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IEA Lowers 2025 Oil Demand Forecasts Amid Energy Transition And Economic Uncertainty

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has recently revised its global oil demand forecasts downward for 2025, reflecting the complex interplay of evolving energy markets, economic conditions, and accelerating climate initiatives. This adjustment signals a significant shift in the global energy landscape, as nations and industries increasingly pivot towards more sustainable and renewable energy sources.

The ongoing global energy transition is one of the primary drivers behind the IEA’s updated forecast. As governments worldwide implement stricter environmental regulations and invest heavily in renewable energy infrastructure, the demand for fossil fuels, including oil, is expected to diminish. The push towards electrification, particularly in the transportation sector, is a key factor in reducing future oil consumption. The rise of electric vehicles (EVs) and advancements in battery technology are set to reduce reliance on traditional oil-based fuels, contributing to a slower growth rate in oil demand.

Moreover, economic factors play a crucial role in shaping the IEA’s outlook. The global economy, still recovering from the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, faces new challenges, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions. These issues are creating an environment of uncertainty, dampening investment in oil-dependent industries and potentially slowing economic growth, which in turn affects oil demand.

The IEA’s revised forecast also takes into account the potential for structural changes in energy consumption patterns. As digitalisation and energy efficiency measures become more widespread, industries are likely to reduce their energy intensity, further curbing the oil demand. Additionally, the ongoing shift in consumer behaviour towards sustainability is expected to drive down demand in sectors traditionally reliant on oil.

Despite these downward revisions, the oil industry is not expected to disappear overnight. Oil will continue to play a significant role in the global energy mix for years to come, particularly in sectors where alternatives are not yet economically viable. However, the IEA’s updated forecasts highlight the need for oil producers to adapt to a rapidly changing market, where demand growth is no longer guaranteed.

One In Three Cypriots Open To Using Digital Euro

Around one in three Cypriots say they would use the digital euro in their daily lives, despite limited awareness of the new form of money, according to the first islandwide survey published by the Central Bank of Cyprus.

With the first issuance currently expected in 2029, the findings suggest that public education will be crucial, particularly among people who rely more heavily on cash or have less experience with digital tools.

Awareness Remains Low

Some 61% of respondents say they have no knowledge of the digital euro, while just 1% consider themselves fully informed.

Awareness is higher among people under 65, those with tertiary education and employed respondents. Among those who have heard of the digital euro, awareness is also more common among men, higher-income and more highly educated people, as well as urban residents.

Social media is the leading source of information, cited by 49% of respondents, followed by television at 30%.

35% Would Use The Digital Euro

Despite the knowledge gap, 35% say they are willing to use the digital euro in their daily lives. This is particularly true among people under 45, employed respondents and those with higher education and incomes.

Among potential users, 41% would use it for purchases in physical shops, 40% for online shopping and 33% for person-to-person payments.

By comparison, 28% say they are somewhat or very unlikely to use the digital euro.

Privacy And Cash Are Main Concerns

The biggest concerns are the possibility of transactions being tracked and fears that cash could eventually be abolished, cited by 53% of respondents.

Another 38% are concerned about security, while 25% worry about managing their spending. Some 30% have significant concerns about the ease of using the digital euro.

For businesses, 9% say their willingness to accept digital euro payments would depend on factors such as cost, ease of implementation and demand, while 27% say they would not accept such payments.

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