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India’s Race To Create Its Own DeepSeek: A Technological Leap Or Long Shot?

India’s tech ambitions are growing fast, but how close is it to creating its own DeepSeek—an AI model to rival global players like OpenAI? With a booming digital infrastructure and tech-savvy population, India is on the radar—but is it moving quickly enough?

Kunal Bahl, co-founder of Titan Capital, predicts India’s version of DeepSeek will emerge via a private-public partnership over the next 4 to 5 years, relying on the country’s proven success in scaling digital infrastructure.

Chips And AI: India’s Strategic Push

A major hurdle for India’s AI aspirations is chip manufacturing. India’s Commerce Secretary, Piyush Goyal, announced that the country is on track to produce its first chip within two years. U.S. companies like Micron and AMD are investing in India, and Nvidia’s partnership with Reliance Industries in 2024 signals growing global support. As U.S. chip export restrictions loom, India’s push to build domestic manufacturing is more urgent than ever.

Corporate Giants Eye AI

India’s largest corporations, such as Reliance, Tata, and Infosys, are racing to build their own large language models (LLMs) for industry-specific use. OpenAI’s Sam Altman, during a visit to India in February, expressed interest in collaborating on India’s goal of creating an entire AI ecosystem. India is already OpenAI’s second-largest user market, underscoring the country’s potential for AI innovation.

Challenges Ahead

Despite the optimism, experts like Venugopal Garre from Bernstein caution that India’s lack of investment in homegrown tech may hinder its progress. While India has leveraged U.S. technology, it has not followed China’s path of building domestic alternatives. However, experts agree that the AI field is still in its early stages—much like the search engine wars of the ‘90s, where latecomer Google emerged dominant.

India also faces an immediate risk: AI’s potential to displace jobs could exacerbate labor market issues in a country already struggling with high unemployment. As Akhil Gupta from Blackstone India notes, India must prioritize developing its own AI capabilities—or risk falling behind.

The Road Ahead

India has the potential to lead in AI, with its young workforce and growing tech ecosystem. But the country’s ability to catch up or create its own path in AI depends on government support and investments in deep tech.

Bahl believes India is far behind but is waking up to the challenge, inspired by China’s successes. The coming years will be crucial in determining India’s role in the global AI race.

Key Takeaways

  • AI Investment: The Indian government has committed ₹103 billion ($1.2 billion) to enhance its AI capabilities, though it remains behind the U.S. and China.
  • Chip Manufacturing: India plans to produce its first chip within two years, with significant backing from U.S. companies.
  • Corporate Moves: Reliance, Tata, and Infosys are developing industry-specific AI tools, positioning themselves as India’s hyperscalers.
  • International Collaborations: U.S. firms like OpenAI are looking to collaborate with India on AI development.

The race is on: will India lead, or will it fall behind in the AI revolution?

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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