India And China To Reopen Direct Air Travel After Nearly Five Years

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

January 28, 2025

After almost five years of suspended direct flights, India and China have agreed to resume air travel between the two nations, signaling a shift in their relations following a deadly military clash in 2020 over their disputed Himalayan border.

The agreement, confirmed by India’s foreign ministry, comes after a meeting between Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi. The two countries will soon hold further discussions to establish a framework for the resumption of flights.

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The suspension of direct air travel since the 2020 border conflict had led to tensions, with India tightening restrictions on Chinese companies, banning several popular Chinese apps, and reducing passenger flight routes. Despite the travel restrictions, direct cargo flights between India and China had continued.

However, in recent months, relations between the two nations have begun to thaw. Notable meetings, including one between Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in Russia this past October, have helped improve diplomatic ties.

During his meeting with Misri on Monday, Wang Yi emphasized the need for both countries to work collaboratively, move towards resolving economic and trade issues, and foster long-term political stability and transparency.

“Mutual support and achievements should guide our relationship, rather than doubt and alienation,” Wang stated, reflecting the positive tone of their discussions. This meeting follows a historic agreement in October aimed at easing tensions along their shared border.

While Indian civil aviation authorities had resisted restoring air links in the past due to ongoing border disputes, there have been signs of a shift. Sources told Reuters that India may now be open to reconsidering the opening of airspace and streamlining visa approvals for Chinese nationals.

This recent diplomatic development marks a key step in the two nations’ efforts to move beyond their historical tensions and strengthen bilateral relations.

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European Central Bank Report Highlights Stable Inflation and Economic Outlook

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

October 29, 2025

Overview Of Inflation Trends

The latest European Central Bank survey shows a slight decline in median inflation expectations over the next 12 months, decreasing from 2.8% in August to 2.7% in September. Despite this minor adjustment, consumer perceptions of past 12-month inflation have held steady at 3.1% for the eighth consecutive month. Long-term projections for three- and five-year inflation remain stable at 2.5% and 2.2% respectively.

Consumer Expectations Drive Income And Spending Projections

Across the board, expectations for nominal income growth over the upcoming year have remained consistent at 1.1%. However, there is a noticeable shift in spending behavior: while perceived nominal spending growth for the past year slipped slightly to 4.9% from 5.0%, expectations for spending growth over the next 12 months rose to 3.5%. Notably, lower income groups continue to forecast marginally higher spending increases compared to their higher income counterparts.

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Stability In Economic And Labour Market Outlook

Economic growth expectations are modestly pessimistic, with respondents forecasting a contraction of -1.2% over the next 12 months. Concurrently, anticipated unemployment levels remain unchanged at 10.7% a year ahead, though the outlook varies by income, with lower income households expecting unemployment rates as high as 12.7%, while higher income groups maintain expectations around 9.4%. Overall, the slight difference between current and future unemployment suggests a broadly stable labor market outlook.

Housing Market And Credit Conditions

The survey also reveals an upswing in expectations related to the housing market. Home price growth expectations have edged higher to 3.5%, and anticipated mortgage interest rates have risen modestly to 4.6%. Similar to other metrics, expectations vary by income, with lower income households expecting higher mortgage rates. In recent months, a marginal decline in reported credit tightening over the past 12 months contrasts with a renewed forecast of tighter credit conditions in the forthcoming year.

Conclusion

The ECB’s latest findings underscore the delicate balance between stable long-term economic forecasts and short-term adjustments in consumer expectations. The slight dips in inflation expectations, alongside stable perceptions of past inflation, delineate a marketplace that is both cautious and measured. As income, spending, and housing market metrics continue to evolve, these indicators provide critical insights for policymakers and investors navigating an increasingly complex economic landscape.

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