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Industrial Turnover Surge Highlights Robust Growth Across Key Sectors In Cyprus


Overview Of Industrial Growth

The Industrial Turnover Index in Cyprus surged in March 2025, underscoring sustained momentum across pivotal economic sectors. According to the Cyprus Statistical Service, the index reached 137.7 units—compared to the 2021 baseline set at 100 points—marking an overall increase of 5 percent from March 2024. The first quarter also exhibited robust activity, with a 5.8 percent rise in turnover relative to the same period last year.

Sector-Specific Performance And Trends

Notably, the manufacturing sector emerged as a key driver of this growth. In March 2025, manufacturing turnover climbed to 138.3 units, reflecting a substantial 7.2 percent increase over the corresponding month in 2024. The mining and quarrying sector also registered impressive gains with a 12.5 percent jump. However, challenges persisted in segments such as water supply and materials recovery, which declined by 4.5 percent, along with a 3.3 percent drop in electricity supply. These varied outcomes highlight a dynamic industrial landscape characterized by both robust growth and evolving sectoral challenges.

Implications For The Broader Economy

The overall uptrend in industrial turnover suggests resilient economic fundamentals despite localized setbacks. As the primary measure of invoiced sales among industrial enterprises, the index offers crucial insights into domestic production and economic stability. The sustained strength in manufacturing underscores its pivotal role in driving export competitiveness and economic output, while the mixed performances in water and energy sectors may be indicative of seasonal shifts and evolving consumption patterns.

Conclusion

In an era marked by global economic uncertainties, the marked increase in Cyprus’ Industrial Turnover Index for both March and the first quarter of 2025 stands as a testament to the enduring strength and adaptive capacity of its industrial sectors. Such performance not only reinforces the significance of manufacturing in the island’s economic framework but also signals the vital need for strategic oversight in managing areas of decline.


DBRS Warns Of Middle East Risks For Greek And Cypriot Banks’ Key Sector

Rising Geopolitical Risks And Economic Vulnerabilities

DBRS said rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East increase risks for Greece and Cyprus, citing their exposure to shipping and tourism. The assessment highlights sector dependence as a key vulnerability in both economies.

Impact On Economic Activity And Banking Systems

Despite recent resilience in Cyprus, ongoing volatility is affecting economic activity and the banking sector. The report, titled “Middle East Tensions Heighten Risks for Greek and Cypriot Banks’ Shipping and Tourism Exposures,” compares risks across both countries and identifies areas of exposure.

Tourism And Shipping: The Economic Double-Edged Sword

Tourism and shipping account for a larger share of economic activity in Cyprus and Greece than in most EU countries. In Cyprus, these sectors represent 6.6% of gross value added, compared with 7.3% in Greece and an EU average of 2.9%. Beyond direct activity, tourism supports transport and leisure services, influencing consumption and broader economic output. According to DBRS, banks in both countries have above-average exposure to these sectors, increasing credit risk in the event of a prolonged downturn.

Differentiated Exposure: Cyprus Versus Greece

Exposure differs between the two banking systems. Greek banks hold a larger share of internationally secured shipping loans, while Cypriot banks have greater exposure to tourism-related activity. This makes Cyprus more sensitive to changes in travel demand. Both systems maintain profitability and capital buffers that may support performance under pressure.

Economic Ripple Effects And Sectoral Vulnerabilities

A decline in tourism flows would affect small and medium-sized businesses, household income, and real estate values. These factors are linked to asset quality in Cypriot banks. Early indicators point to higher cancellation rates and weaker travel demand in Cyprus, reflecting its proximity to regional tensions. Greece may see a more limited short-term impact due to lower exposure and potential diversion of tourism demand from affected regions.

Maintaining Profitability In A Challenging Environment

Bank profitability in both countries remained above the EU average as of the fourth quarter of 2025. Capital levels in Cypriot banks remain strong, while Greek banks continue to align with broader European benchmarks. Asset quality has improved, with non-performing loan ratios in transportation and storage close to 0% in 2025, compared with an EU average of 2.3%. In lodging and food services, non-performing loans stood at 2.1% in Greece and 0.7% in Cyprus, both below the EU average of 5%.

Sectoral Exposure And Wider Banking Implications

Data from the European Banking Authority show that transportation and storage accounted for 19.8% of loans to non-financial corporations in Greece and 11.2% in Cyprus in 2025, compared with an EU average of 5.5%. Exposure to lodging and food services reached 11.1% in Greece and 21.2% in Cyprus, exceeding the EU average of 2.6%.

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