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Japan’s Economy Beats Expectations—But Is The Growth Real?

Japan’s economy outpaced forecasts in the fourth quarter, driven by a surge in exports. However, economists caution that the numbers may not be as strong as they seem, with domestic demand still showing signs of weakness.

Key Takeaways

  • Japan’s GDP grew 0.7% in Q4, exceeding the 0.3% increase economists predicted.
  • Exports provided the main boost, while domestic demand remained sluggish.
  • Capital spending rose by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, falling short of the 1% growth expected.
  • Annual GDP growth hit 2.8%, well above the 1% forecast but driven largely by statistical revisions.
  • The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised interest rates to 0.5%, the highest level since 2008, setting the stage for further policy tightening.

A Closer Look: Real Growth Or Statistical Illusion?

Stefan Angrik, deputy director and senior economist at Moody’s Analytics, warned against reading too much into the numbers. Speaking with CNBC, he noted that the economy only appears to be expanding due to historical data revisions. Without them, Japan’s GDP would have shrunk in Q4.

“Exports have been the key driver, while imports declined—highlighting the same weak domestic demand we’ve seen over the past two to three years. Maybe hold off on the champagne for now,” Angrik cautioned.

Looking Ahead: Caution Over Consumer Spending

Economists remain wary about Japan’s economic momentum in early 2025:

  • Citi’s Katsuhiko Aiba predicts that consumption will remain weak into Q1 2025, with a full recovery likely only after Q2.
  • Real wage growth is expected to stay negative, even as the government reinstates energy subsidies.
  • Consumer spending saw a 2.7% jump in December, the first increase since July 2024, but prior months showed contractions of 0.4% (November) and 1.3% (October).

Despite the Q4 surprise, full-year GDP growth for 2024 came in at just 0.1%, a steep drop from 1.5% in 2023. Following the data release, Japan’s Nikkei 225 dipped 0.29%, while the yen strengthened by 0.2% to 152.02 per dollar.

With mixed signals from the economy, policymakers and investors will be watching closely to see whether Japan’s growth is truly sustainable—or just a statistical mirage.

Donatella Versace Steps Down After 30 Years At The Helm of Fashion Empire

After nearly three decades steering the iconic Versace brand, Donatella Versace is stepping down from her role as head of the fashion house. The 69-year-old Italian designer, who inherited the reins from her late brother, Gianni, following his tragic murder in 1997, will remain with the company as its Chief Brand Ambassador. She is set to pass the creative torch to Dario Vitale, the former design and image director of Miu Miu, who will take on the position of Chief Creative Officer.

In her Instagram announcement, Donatella shared her thoughts: “Championing the next generation of designers has always been important to me,” she wrote, expressing her excitement for Vitale’s appointment. “I am thrilled that Dario Vitale will be joining us, and I am eager to see Versace through new eyes.”

While her new role shifts focus, Donatella’s deep connection to Versace remains unchanged. “Versace is in my DNA and always in my heart,” she declared. Donatella’s stewardship has firmly cemented the brand as a staple in the luxury fashion industry, with designs worn by global superstars like Dua Lipa, Angelina Jolie, and Sabrina Carpenter.

In a heartfelt reflection, Donatella expressed her gratitude: “It has been the greatest honour of my life to carry on my brother Gianni’s legacy. He was the true genius, but I hope I have some of his spirit and tenacity.” Despite her transition, she reaffirmed her commitment to the brand’s future, adding: “I will remain Versace’s most passionate supporter.”

The announcement was met with a wave of tributes from the fashion world. Celebrities like actor Damian Hurley, singer Sabrina Carpenter, and model Iris Law shared their admiration for the designer’s contribution to the industry. “We love you forever,” Hurley commented, while Carpenter called her “one and only,” and Law posted, “Love you so much.”

This shake-up in leadership comes as speculation mounts that Prada Group may be eyeing a potential acquisition of Versace from its current owner, Capri Holdings, which purchased the luxury brand for €2 billion in 2018. As Donatella steps into her new role, the future of Versace remains closely watched by both fans and industry insiders.

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