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Inflation Declines To 1.5% In First Half Of 2024

Inflation in Cyprus has decreased significantly to 1.5% during the first half of 2024, marking a notable reduction from previous years. This decline is largely attributed to stabilised energy prices and effective monetary policies. The Central Bank of Cyprus reported that the deceleration in inflation was driven by a combination of reduced global energy prices and a stronger euro, which helped mitigate import costs.

Energy Prices and Economic Stability

The stabilisation of energy prices played a crucial role in the overall reduction of inflation. In previous years, fluctuations in energy prices significantly impacted the cost of living and production expenses. The recent steadiness in global energy markets has provided a respite, allowing for more predictable economic planning and reduced pressure on household budgets.

Core Inflation and Food Prices

Despite the overall reduction, core inflation—excluding volatile items like food and energy—remains a concern. Persistent price increases in food and services continue to exert upward pressure. The Central Bank has noted that food prices have been particularly resistant to decline, influenced by factors such as supply chain disruptions and increased production costs.

Monetary Policies and Economic Measures

Effective monetary policies implemented by the Central Bank of Cyprus have also contributed to the reduction in inflation. Interest rate adjustments and other monetary tools have been employed to control inflationary pressures while supporting economic growth. These measures have helped maintain a balance between curbing inflation and fostering a conducive environment for investment and consumption.

Economic Outlook

The Central Bank remains vigilant in monitoring inflation trends, aiming to sustain economic stability and growth. While the decline in inflation is a positive development, the ongoing challenges in managing core inflation and food prices require continuous attention. The economic outlook for Cyprus remains cautiously optimistic, with the expectation that stabilised inflation will support broader economic recovery and growth.

Interest rates on housing loans up and down on deposits

Cypriot banks raised mortgage rates in August while cutting interest on one-year deposits for households, according to data released by the Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC).

Meanwhile, the total value of new loans dropped sharply in August, falling by 33 per cent compared to July.

The latest figures, published on Wednesday reveal that the interest rate for short-term deposits by households fell to 1.79 per cent, from 1.96 per cent in July. In contrast, the deposit rate for businesses (non-financial companies) travelled in the opposite direction up to 2.33 per cent in August from 2.28 per cent in the previous month.

Consumer loan rates also saw a small decline, dropping to 6.59 per cent from 6.67 per cent in the previous month. Mortgage rates rose marginally to 4.65 per cent, from 4.59 per cent.

Rates for businesses, on loans €1 million also fell to 5.36 per cent from 5.61 per cent. For loans

above €1 million the rate fell to 5.42 per cent from 5.64 per cent.

In terms of new loans, there was a marked drop across the board. Total new loans fell to €395.5 million, down from €596.3 million in July.

Consumer loans also fell with net new loans at €19m, compared to July’s €28m (€26.1m net).

Loans for house purchases also declined significantly, falling to €95.6m, of which €72.3m were net new loans, down from €134.3m (€100.7m net) in July.

New loans of under a million euro to businesses decreased to €52.8m (€34.1m net), down from €75.5m in July (€49.5m net).

Similarly, loans of over a million euros were halved to €179.3m (€78.3m net), compared to €345.2m (€211.8m net) in the previous month.

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