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IEA Lowers 2025 Oil Demand Forecasts Amid Energy Transition And Economic Uncertainty

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

August 14, 2024

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has recently revised its global oil demand forecasts downward for 2025, reflecting the complex interplay of evolving energy markets, economic conditions, and accelerating climate initiatives. This adjustment signals a significant shift in the global energy landscape, as nations and industries increasingly pivot towards more sustainable and renewable energy sources.

The ongoing global energy transition is one of the primary drivers behind the IEA’s updated forecast. As governments worldwide implement stricter environmental regulations and invest heavily in renewable energy infrastructure, the demand for fossil fuels, including oil, is expected to diminish. The push towards electrification, particularly in the transportation sector, is a key factor in reducing future oil consumption. The rise of electric vehicles (EVs) and advancements in battery technology are set to reduce reliance on traditional oil-based fuels, contributing to a slower growth rate in oil demand.

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Moreover, economic factors play a crucial role in shaping the IEA’s outlook. The global economy, still recovering from the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, faces new challenges, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions. These issues are creating an environment of uncertainty, dampening investment in oil-dependent industries and potentially slowing economic growth, which in turn affects oil demand.

The IEA’s revised forecast also takes into account the potential for structural changes in energy consumption patterns. As digitalisation and energy efficiency measures become more widespread, industries are likely to reduce their energy intensity, further curbing the oil demand. Additionally, the ongoing shift in consumer behaviour towards sustainability is expected to drive down demand in sectors traditionally reliant on oil.

Despite these downward revisions, the oil industry is not expected to disappear overnight. Oil will continue to play a significant role in the global energy mix for years to come, particularly in sectors where alternatives are not yet economically viable. However, the IEA’s updated forecasts highlight the need for oil producers to adapt to a rapidly changing market, where demand growth is no longer guaranteed.

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Cyprus Tax-To-GDP Ratio Rises To 36.3% In 2025

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

October 30, 2026

Cyprus’ tax-to-GDP ratio edged up to 36.3% in 2025, from 36% in 2024, remaining below the European Union and euro area averages, according to Eurostat.

Across the EU, the ratio rose to 40.7% from 40.2%, while the euro area average increased to 41.3% from 40.7%.

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EU Tax Revenues Reach €7.68 Trillion

The tax-to-GDP ratio measures revenue from taxes and net social contributions as a share of gross domestic product. It provides an indication of public revenue relative to the size of an economy, although national tax systems and social contribution rules vary.

EU governments collected €7.68 trillion in taxes and social contributions in 2025, an increase of €401 billion compared with the previous year.

France Records Highest Ratio

France had the EU’s highest tax-to-GDP ratio at 46%, followed by Belgium at 44.7%, Denmark at 44.3% and Austria at 43.9%.

At the other end of the scale, Ireland recorded the lowest ratio at 22.7%. Romania followed at 29.3%, Malta at 30.3% and Bulgaria at 30.6%.

Ratios Increase In 19 Member States

The tax-to-GDP ratio rose in 19 EU countries in 2025. Germany recorded the largest increase, climbing from 40.3% to 41.4%. Malta’s ratio rose from 29.3% to 30.3%, while Spain’s increased from 37.2% to 38.1%.

Eight member states recorded declines. Sweden saw the largest fall, from 41.8% to 41.2%, followed by Latvia, where the ratio dropped from 34.9% to 34.2%.

Cyprus’ 0.3-percentage-point increase was more modest than some of the changes elsewhere in the bloc. Its ratio nevertheless rose alongside the EU and euro area averages, reflecting a broader increase in tax and social contribution revenue relative to economic output.