder return of €131.5 million by the end of July, translating to an approximate dividend yield of 3%.

Diverse Regional Performance And Strategic Initiatives

While Greek and Cypriot markets drove robust growth, other regions experienced varied results. Bulgaria recorded modest advancements, with June sales rising by 1% and a two-fold year-on-year increase of around 2% following the launch of a local online store. In Romania, both physical and online operations managed a 7% growth in June, doubling back to a similar performance rate during the first half of 2025, although the management has flagged potential short-term headwinds.

Geopolitical And Fiscal Headwinds

Management highlighted that the Israel-Iran conflict notably disrupted tourist inflows from Israel to Greece and Cyprus, adversely affecting operations at franchisee outlets in Israel. Additionally, upcoming fiscal adjustments in Romania, including an anticipated rise in VAT from 19% to 21% scheduled for August 2025, are poised to impact consumer spending particularly in sectors such as catering and hospitality.

Forward Outlook

Operating across 89 stores in four countries with complementary online operations throughout Greece, Cyprus, Romania, and Bulgaria, Jumbo remains well-positioned to capitalize on its geographic diversification and established market presence. The group’s strategic focus on both physical and digital platforms, coupled with a robust dividend policy, reinforces its commitment to generating long-term shareholder value amid a dynamic global economic landscape.

Cyprus Foreclosure Reform Debate Intensifies Amid Rising Non-Performing Loans

Political Stakes And Foreclosure Regulation

Cypriot political parties are engaging in a high-stakes debate in parliament as they deliberate changes to the legal framework governing foreclosures ahead of the May parliamentary elections. The proposed shifts are aimed at curbing the rapid escalation in the value of non-performing loans, a trend that has sparked significant public and legislative concern. Confidential data from the Central Bank of Cyprus indicates that the nation has not yet moved away from its longstanding issues related to so-called “red loans.”

Non-Performing Loans: A Mounting Financial Challenge

Recent figures show that the value of distressed loans has continued to rise, surpassing €20 billion following transfers involving banks and credit recovery companies. This level exceeds the approximately €15 billion recorded during the economic crisis period. Central Bank data indicates that after loan sales, credit recovery firms now manage portfolios totaling €19.7 billion, of which €18.5 billion are classified as non-performing. About 87% of these loans are considered terminated, while the firms acquired 141,478 loans for €3.2 billion, roughly 80% below their original value.

Credit Recovery Companies: Overshooting Investment Returns

By June, credit recovery companies had recovered €5.7 billion through a combination of cash repayments, judicial asset auctions and property-for-debt exchanges. Cash repayments accounted for €3.6 billion, judicial recoveries contributed €619 million, and property swaps added €1.5 billion. These recoveries exceeded the original purchase cost of many loan portfolios while overall balances continued to increase due to accrued interest, a development that remains a concern for policymakers.

Bank Portfolios And The Impact On Financial Stability

Data from the State Guarantee Fund for Deposits and Loans shows that 77,561 loans valued at €7.5 billion were transferred, leaving a remaining balance of €5.7 billion by June 2025, of which €5 billion are non-performing. Within the banking sector, non-performing loans totaled €1.45 billion across 24,736 accounts as of last June. Since December 2024, these figures have improved by approximately €86 million due to repayments and asset recoveries. The reduction in problematic loans has lowered bank exposure compared with levels recorded during the 2013 crisis.

Legislative Proposals And Government Considerations

Political leaders argue that adjustments to foreclosure procedures can be introduced without undermining banking stability. Parliament’s Economic Committee is scheduled to begin discussions on March 9, with an estimated 20 to 30 legislative proposals currently pending from multiple parties. While the Ministry of Finance has not announced immediate legislative action, officials are evaluating the potential reintroduction of elements of the Rent-Versus-Rate plan for vulnerable borrowers, subject to fiscal impact assessments.

Advocacy From AKEL And Environmental Groups

Proposals supported by the AKEL party and several civil organizations focus on strengthening legal protections for borrowers. Among the suggested measures is restoring the right to seek judicial relief to delay foreclosures in cases involving disputed charges or alleged abusive contract clauses. AKEL representative Aristos Damianou criticized the pace of foreclosure proceedings and warned of risks to primary residences and small businesses.

Proposals Targeting Guarantors And Foreclosure Processes

The Democratic Rally party has introduced a proposal aimed at limiting guarantor liability during foreclosure procedures. Under the draft measure, if a property is auctioned or repossessed, the guarantor’s responsibility would be capped at the original loan amount adjusted by recovered sums. The proposal also requires that enforcement actions against guarantors be suspended until a court ruling is issued if the borrower formally disputes the debt.

Revisions Proposed By The Democratic Party of Cyprus

The Democratic Party is also preparing new legislative measures to be introduced on Thursday. Party leader Mario Karogian outlined plans to suspend the foreclosures of primary residences valued up to €350,000 until the end of the year, allowing time to address legislative gaps. Additional proposals include broadening the powers of the Financial Ombudsperson to make binding decisions on disputes up to €50,000, enforcing the Central Bank’s code of conduct, and ensuring strict adherence to refinancing guidelines for first residences.

Outlook And Strategic Implications

The range of proposals reflects an ongoing effort to balance financial system stability with stronger consumer protections. Decisions made in the coming months are expected to shape the regulatory environment for foreclosures and influence broader confidence in Cyprus’ financial sector and economic outlook.

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