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Investors Eye Middle East Amid Political Shift, But Trump’s Gaza Plan Sparks Uncertainty

A historic transformation is reshaping the Middle East, drawing international investors back into the region with hopes of stability and economic recovery. While a fragile ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas conflict and leadership changes in Syria and Lebanon signal potential progress, former U.S. President Donald Trump’s proposal to take control of Gaza has introduced fresh concerns.

Renewed Investor Confidence

Egypt, a central player in recent peace talks and the region’s most populous nation, recently conducted its first dollar debt sale in four years—an impressive turnaround from its near-economic collapse. Israel and Lebanon have also seen a resurgence in investor interest, particularly in bonds, as the market bets on a long-term resolution to Lebanon’s financial and political turmoil.

Charlie Robertson, an emerging markets expert at FIM Partners, notes that recent geopolitical shifts have fundamentally altered the region’s dynamics, offering the possibility of sustained stability—so long as Trump’s Gaza proposal doesn’t reignite tensions.

Market Reactions To Trump’s Proposal

Trump’s call to “clean out” Gaza and turn it into a “Riviera of the Middle East” has met with strong international backlash. In response, Egypt has scheduled an emergency Arab summit for February 27 to discuss the implications for Palestinians and regional stability.

Investors are closely watching how this unfolds. S&P Global has indicated it may lift Israel’s downgrade warning if the ceasefire holds, potentially paving the way for a significant Israeli debt sale. However, investors remain wary of political volatility.

Israel’s Economic Outlook

While bond investors are returning, Israel’s stock market has struggled since the ceasefire. The country had been one of the strongest performers globally after the October 2023 attacks but has since dipped, aligning with a broader U.S. tech selloff.

Sabina Levy, head of research at Leader Capital Markets, highlights that markets are more concerned with internal political conflicts than the war itself. Meanwhile, Economy Minister Nir Barkat is pushing for aggressive economic growth strategies.

Lebanon And Egypt: Uncertainty Amid Opportunity

Lebanon’s debt-laden economy is showing signs of life as its bonds have surged in value. The country’s new president, Joseph Aoun, is turning to Saudi Arabia for support, which could further distance Lebanon from Iranian influence. However, a $45 billion debt restructuring remains a significant hurdle.

Meanwhile, Egypt faces pressure from the U.S. as Trump’s plan envisions Cairo accepting two million Palestinian refugees. Analysts warn that Washington could leverage Egypt’s reliance on foreign aid to push its agenda, posing risks to the country’s financial stability.

The Path Ahead

As investors navigate the evolving landscape, key concerns include continued Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping, Lebanon’s economic restructuring, and Israel’s political stability. While the region presents opportunities, the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s influence keeps markets on edge.

Navigating Persistent Pressures: Labour Shortages, Bureaucracy, And Payment Delays In Limassol

Labour Shortages Challenge Expansion

Recent data from the Limassol Chamber Of Commerce And Industry underscores the enduring pressure within Limassol’s business community. Rather than indicating a sudden economic downturn, the survey reveals a gradual intensification of challenges that have long been a concern for local enterprises.

Skilled Labour In Short Supply

At the forefront is a chronic shortage of skilled labour, which accounts for 22.5% of the responses. Companies across a diverse range of sectors—from engineering and technical services to professional driving and specialized sales—are grappling with vacancies that remain open for extended periods. The persistent demand for critical skills forces many firms to overextend their existing workforce or postpone strategic projects. While recruiting talent from abroad is increasingly seen as a necessity, the process is often hampered by procedural delays, strict regulatory constraints, and rising employment costs.

Administrative Complexities And Public Sector Frustration

In addition to labour challenges, businesses express deep frustration with public-sector inefficiencies. Slow administrative procedures, fragmented communication, and a lack of clear guidance have rendered government support only marginally effective. With more than half of respondents regarding public services as minimally helpful, the inefficiencies highlight a system that frequently delays critical decisions and complicates routine business processes.

Deteriorating Payment Discipline

The survey also highlights a significant decline in payment discipline, with difficulties in collecting debts now ranking third among business concerns at 11.8%. Late payments are intensifying cash-flow pressures, extending through supply chains and further straining liquidity. Added to this is a sluggish justice system, where prolonged court delays have left companies financially exposed, often shouldering the burden of non-compliant customers while legal remedies lag behind.

Cost Pressures And Cautious Investment

Rising labour costs, intense domestic competition, and the pressure of lower-cost international markets — particularly in Asia — are driving firms to reconsider their investment priorities. Although nearly 60% of businesses intend to hire in the near term, investment plans in infrastructure, technology, and renewable energy are markedly selective. Overall sentiment remains cautious, with two-thirds of respondents expecting sales to stay level, both domestically and in overseas markets.

Calls For Policy Reforms And Digital Transformation

In an environment strained by excessive bureaucracy and inconsistent policy, businesses advocate for decisive governmental action. Respondents have pointed to the need for reduced business taxation, streamlined administrative processes, and more responsive public services. Furthermore, investment in digital transformation, artificial intelligence tools, and enhanced collaboration with academic and research institutions are seen as critical to boosting competitiveness and fostering innovation.

Conclusion: A Need For Strategic Reforms

The autumn 2025 barometer paints a picture of a resilient business community operating under increasing strain. With entrenched labour shortages, administrative inefficiencies, and deteriorating payment discipline, there is a clear call for targeted reforms. Addressing these structural challenges will be essential for ensuring that Limassol’s businesses not only sustain their current operations but also position themselves for future growth in an increasingly competitive global landscape.

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